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GFNORTE: 1Q08 Results. June, 2008. Contents. Recent Performance. Asset Quality & Capitalization. Final Considerations. Money Market. 16%. Demand. 52%. Time. 32%. Banorte at a Glance. Market Share. Total. 1,062. 14%. Branches. 3,812. 14%. ATM’s. $18.6. 12%. Loans (US bn).
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GFNORTE: 1Q08 Results June, 2008
Contents • Recent Performance. • Asset Quality & Capitalization. • Final Considerations.
Money Market 16% Demand 52% Time 32% Banorte at a Glance Market Share Total 1,062 14% Branches 3,812 14% ATM’s $18.6 12% Loans (US bn) $15.5 13% Core Deposits (US bn) Deposits Loans Consumer Corporate 15% 19% Government 9% Mortgage 19% 38% Commercial
16% 20% Recent Results Recap MILLION PESOS 1Q07 1Q08 Net Income 1,663 1,928 11% ROE 24.0% 23.2% ROA 2.7% 2.6% Net Interest Margin 7.1% 7.9% Performing Loan Growth 24% 29% Past Due Loan Ratio 1.4% 1.6% 12% Stock Price 52.30 46.14 Book Value 14.03 16.79 P/BV 3.73 2.75
Quarterly Net Income MILLION PESOS Non-recurring Recurring 1,928 237 1,685 1,663 1,691 286 1,377 1Q07 4Q07 1Q08
Income Statement MILLION PESOS Change YoY 1Q07 1Q08 3,821 5,179 36% Net Interest Income 2,104 1,961 (7%) Non Interest Income 1,418 1,573 11% Service Fees Recovery 116 190 64% FX & Trading 569 198 (65%) Total Income 5,925 7,140 21% (3,469) (3,799) 10% Non Interest Expense 2,456 3,341 36% Net Operating Income Provisions (261) (1,005) 284% Non Operating Income, Net 345 702 103% (926) (1,075) 16% Income Tax Subs & Minority Interest 49 (34) (170%) 1,663 1,928 16% Net Income
Non Interest Expense BILLION PESOS 1Q07 1Q08 3.5 3.8 Non Interest Expense 10% EFFICIENCY RATIO 60% 58% 53% 1Q08 1Q06 1Q07
Net Interest Margin vs CETES PERCENTAGE 8.2 8.0 7.9 7.9 NIM 7.7 7.7 7.6 7.5 107% 7.1 99% 7.4 7.4 7.5 7.2 CETES 7.1 7.1 7.0 7.0 7.0 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08
21% 27% 18% 11% Core Deposits BILLION PESOS 1Q07 1Q08 Deposits 1Q06 81 95 103 Demand 9% 45 57 63 Time 126 152 166 Total 9% Mix 63% 62% 64% Demand 37% 38% 36% Time 100% 100% 100%
Performing Loan Portfolio BILLION PESOS 199 193 155 1Q07 4Q07 1Q08 Change 1Q07 4Q07 1Q08 QoQ YoY Consumer 52 63 67 5% 29% 62 75 76 2% 23% Commercial 26 37 39 5% 48% Corporate 15 18 18 (2%) 15% Government Total 155 193 199 3% 29%
Performing Consumer Loan Portfolio BILLION PESOS 67 63 52 1Q07 4Q07 1Q08 Change 1Q07 4Q07 1Q08 QoQ YoY 5% 32% 29 36 38 Mortgage 7 7 7 3% 11% Car Credit Card 11 14 15 8% 39% Payroll 5 6 6 2% 20% 52 63 67 5% 29% Consumer
Infrastructure 1Q07 1Q08 6% Branches 998 1,062 18% ATM’s 3,245 3,812 POS’s 22,592 29,596 31% Employees 16,343 7% 17,428
Consumer Loans NEW LOANS IN BILLION PESOS CAR PAYROLL & PERSONAL MORTGAGE 2.90 2.46 2.40 1.61 1.59 1.60 1.41 1.36 1.27 1Q06 1Q07 1Q06 1Q07 1Q08 1Q06 1Q07 1Q08 1Q08
Mortgage ORIGINATION BY CHANNEL IN MILLION PESOS Amount Change % % of Total 1Q08 1Q07 1Q08 Traditional 1,354 1,308 3% 47% Equity 273 295 (8%) 9% Apoyo Infonavit / Cofinavit 875 620 30% 41% Pemex 400 124% 179 14% Total 2,402 2,902 21% 100%
Credit Card THOUSANDS OF NEW CARDS 185 147 77 1Q08 1Q06 1Q07
Recovery Bank NET INCOME IN MILLION PESOS 1Q07 1Q08 Total 131 167 AUM IN BILLION PESOS 1Q07 1Q08 % 4% Acquired Loans 49 51 14% Assets 7 8 100% Projects 1.3 2.6
Long Term Savings NET INCOME IN MILLION PESOS 1Q07 1Q08 Total 132 79 AFORE ANNUITIES INSURANCE ROE: 5% ROE: 27% ROE: 16% 59 46 39 33 26 8 1Q07 1Q08 1Q07 1Q08 1Q07 1Q08
Other Finance Companies NET INCOME IN MILLION PESOS 1Q07 1Q08 Total 74 71 FACTORING & LEASING WAREHOUSING ROE: 26% ROE: 18% 66 60 5 4 1Q07 1Q08 1Q07 1Q08
Brokerage and Microlending NET INCOME IN MILLION PESOS BROKERAGE MICROLENDING ROE: 27% 71 63 1Q08 1Q07 1Q07 1Q08 (1) (9)
11% 11% 18% 15% Banorte USA MILLION DOLLARS 1Q08 1Q07 INB Performing Loans 891 1,025 Net Interest Margin 4.2% 4.2% Net Income (70%) 3.9 4.6 ROE 22.9% 22.1% Efficiency 42.8% 40.3%
Asset Quality PAST DUE LOAN RATIO RESERVE COVERAGE 149% 1.6% 1.5% 131% 1.4% 127% 1Q07 4Q07 1Q08 1Q07 4Q07 1Q08
Asset Quality of Consumer Loans PAST DUE LOAN RATIO CREDIT CARDS MORTGAGES 5.9% 5.6% 4.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 1Q07 4Q07 1Q08 1Q07 4Q07 1Q08 AUTO PAYROLLS 2.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.6% 1Q07 4Q07 1Q08 1Q07 4Q07 1Q08
Capitalization Ratio PERCENTAGE 1Q06 1Q07 1Q08 13.0% 11.0% 10.3% Tier 1 2.6% 4.9% 4.3% Tier 2 15.6% 15.9% 14.6% TOTAL 83% 69% 70% Percentage Tier 1
Subordinated Debt Issuance Rationale: • Strengthen Banorte’s growth capacity. • No dilution to existing shareholders. • Reduction in the bank’s cost of capital. • Tap the liquid peso market.
Local Subordinated Debt Issuance MILLION PESOS Placed with non-Afore institutional investors and retail clients. Type Amount Term Rate Callable Rating Tier 1 $3,000 10 years TIIE + 0.60 bp Year 5+ Aaa.mx Tier 2 $1,962 20 years UDIS 4.95% Year 15+ Aaa.mx Total $4,962 TIIE + 0.79 bp
Subordinated Debt Issuance Improving Banorte’s cost of capital: March 2008 October 2006 February 2004 Amount (million pesos) 4,962 3,275 6,554 15 13 10 Average Term (years) 9.1% Cost 8.7% 9.3% 326 bp 79 bp 221 bp Spread over TIIE
SME Focus • Sector with high economic impact. • Generates 60% of GDP and 12 million jobs. • Includes 98% of the country’s companies. • Low financial penetration. • 6 out of 10 do not use bank lending. • Main concern is high interest rates. • Financing is through suppliers. • Profitable product. • High ROE’s. • Low delinquencies. • Guarantees: Assets + Government Programs (SE & Nafinsa).
SME Focus • Initiatives and product / service transformation. • Comprehensive product offering. New business model • to amount of parametric loans originated at the branch level. • 900 thousand to 4 million UDIS. Favorable regulation • Specialized sales force at branch level. • New product development: • SME package (Paquete PYMES). • New Asset Backed Loans (Crediactivo). Continuos innovation
Banorte – Comerci Alliance • SOFOM: Authorization process. • Staffing and IT development. • Risk models. • Product development and testing. • Operations will begin in 2H08.
Challenges • Adequate reading of uncertain environment: • Reduced liquidity in international markets. • Slower economic growth and rising inflation. • Asset quality & profitability. • Initiatives: • Continue domestic footprint expansion. • Alliance with Comercial Mexicana.
Opportunities • Continued expansion of margins and fees. • Capitalize on vigorous loan growth. • Improve productive asset mix. • Focus on volumes to offset lower commissions. • Improve efficiency. • Costs under control in spite of investment program. • Accelerating revenue base. • Increase in core earnings as a % of total profits. • Continue delivering robust net income growth.