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Ocean Vector Wind Experience. Joe Sienkiewicz NOAA Ocean Prediction Center. NOAA Ocean Prediction Center – impact on operations. QuikSCAT wide swath 2 passes per day consistency wind range Cultural change revolutionized warning, analysis and forecast processes
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Ocean Vector Wind Experience Joe Sienkiewicz NOAA Ocean Prediction Center
NOAA Ocean Prediction Center – impact on operations QuikSCAT wide swath 2 passes per day consistency wind range Cultural change revolutionized warning, analysis and forecast processes focus on Hurricane Force conditions Success – timely availability in forecaster workstations
kts Hurricane Force Extratropical Cyclone Intense, non-tropical cyclones with hurricane force winds Feb 09, 2007, North Atlantic
Improved wind algorithm, rain impact flag available Oct 06 QuikSCAT winds Operational in N-AWIPS Workstations Oct 01 12.5 km QuikSCAT Available May 04 Hurricane Force Wind Warning Initiated Dec 2000 QuikSCAT Launch Jun 99 Atlantic -194 Pacific - 177 371 HF Cyclones Hurricane Force Extratropical Cyclones Observed
34-kt wind radii from QuikSCAT Accurate 34-kt wind radii critical for timing and placement of coastal watches and warnings QuikSCAT and Tropical Cyclones at NHC • Estimating intensity, especially for tropical depressions and tropical storms, but cannot be used for major hurricanes • Detection/tracking of TC centers for analysis and model initialization • Improved gale and storm force wind radii analysis in TCs affects watch/warning areas
Gap Winds – Gulf of Tehuantepec 12.5-km retrievals available • Eight-year QuikSCAT-based climatology finds average of 12.4 gale-force events and 5.5 storm-force events per season • 10-m wind guidance from operational NWP guidance currently available to TAFB forecasters has little skill in predicting storm-force Tehuantepec events • Composite results suggest there may be identifiable synoptic-scale signals to help forecasters differentiate between storm-force and gale-force Tehuantepec events
kts Diagnostic of NWP initial conditions GFS – 3 hour forecast of wind speed 12.5 km QuikSCAT Maximum Wind speed 20 knots Maximum Wind speed 40 knots A GALE warning was issued.
Magnitude of SST gradient GOES SST composite Winds near SST gradients
Winds near SST gradients GFS wind speed bias for marginally stable PBL
OSVW Measurements • Benefit - mainly to offices with large areas of ocean responsibility • Limitations to date – coastal waters, rain, resolution, and retrievals in high winds
Existing, Planned & Proposed OVW Missions 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 1000 km MIS C-2 WINDSAT 500 km – failure ofon-board recording 2 x 550 km w/ 720-km nadir gap ERS-2 ASCAT/METOP – 3-satellite series AMI/ERS-2 Timely data access / quality? HY-2 – 3-satellite series Timely data access /quality? SeaWINDS/ADEOS-II OceanSat-2 scatterometer 1800 km Seawinds/QuikSCAT Q’SCAT Follow-on In orbit Approved Planned/Pending Approval