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Korea & the World (13) Korean Nuclear Power/Weapons

Korea & the World (13) Korean Nuclear Power/Weapons. 2010. 6. 1 김 병 구 bkkim9@gmail.com. This Week in Brief. 한 . 중 . 일 제주 정상회담 (5.29-30) ‘ 삶의 질 ’ 최고 글로벌 10 대 도시 1.Vienna 2.Zurich 3.Geneva 4.Munich 5.Dusseldorf 6.Vancouver 7.Oakland 8.Syd 전자책 (e-book) 세계 도서시장 25% 예상

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Korea & the World (13) Korean Nuclear Power/Weapons

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  1. Korea & the World (13)Korean Nuclear Power/Weapons 2010. 6. 1 김 병 구 bkkim9@gmail.com

  2. This Week in Brief • 한.중.일 제주 정상회담 (5.29-30) • ‘삶의 질’ 최고 글로벌 10대 도시 • 1.Vienna 2.Zurich 3.Geneva 4.Munich 5.Dusseldorf 6.Vancouver 7.Oakland 8.Syd • 전자책(e-book) 세계 도서시장 25% 예상 • 영국 핵탄두 보유량 225개 • 막걸리 영문 애칭 “Drunken Rice”

  3. Special Case of NK • 1985 Signed NPT • 1992 SG Agreement with IAEA, first crisis • 1994 Agreed Framework, KEDO Project • 2002 NPT withdrawal, second crisis • 2006 Nuclear test (Poonggye) • 2007 6-Party Talks, resolution agreed • 2009 2nd nuclear test • 2010 Cheonan-ham torpedo

  4. Current Status of 6-P Talks (2008-) • Shut-down, dismantle of 5MW cooling tower • Elimination from US terror country list • IAEA inspectors on Yongbyun site • Verification process underway • Heavy oil supplied (half) • First ROK nuclear expert visited Yongbyun (2009.1) • Nuclear brinkmanship continues • NK/US talks under “Grand Bargain”

  5. 천안함 사태 • 6자 회담 유보 상태 (2010. 5 현재) • 한국 안보체제 재 점검 • 국제사회 공조 확보 • 중국 지지 확보가 관건 • 북한 고립상태 가중화 예상 • UN 안보리 의결, 추가제재 전망

  6. UAE 원전 수출 계약 • 4X1400 3세대 원전, 건설비 186억$ • 사상 최대 규모, 건설단가 ~$3,300/kW • 추가 60년 운전보수 계약 기대 • 3사 국제경쟁입찰 프랑스/미국/한국 • 1987년 미국 원천기술 도입 대상국 • UAE 한국 선정 사유 • “Proven safety and economy” • 한국형 APR-1400 로형처녀 수출 • 한/UAE 핵확산민감 지역 • No reprocessing, no enrichment

  7. Summary • New window of opportunity for major NW disarmament • Day and night contrast in Korean peninsula, caused by nuclear • NK nuclear issue – the Achilles tendon • Cheonan-ham crisis • Korean opportunities from UAE export to others

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