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The Research Question. What factors characterize the elite successes among HAART recipients in a NYC HIV care clinic?. The Problem.
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The Research Question • What factors characterize the elite successes among HAART recipients in a NYC HIV care clinic?
The Problem • The medical literature describing response to HAART is dominated by reports of efficacy at a single time point (usually 24 or 48 weeks), but the real goal of HAART is to achieve sustained virologic suppression.
What would it take to do an “ideal” prospective study? • Large prospectively followed cohort—at least several hundred patients, eg MACS, HOPS, etc. • At least two years • A price tag in the millions • There would still be serious biases limiting the generalizability of findings • Sociodemographic constitution of cohort • Study patients differ from “real world” patients
An Alternative Approach • Virtually all modern medical establishments have visit and laboratory information stored in databases • The use of IT to create study cohorts
Definition of Elite Success • HAART recipient • All VLs<50 for an entire calendar year (2002) • At least 3 VLs measured during the calendar year
Methods • All patient visits and VL measurements are available in a CIS replicate at MMC • Query 1: Produce a table of all patients who had new patient visits in the ID Clinic in 1999 or 2000 (n=984) • Query 2: Produce a table of all VLs at MMC in 2002 (n=appx. 10,000) • Merge tables from Queries 1 and 2
Methods • Select all patients from merged table who had at least 3 VLs done in 2002 (n=375) • Select all patients who had a max(VL)<50 (n=69)—these are potential cases • Select all patients who had a max(VL)>=50 (n=306)—these are potential controls • Make a randomly ordered list of potential controls
Chart Review • Two investigators performed preliminary chart reviews to eliminate subjects who were not on continuous HAART throughout 2002 • Once the final study cohort was assembled, a more detailed chart review was conducted to collect medical and sociodemographic information
Minimization of Bias • All study patients must have enrolled in the ID Clinic in calendar year 1999 or 2000 • Controls matched to cases on frequency of VL measurement in 2002
The Actual Study Sample • 62 cases—HAART recipients throughout 2002 with all VLs<50 in 2002 (3 or more measurements) • 62 controls—HAART recipients throughout 2002 with at least one VL>=50 (3 or more measurements)
The Numbers 984 new patients 1999-2000 375 with 3 or more VLs in 2002 609 with fewer than 3 VLs in 2002 69 with all VLs<50 306 with at least one VL>=50 7 without continuous HAART in 2002 62 controls randomly selected, but matched on # of VL measurements 62 cases on HAART throughout 2002
Results • No difference in age, gender, or ethnicity between groups • No difference in enrollment CD4 or VL measurement. No difference in nadir CD4. • No significant differences in HAART regimens • Cases were more likely to report MSM and less likely to report hetero-sex or IDU as risk behavior • Cases less likely to smoke, more likely to have hepatitis C • Cases had a greater rise in CD4 count in 2002 than controls
Results • On multivariate analysis, having HIV risk behavior other than hetero-sex or IDU, and having hepatitis C were independently associated with being a member of the “elite success” group • Control patients did relatively well immunologically (mean CD4 in 2002=388) and virologically (mean VL in 2002=1049)
Lessons Learned • There is no specific demographic group to target for intervention • We may need to work harder to achieve optimal outcomes in patients who acquired HIV from heterosexual contact or IDU • The average patient who met eligibility criteria—i.e. enrollment in ID Clinic and continuous HAART, did well regardless of case or control status
Lessons Learned • The majority of patients enrolled as new patients in ID Clinic in 1999-2000 did not have 3 VL measurements in that same clinic in 2002
Other Projects • Use of computer generated prompts to improve PAP smear rates • Comparison of outcomes between HIV and uninfected individuals undergoing cardiothoracic surgery • Patients who walk in to clinic frequently: Factors associated with frequent walk-in patients and performance indicators • Modeling of total lymphocyte count guided discontinuation of PCP prophylaxis: A strategy for resource constrained countries
Acknowledgements • Faisal Wasi, MD • Tania Purkayastha, MD • Bristol-Myers Squibb Virology HIV Fellowship Research Program • AECOM/MMC Center for AIDS Research
For more HIV-related resources, please visit www.hivguidelines.org