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European Commercial Potential for Inhalation Drug Delivery in Diabetes. Interactive Analyst Briefing - 8 November 2002. Morten Soegaard, Research Analyst Pharmaceuticals Group. Agenda. Aim and purpose of the report Overview of technologies in development
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European Commercial Potential for Inhalation Drug Delivery in Diabetes Interactive Analyst Briefing - 8 November 2002 Morten Soegaard, Research AnalystPharmaceuticals Group
Agenda • Aim and purpose of the report • Overview of technologies in development • Drivers and restraints for inhalation insulin • Strategic challenges • Revenue forecasts • Conclusions
About the research • Aim of the report • Methodology • Segmentation • Insulin • Oral diabetes medications • Inhalation insulin
Technologies in Development Launch Company Technology Exubera Late 2004 Aventis/Pfizer/Inhale AERx iDMS Early 2006 Novo Nordisk/Aradigm AIR 2008 Eli Lilly/Alkermes Aerodose 2007 Aerogen Technospheres 2008 PDC
Drivers and Restraints Drivers for Inhalation Insulin • Unmet need for non-invasive insulin delivery • Increased use of insulin in type 2 diabetes Restraints for Inhalation Insulin • Price of treatment • Concerns over safety • Emerging non-invasive delivery technologies • Other emerging treatments for diabetes
Future Competitive Environment • Time to market • Pricing / Reimbursement • Device advantage • Relative competitiveness • Profitability
Strategic Challenges • Identifying a medical need • More than a convenience technology • Expanding the patient base • Wider reimbursement • Private market
Launch: mid 2005 Benelux Region: Revenue Forecasts $m
Conclusions • Technologies only marginally different • Strong focus on marketing effort • Notable insulin market share, but from few patients
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