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Measurement Uncertainty. Measurements. Accuracy - hitting the center of the target Precision - tight pattern of hits Bias - all two inches high Uncertainty - circle containing 95% hits. Traceability. Accuracy - close to system limitation Precision - range
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Measurements • Accuracy - hitting the center of the target • Precision - tight pattern of hits • Bias - all two inches high • Uncertainty - circle containing 95% hits
Traceability • Accuracy - close to system limitation • Precision - range • Bias - identified and corrected for • Acceptable Uncertainty - 2 sigma • Unbroken links to national standards
Calibration Traceability • Unbroken linkage to national standards • Uncertainty - elements identified and quantified • Strong QC/QA program • Periodic MQA testing
Measurement Traceability • Starts with calibration uncertainty • Identifies and quantifies all factors that affect the quality of a measurement • Requires reproducibility • Testing usually required to validate values
How this affects you • Did I make the measurement right? • Is it reproducible? • What uncertainty is involved? • Can I cite them for a violation?
2 cases, more than 2 results • Package survey of radioactive material • Mammography machine measurements
Package • 31x31x27 cm • Bicron RSO-50E • Calibrated by secondary laboratory • Maximum surface dose rate measured is 0.4 uSv/h (0.4 mR/h) • Traveling by air
IATA (ST-1 Requirements) • Accuracy - so that correctly labeled • Precision/uncertainty - based on package surface to detector center distance • Bias - as high as a factor of 4 low
ST-2 Measurement Guidance Correction factors for package and detector sizes
Mammography Measurements • Exposure at skin entrance • Half value layer • Non-invasive kVp measurements • Mean glandular dose calculation
Component Estimated Std. Dev. Meter Calibration 0.015 Temp/Pressure 0.01 Rate Dependence 0.01 Energy Dependence 0.01 Machine Repro. 0.03 Example of How Combined Uncertainties EffectMeasurement (Cont.)
Component Estimated Max. Dev. Estimated Std. Dev. Probe Placement 0.06 0.02 Phantom Variability 0.06 0.02 HVL(+/-0.02mmAl) 0.06 0.02 kVp (+/- 1 kVp) 0.02 0.007 Example of How Combined Uncertainties EffectMeasurement Estimate Std Deviation as Max Deviation/3 (NCRP Report 112) (Cont.)
Combined Uncertainty • Total estimated uncertainty • ( 1.52+ 12+ 12+12+ 32+ 22 + 22 + 22 + 0.72)1/2 = 5.2 • To estimate a confidence level of 95% use a coverage factor of 2 = 2 x 5.2 = 10.4 %