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Analyzing Conventional and Emerging Radar Technologies for the May 8th, 2007 Central Oklahoma Tornado Case. Jared Rennie Student Meteorologist: Plymouth State University Mentor: David Andra (SOO) NWS Norman, Oklahoma. Outline. Introduction / Objectives Background / Methodology
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Analyzing Conventional and Emerging Radar Technologies for the May 8th, 2007 Central Oklahoma Tornado Case Jared Rennie Student Meteorologist: Plymouth State University Mentor: David Andra (SOO) NWS Norman, Oklahoma
Outline • Introduction / Objectives • Background / Methodology • Results / Conclusions • Summary • Acknowledgements / Questions
Introduction / Objectives • Since the WSR-88D, forecasters have been able to improve detection of severe weather. • However, over the past few years, new Radar technologies have been developed to better help predict mesoscale / microscale phenomena within these storms. Which radar proves to be the most effective when “seeing the storm” at not only a clearer resolution, but also an earlier time frame?
Background • 4 types of Radars in Central Oklahoma
WSR-88D • 158 network Radars • Wavelength: 10 cm • Maximum Range: 230 km • Volume Scan Updates: ~ 213 seconds • KTLX in Cleveland County, OK
TDWR • Terminal Doppler Weather Radar • 44 radars operated by the FAA • Wavelength: 5 cm • Maximum Range: 90 km • Volume Scan Updates: ~60 seconds
Phased Array Radar (MPAR) • Operated by NSSL • National Weather Radar Testbed (NWRT) • Flat panel antenna • Wavelength: 9.4 cm • Maximum Range: 230 km • Volume Scan Updates: ~29 seconds
CASA Radars • Low powered radars that can see the lowest levels of the atmosphere • Wavelength: 3 cm • Maximum Range: 30 km • Volume Scan Updates: ~60 seconds • Four radars in Oklahoma • Chickasha, Cyril, Lawton, and Rush Springs
Case: May 8th, 2007 • Mesoscale Convective Vortex (MCV) • 23Z (6pm) – 07Z (2am) • Propagated northeastward • Thermodynamics • CAPE Values over 2000 J/Kg • Lifted Index: -6° C • Low Level Wind Shear • Two tornadoes officially entered as LSR
Methodology • Warning Decision Support System: Integrated Information (WDSS – II) • NOAA’s Hazardous Weather Test Bed
Methodology (cont.) • 0.5° velocity scans of KTLX, TDWR, MPAR and the 2° scans of CASA • Pinpoint circulations that were depicted by at least two of the four radars. • Calculate Shear Shear = | Inbound (ms-1) | + | Outbound (ms-1) | Diameter (m)
Expectations • Shear values for the Phased Array and CASA radars should to be higher than those from KTLX and TDWR. • Higher resolution. • Due to faster updates, TDWR, Phased Array, and CASA should detect phenomena that KTLX would not.
Results • Eight circulations during time period • KTLX / TDWR saw all eight • MPAR saw six • Three in CASA Network • Four out of the eight circulations • Vortex one, three, four, five.
Vortex One • 1:00 – 2:35 UTC • Tornado reported at 1:15 UTC in Comanche County • In all four radars • TDWR did not pick up until ~ 2Z • Not in range
Vortex Three • 3:10 – 3:45 UTC • MPAR not on • In the CASA Network
TDWR KTLX ? CASA
Vortex Four • 4:22 – 4:28 UTC • Outside of CASA Network • Possible F0, but not entered as local storm report
Vortex Five • 4:40 – 4:59 UTC • Outside of CASA Network • Tornado reported at 4:45 UTC in Canadian County
Conclusions • No radar is perfect. • Advantages and disadvantages
Conclusions (KTLX) • Advantages • Large network across the lower 48 • Rarely any downtime • Was able to see all vortices in case • Disadvantages • Relatively coarse resolution • Updates only every 4 – 5 minutes
Conclusions (TDWR) • Advantages • Calculated low level wind shear well at a clear resolution • Updates every 60 seconds • Able to see all vortices in case • Disadvantages • Radius only 90 km
Conclusions (MPAR) • Advantages • Calculated wind shear well • Updates every 29 seconds • Disadvantages • Only one flat panel antenna • Maintenance issues when turned on
Conclusions (CASA) • Advantages • Very high resolution • Had highest shear values • Other small scale circulations that other radars did not pick up on • Disadvantages • Attenuation • Circulation versus noise • Issues displaying high velocity values
Summary • Four conventional and emerging radar technologies used by NOAA for forecasting and research • May 8th 2007 gave researchers an MCV that was in all four radars • After analysis, each radar has its advantages and disadvantages. • More research needs to be done
Acknowledgments • Heinselman, Pamela L., 2007: Comparison of storm evolution characteristics: The NWRT and WSR-88D. 87th Annual AMS Meeting, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc. • HPC, cited 2007: Surface Analysis Archive [available online at http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/sfc_archive.shtml] • PSU Vortex, cited 2007: Product Generator for Archived Data [available online at http://vortex.plymouth.edu/u-make.html] • SPC, cited 2007: Severe Thunderstorm Events [available online at http://w1.spc.woc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/events/] • Vasiloff , Steven V., 2001: Improving Tornado Warnings with the Federal Aviation Administration’s Terminal Doppler Weather Radar. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 5, 861-174. This research was performed under appointment to the NOAA Ernest F. Hollings Undergraduate Scholarship Program administered by Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education for The U.S. Department of Commerce.