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Chris Wells: Acting Group Chief Executive 16 April 2010

CONFIDENTIAL. TRANSNET PRESENTATION ON THE INDUSTRIAL POLICY ACTION PLAN TO THE PORTFOLIO COMMITTEE ON TRADE AND INDUSTRY. Chris Wells: Acting Group Chief Executive 16 April 2010. Contents. Topics. Transnet Performance and targets Cost of doing business regarding rail and freight

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Chris Wells: Acting Group Chief Executive 16 April 2010

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  1. CONFIDENTIAL TRANSNET PRESENTATION ON THE INDUSTRIAL POLICY ACTION PLAN TO THE PORTFOLIO COMMITTEE ON TRADE AND INDUSTRY Chris Wells: Acting Group Chief Executive 16 April 2010

  2. Contents Topics Transnet Performance and targets Cost of doing business regarding rail and freight Utilising public procurement spend to reduce supply chain costs- challenges and implications Opportunities and challenges presented by IPAP2

  3. 25.6 The need for a turnaround strategy in 2004 Transnet was facing a number of challenges • Huge derivative liabilities arising from unfavourable contracts entered into with major clients for the transportation of commodities • Pension funds reflected deficits • Loss making non-core businesses in the Group • Low profitability • Gearing ratio had reached an unsustainably high level of 83% Liabilities Investment • Absence of a structured investment programme even though key infrastructure and rolling stock badly needed maintenance and replacement • Low returns on investments and delays in execution Market share • Competition (mainly from road operators) was eating into Transnet’s market share. General Freight volumes declined by 2.5% p.a. between 1997 and 2003 • Constraints in capacity and efficiencies handicapped growth Efficiencies • The company was not sufficiently oriented towards its customers • Low efficiencies resulted in congestion at the ports and unstable service delivery in freight transport

  4. 0 % 50% Max Transnet has effected a successful financial turnaround over the past six years R billion Revenue • Continuous increase in revenue showing results of • initiatives to grow the business, with revenue • increasing from R25.3bn in 2004/05 to R33.6bn in • 2008/09 (7.4% CAGR) 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 R billion EBITDA • Improvements through: • Operational efficiency improvements, effective cost cutting initiatives, mainly due to reengineering projects • Sale of non-core businesses • Improvement from R7.9bn in 2004/05 to R13.2bn in 2008/09 (13.7% CAGR) 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 Gearing (%) • Balance sheet restructuring and cost effective debt structures yielding positive results with consistent below target gearing from 61% in 2004/05 to 36.2% in 2008/09 • This enables Transnet to fund capital investments more cost effectively and without government guarantees 61% 46% 39% 36% 30% 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09

  5. 18.5 Capital investment has shifted to a new trajectory Current 5 year investment plan: R93.4bn Total Investment over past 5 years: R72bn Transnet Group Historical Capital Investment (R billion) 2009/10 e 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 Transnet 5 year Capital Investment (R million) R million 10/11 11/12 14/15 12/13 13/14

  6. “The Transnet R80bn capital investment programme (based on 2009/10 5-year plan) will make a significant contribution in terms of additional GDP – both in terms of magnitude and spread” Source: DPE Study, Measurement of the impact of Transnet on the South African economy, 2010

  7. 1 Transnet has improved efficiencies but operations are not yet at world class levels • Turnaround times of wagons • Predictability service delivery (on-time departures and arrivals) • Reduction in number of train cancellations • Reducing security incidents (i.e. cable theft) • Locomotive efficiency (gross ton per loco) exceed set targets for GFB • Overall reduction in number of derailments compared to previous year • Overall availability and reliability of rolling stock improved as a result of maintenance regime • Iron ore line tempos continue to improve • Shipping delays due to tugs and pilots • Container handling rates • Ship turnaround times • Improved planning/integration with rail • Loading rates at Saldanha Iron Ore Terminal (export iron ore) • Maintain world-class efficiency • Increased capacity utilisation in Durban-Jhb pipeline through drag-reducing agents • Successful implementation of Bridging Plan Certain efficiencies not meeting world class standards Efficiencies to be improved Achievements Efficiencies to be improved Achievements Efficiencies to be improved Achievements

  8. Challenging efficiency targets have been set across all operations 5-Year Corporate Plan Deliverable* Rail Reduce wagon cycle/turnaround times by 21.1% Reduce deviation from schedule by 26.8% (departures/arrivals) • Average 8.4% increase in operational efficiency and productivity • Cumulative 20% improvement over 3 years Improve locomotive efficiencies by 33.2% (GTK/loco/month) Ports Improve cargo handling efficiency from 22 to 28 with target of 30 GCM/h Reduce shipping delays and ship turnaround time (Durban) and increase Volumes per STAT Hour by 21% Improved customer service delivery Pipelines Security of supply and reduce production interruptions by 21.5% Quantum leap targets for 2010/11 * Improvements/reductions – average improvement for all relevant KPIs from 2009/10 to 2014/15

  9. 5 Projected financial performance and key ratios EBITDA (Rm) Cash interest cover (times) Max/min 4.1 +19% 3.5 3.4 3.2 30 435 3.1 3.0 26 311 22 965 3,0 19 765 15 116 Budget+ 12 759 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 LE LE Gearing (%) Return on Total Assets (%) 11.2 50 10.0 9.6 10 8.9 8 7.4 6.5 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 LE LE • The improvement in EBITDA and EBITDA margin is largely driven by the cumulative growth in volumes of 40% over the 5-years. • Improvement in operational efficiencies (8.4% in 2010/11) resulting in lower cost structures

  10. Contents Topics Transnet Performance and targets Cost of doing business regarding rail and freight Utilising public procurement spend to reduce supply chain costs- challenges and implications Opportunities and challenges presented by IPAP2

  11. SA is ranked 28th out of 155 countries and is the highest logistics performer amongst upper middle income countries

  12. The cost of logistics in South Africa in 2008 was R339 Billion (14.7% of GDP) South Africa has a GDP of R2.3 trillion, We transport goods weighing 935 million tons Over an average transport distance of 337 km At a cost of R339 billion Plus an additional R34 billion for externalities • South Africa saw an increase of 6,9% in logistics costs to R339-billion in 2008, compared with the previous year’s R317-billion, and 2004’s R213-billion • Despite the increase, 2008 costs were at their lowest as a percentage of gross domestic product (“GDP”) since the survey was first introduced in 2004, totaling 14,7% of GDP, down from last year’s 15,9%. Logistics costs as a percentage of GDP is at its lowest level since measurement started. Source: 2009 State of Logistics Survey

  13. 0 Transport costs and inventory carrying costs have increased at a faster rate than other cost components Implications for supplier development • South Africa requires more transport over the coming years. • High forecast volume growth will put an impossible strain on current transport infrastructure if the current modal split remains intact. • Increasing rail market share will reduce transport costs. • Furthermore, if the oil price significantly increases, this will seriously harm the country’s competitiveness. • Therefore, mitigation against oil price fluctuations is critical. • Increase in electricity tariffs places additional costs and informs infrastructure and rolling stock procurement strategies. Inventory carrying cost Management, Admin & Profit Storage and Ports 50% 17% Transport 14% Share of cost by category % Cost breakdown by category Indexed 2003 for 2008

  14. Transnet is focused on increasing rail market share through greater operating efficiencies and a wider employment of intermodal solutions Cost of Transport Next steps 39% of ton.km 23% of tons 9% of transport costs • Planned volume growth of 7% per annum over the next 5 years which is approximately 3% in excess of GDP growth, mainly in: • General Freight (domestic coal, containers on rail, manganese and other identified commodities) • Export coal and iron ore in line with industry requirements and international demand • Port and Pipeline activities directly linked to GDP growth and demand (economic activity) Source: Transnet Freight Demand Model and the Logistics Cost Model

  15. However, perception of rail is weak globally in comparison to other modes • “So far there are few examples of efficient container movement by rail that compete with roads” • “Price signalling alone is unlikely to encourage a substantial shift towards freight rail beyond captive markets such as bulk goods” Source: World Bank, Connecting to Compete, 2010

  16. Contents Topics Transnet Performance and targets Cost of doing business regarding rail and freight Utilising public procurement spend to reduce supply chain costs- challenges and implications Opportunities and challenges presented by IPAP2

  17. Transnet has increased its spend with BBBEE suppliers significantly over the past 4 years • Significant focus has been placed on the BBBEE scorecard ratings • Emphasis has been placed on improving on Preferential Procurement and Enterprise Development • Spend with BBBEE companies has increased significantly BBBEE Spend (R billions) 2010 2008 2009 Source: Transnet

  18. Off a Total Procurement Spend of R20,68bn R13.52bn was spent on BBBEE companies in 2009/10 BEE procurement R13.5bn accounting for 65.35% of total procurement spend against a target of 65% Exempted Micro Enterprise (turnover below R5m) procurement R1.9bn accounting for 9.23% of total procurement spend against a target of 5% Qualifying Small Enterprise (turnover between R5m and R35m) procurement R2.7bn accounting for 13.24% of total procurement spend against a target of 5% Black Women Owned (30% shareholding) procurement R837m accounting for 4.05% of total procurement spend against a target of 6% Black Owned (50% shareholding) procurement R3.1bn accounting for 15.33% of total procurement spend against a target of 9%

  19. Supplier development is influenced by industrial policy and Transnet is currently partnering with government on a number of key action plans Current phase IPAP Key Action Plans Transnet’s Participation in IPAP Strengthen NIPP • Transnet has made significant progress in the adoption of CSDP. Over the past two years a phased approach to embedding CSDP at Transnet has been followed: • Phase 1: Develop the Plan; • Phase 2: Build the Foundation; and • Phase 3: Embed CSDP. • Significant CSDP transactions leading to high value supplier development interactions have been concluded with: • EMD; and • GE. • Transnet will augment its short term purchasing strategy with a move towards more long term strategic Fleet Procurement (Locomotives). • Transnet, together with UNIDO, is participating in the National Foundry Technology Network (NFTN), which is an initiative with the key objective of facilitating the development of a South African foundry industry through appropriate skills training and technology transfer. Overhaul of PPPFA Strengthen alignment between CSDP and NIPP Alignment between BBBEE and industrial policy Identification of strategic fleets Source: Transnet and IPAP2

  20. Transnet has already secured three major CSDP transactions • The current CSDP plan with EMD was finalised in November 2009. • The EMD CSDP plan aims for (1) TRE to become part of EMD’s Global Supply Chain for rebuilt traction motors and diesel engines, (2) to accredit TRE’s maintenance facilities for EMD locomotive maintenance and (3) to localise the supply of at least 10% of the value and/or quantity of the parts listed per the Spare Parts Agreement. • These CSDP goals will be achieved through the transfer of skills and relevant intellectual property required to carry out the activities mentioned. • EMD is already actively supporting TRE in acquiring new work in Africa. Such deals will be handled on a partnership basis – TRE is to do the work but commits to purchase the parts from EMD. • Execution of the EMD CSDP plan is well underway – Tooling has already been provided and EMD experts (approximately 5 at any one time) have been on the floor since 1 January 2010, guiding, training and advising employees to achieve the desired end state. EMD: Spare parts Contract Value:R550 million • The GE 100 loco deal is the biggest CSDP transaction to date making Transnet the leader in CSDP execution • The DPE has indicated their satisfaction with Transnet ‘s CSDP progress thus far • TRE will be a centre of excellence for locomotive OEMs. 50 “Like new” locomotives • The contract for the building of the 100 Locomotives was awarded to GE and signed on 17 December 2009. • GE developed a CSDP plan consisting of 3 main initiatives – training for maintenance development, Lean Six Sigma and Candidate Engineers; localisation of various components and parts as well as a licence agreement with TRE for the overhaul and modernisation of GE locomotives. • The details of this plan are under negotiation with every attempt being made by Transnet to ensure that activities provided meet the desired end state. • The signing of the CSDP Plan is likely to be postponed to June 2010 to ensure that a licensing commitment is reached between GE and Transnet. • The Licence Agreement would allow for TRE and GE to enter into a technology partnership for locomotive overhauls and modernisations, with GE being the prime contractor and TRE the sub-contractor. • 50 “Like-new” programme now complete under the equivalent of the CSDP Framework using Transnet Rail Engineering GE: 100 Loco deal Contract Value:R2.6 billion

  21. Transnet has also had a number of successful Supplier Development (SD) initiatives over the past 3 years resulting in significant development opportunity for the local industry Kalmar • Mitsui (VENUS/MARS)* VAE Surtees Penn Liebherr CSDP/SD Component Strategic Thrust • Transnet and the National Foundry Technology Network matched foundry to 100% local supply component • CSDP obligations were also included into the new tenders • Local manufacturing of railway crossings • Feasibility study to establish localisation opportunity • Local re-profiling of gears • Building a Cargotec (port handling equipment and freight solutions) training school with free training hours • Skills Development • Has previous NIPP obligations which they need to fulfill within 7 years from start of obligation • Specific will be centred around Ngqura Extension of the 19E contract – electric locomotive – by 35 vehicles • Training facility • Training for approximately 20 TRE maintenance practitioners

  22. Further opportunity exists to participate in Government’s metal fabrication, capital equipment and transport equipment key action plan (KAP) New Areas of Focus • Key Action Programme • Transnet, working together with the United Nations Industrial Development Organisation (“UNIDO”), is participating in the National Foundry Technology Network (“NFTN”), which is an initiative with the key objective of facilitating the development of a South African foundry industry through appropriate skills training and technology transfer. • Outcomes of this initiative: • Reduced import leakage; • Increased investments in key manufacturing processes and activities; and • Increased employment. • Metal Fabrication, capital equipment and transport equipment • Opportunities for growing the sector / achieving higher impact include: • Leveraging the public infrastructure programme presents an opportunity to stimulate the industry through reducing import leakage of the capital and operational expenditure programmes. • Export opportunities in the rest of Africa and South America. • Opportunity to extend value chains through further downstream manufacturing. Source: 2010/11 – 2012/13 Industrial Policy Action Plan

  23. To execute on the IPAP requirements, Transnet will focus on its procurement skills and capabilities Capability Building Collaboration forum • Integrated South African Procurement • Academy (ISAPA): • Independent Procurement Academy has been established. • BOOTCAMPS: • Three successful boot camps have been held to train procurement staff nationally in professional procurement principals. • Member of the Chartered Institute of • Purchasing and Supply (MCIPS): • Transnet launched a comprehensive procurement capability building programme. • Core to the programme is an ambitious procurement skills development programme, that is being run in partnership with the Chartered Institute of Procurement in the UK. • Presently, 235 learners are registered in courses of the programme. • During phase 1, twelve people have already achieved a fast-track globally recognised honours degree in procurement from the programme. • Initiated the use of the R&HSCA (Rail & Harbour Supply Chain Association) as a collaborative initiative with local tier 2 & 3 suppliers. • The focus of the association is on exchange of current trends, research and development, future plans and local supplier capability. • SADC operators will also be encouraged to participate allowing local suppliers to expand into Africa. • Transnet in partnership with UNIDO: • Has established a benchmarking program of its top twenty tier two South African suppliers as well as the top 60 tier 3 suppliers. • The objective is to enhance the competitiveness of these suppliers and position them as key components of the Transnet Original Equipment Manufacturers supply chain.

  24. Contents Topics Overview of Transnet Performance Cost of doing business regarding rail and freight Utilising public procurement spend to reduce supply chain costs- challenges and implications Opportunities and challenges presented by IPAP2

  25. Migration to programmatic fleet procurement practices provides significant value opportunity for Transnet Proposed IPAP action plans Opportunities for Transnet • Over the IPAP period the intention is to identify eight to ten large and strategic procurement “fleets”. • Locomotives, wagons and coaches for freight and commuter rail procured by Transnet and the Passenger Rail Agency of South Africa (“PRASA”) have been selected as a strategic fleet. • IPAP ensures a mechanism to “designate” large, strategic and repeat “fleet” procurements. • Procuring entities of designated “fleets” will be required to develop a long-term strategic plan in conjunction with DTI which sets out a detailed specification of the tender setting out explicitly the sequentially increase of local procurement and supplier development requirements. • Migration from Transactional procurement of locomotive fleet to strategic programmatic procurement practices resulting in: • Standardisation of local fleet and a standardisation strategy commensurate with international demand to ensure industry sustainability • Alleviation of the legislative restriction on long term supplier contracts to enhance the opportunity for supplier development (migration from 5 year contracts to 15 year engagements) • Improved demand visibility resulting in stronger investment commitment from international OEMs • Renewal of current fleet resulting in improved availability, reliability and reduced cost  increased volume capacity Source: 2010/11 – 2012/13 Industrial Policy Action Plan

  26. There is significant demand to support a strategic procurement programme as envisaged in IPAP2 SA can become supplier to Africa, Australia, Brazil and all other countries that run on Cape (1067mm) or metric (1000mm) gauge. Can supply new as well as upgrade locomotives for abovementioned countries. Negate FOREX influence on a major portion of locomotive prices for Transnet. Boost steel industry in SA by using local supply for structural components. Stimulate control system industry in SA by increasing technology requirement. Increased requirements for special steel and copper for electric motor building. Increase overall engineering & technological capability of SA. • Transnet has developed a locomotive fleet plan which is aimed at reducing the average age of the locomotive fleet from 30 years to below 20 years. • To achieve this Transnet will purchase between 75 and 100 locos per annum over a prolonged period. • Through smoothing the acquisition cycle, Transnet will better enable local development by providing a stable pattern of demand. • Transnet is also developing a fleet plan for cranes and is investigating CSDP opportunities through this plan.

  27. Transnet is in full support of the Industrial Policy Action Plan and anticipates a number of advantages for Transnet and its domestic supplier industry arising from the implementation of the Plan • A world class freight system is critical for increased industrialisation in South Africa and the region. • Transnet is focused on improving market share and customer service through an enhanced focus on operating efficiencies, infrastructure investment and public private partnerships. • Transnet remains committed to strengthening its role as an active IPAP partner by accelerating the implementation of CSDP across the business. • Transnet can gain significantly from a migration to programmatic procurement. 26

  28. Thank You

  29. Additional Information

  30. 8 Capital Investment Plan by Nature and Asset Type Capital Investment Expansion (R34.2bn) vs Replacement (R59.2bn) 8.7 11.0 5.1 5.5 3.9 2010/11 Budget 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 Expansion Replacement Five-Year Investment in Assets (Rbn) Pipeline networks Port Facilities 11.5 15.1 Floating Craft 3.0 Aircraft, Machinery, Equipment and furniture Land, Buildings and Structure 6.6 6.6 15.1 16.8 Locomotives Permanent way and works 18.7 * Total investment in coal line: R9.8bn (included in rolling stock and infrastructure projects Wagons Source: Transnet

  31. Understanding South Africa’s Port Costs $600,000.00 $500,000.00 $400,000.00 $300,000.00 $200,000.00 $100,000.00 $0.00 SANTOS TILBURY DURBAN NAGOYA LE HAVRE ANTWERP NEW YORK VERA CRUZ YOKOHAMA BALTIMORE SINGAPORE CAPE TOWN CHARLESTON BUENOS AIRES BREMERHAVEN LAEM CHABANG PORT ELIZABETH Terminal Handling Charge Cargo Dues Sea Side Costs DTI’S PORT COSTS COMPARISON GRAPH: AIDC Port Benchmarking Study, 2007 • Cargo dues are the charges that Transnet charges port users for the recovery of its investment in port infrastructure • Transnet is solely responsible for all port infrastructure investment: land, berths, docks, dredging (berth side, turning basin & channel) and receives no subsidies from central government or local government for these costs • Comparing SA’s port costs needs to show institutional responsibility for port infrastructure, which varies widely between ports • Port investments made by central and local governments in other countries are not recovered through port charges • Transnet must recover its investments in port infrastructure to ensure future investments Average Cost per Vessel Call

  32. Understanding South Africa’s Port Costs (cont.) IDENTIFICATION OF INSTITUTIONAL RESPONSIBILITY FOR PORT INVESTMENT ITEMS Abbreviations: CG: Central Government; LG: Local Government; PA: Port Authority; TO: Terminal Operator 31

  33. South Africa’s port performance is higher than average South Africa and the region are exposed to high container shipping charges and attempts to address this are underway through the establishment of a regional transhipment hub at the Port of Ngqura. Source: World Bank, Connecting to Compete, 2010

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