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Douglas S. Massey Woodrow Wilson School Princeton University

Reacción en Cadena : Causas y Consecuencias de la Guerra Anti- Inmingrante en Estados Unidos. Douglas S. Massey Woodrow Wilson School Princeton University. Origines de la Guerra Anti- inmigrante. Epocas Importantes 1. La Paz Bracera 1954-1964

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Douglas S. Massey Woodrow Wilson School Princeton University

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  1. Reacción en Cadena: Causas y Consecuencias de la Guerra Anti-Inmingrante en EstadosUnidos Douglas S. Massey Woodrow Wilson School Princeton University

  2. Origines de la Guerra Anti-inmigrante EpocasImportantes 1. La Paz Bracera 1954-1964 2. El Ascenso de la Ameneza Latina 1965-1995 3. Tiempos de Guerra 1996-2006 4. PuntoMuerto 2007-2011

  3. Rise of Latino Threat Narrative

  4. Tiempos de Guerra 1992 PrimeroAtaque en NY 1995 Bombardeo en Oklahoma 1996 Anti-Terrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act 1998 Bombardeo de USS Cole en Yemen 2000 Bombardeo de lasEmbajadas en Africa 2001 9-11 Ataques en NY y Washington 2001 USA PATRIOT Act

  5. PuntoMuerto • Tasa de SalidaIndocumentada a EEUU: 0 • Tasa de Retorno a México: 0 • Población Permanente de Indocumentados • 11 milliones en total • 6.5 millones de Mexicanos • Másrepresión del estadonorteamericano • Masexclusión del pueblo estadonidense

  6. Consequences of the War: Public Opinion

  7. Model to Predict Probability of Undocumented Migration

  8. Effect of Enforcement on Likelihood of Undocumented Migration

  9. Effect of Enforcement on Likelihood of Return Migration

  10. Back to the Future: Flows Then and Now • 1956-1957 • 57,000 Documented Migrants per Year • 441,000 Guestworkers per Year • 498,000 Total Legal Entries per Year • Apprehension Rate: 38.4 Migrants per Agent & Falling • 2008-2009 • 177,000 Documented Migrants Per Year • 331,000 Guestworkers per Year • 508,000 Total Legal Entries per Year • Apprehension Rate: 34.5 Migrants per Agent & Falling

  11. Major Difference Between Then and Now:Resident Undocumented Population • 1956-1957 • Effectively Zero • 2007-2008 • Currently Estimated at 10.8 Million • 60% of all Undocumented Migrants Are Mexican • 55% of All Mexicans Present in US Are Undocumented • Of 11 Million Undocumented Migrants • 3+ Million Entered as children • 500,000-1 Million Former Temporary Protected Status

  12. Reacción en Cadena: Causas y Consecuencias de la Guerra Anti-Inmingrante en EstadosUnidos Douglas S. Massey Woodrow Wilson School Princeton University

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