1 / 44

Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results

Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results. David Ory (dory@mtc.ca.gov) Metropolitan Transportation Commission March 23, 2011 Presentation for Regional Modeling Working Group. Which scenarios. GHG first. Travel model results. Other targets. Next steps. Questions.

rusty
Download Presentation

Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results David Ory (dory@mtc.ca.gov) Metropolitan Transportation Commission March 23, 2011 Presentation for Regional Modeling Working Group

  2. Which scenarios. • GHG first. • Travel model results. • Other targets. • Next steps. • Questions.

  3. Year 2005 (version 0.0). • Year 2020, Current Regional Plans (v 0.0). • Year 2020, Initial Vision (v 0.0). • Year 2035, Current Regional Plans (v 0.0). • Year 2035, Initial Vision (v 0.0).

  4. Which scenarios. • GHG first. From air basin to nine counties. • Travel model results. • Other targets. • Next steps. • Questions.

  5. -15.0 percent ARB Target -10.6 percent Current Regional Plans Initial Vision with T-2035 -11.2 percent -11.6 percent Initial Vision • 2035

  6. -7.0 percent ARB Target -8.8 percent Current Regional Plans Initial Vision -10.3 percent • 2020

  7. Which scenarios. • GHG first. • Travel model results. • Other targets. • Next steps. • Questions.

  8. Population Synthesizer

  9. Roadway & Transit Supply Price Quantity

  10. Automobile Ownership Image source: sedonakathy.wordpress.com

  11. Scheduling Image source: flickr.com/sbisson

  12. 2005

  13. 2035 CRP

  14. 2035 IVS

  15. Activity Locations/ Travel Distance Image source: flickr.com/bigtimes

  16. Travel Mode Choice Image sources: sedonakathy.wordpress.com; greencar.com

  17. 2035 CRP

  18. 2035 IVS

  19. Transit Utilization Image source: flickr.com/SpokkerJones

  20. Roadway Utilization Image source: flickr.com/cookieevans5

  21. Year 2005 VMT by Household Location: http://geocommons.com/maps/56363 Year 2035 Current Regional Plans VMT by Household Location: http://geocommons.com/maps/56379

  22. Which scenarios. • GHG first. • Travel model results. • Other targets  See Planning Cmte Packet. • Next steps. • Questions.

  23. Which scenarios. • GHG first. • Travel model results. • Other targets. • Next steps. • Questions.

  24. Continue RTP analytical work Find & Fix Bugs Continue sensitivity tests (HOT & gas prices) Find & Fix Bugs Update runs using model version 0.1 Find & Fix Bugs

  25. Which scenarios. • GHG first. • Travel model results. • Other targets. • Next steps. • Questions.

More Related