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2011 Political Report

Governor Jerry Brown's leadership, voter sentiments, and key issues in California's political landscape. Analysis of likely voters' opinions on the state's direction, budget priorities, and views on Governor Brown. Comparison of favorability ratings, voter confidence, budget awareness, and reactions to proposed solutions.

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2011 Political Report

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  1. 2011 Political Report

  2. Brown, speaking to KCBS radio, said: “You’ve got to get real here… Don’t say I’m going to solve this problem by creating a bunch of new problems that we’ll have even more trouble handling.”

  3. Is California going in the right or wrong direction? (among likely voters) • Right direction: 32% • Wrong direction: 61% • Don’t know: 7%

  4. ISSUE PRIORITIES among likely voters • Balancing the State Budget – 35% • Jobs, economy – 31% • Education – 15%

  5. Gov. JERRY BROWN • Favorably view: 56% • Non-favorably view: 38% ____________________________________________________________________________________________ +18 points Favorability has improved since Nov. 2010: 50/42 (Nov. 2010) – 56/38 (January 2011) * Voter confidence in Brown: 53/44 = +9 points

  6. What are voters hearing? Majority of voters have heard a great deal about California’s budget: • 57% - heard a great deal • 29% - heard some • 10% - just a little • 4% - nothing/don’t know

  7. Likely voters agree a mix of cuts and taxes is needed to solve the budget gap 2011: +14 points • 53% - preventing deep cuts in education and health care most important • 39% - preventing tax increases most important *2009 same question: 42% & 49% = +7 points

  8. Governor’s Budget ProposalVote on tax/fee package with major spending cuts to close the $25 billion budget deficit • Satisfied: 58% • Dissatisfied: 29% • Haven’t heard/Don’t’ know: 13%

  9. 2010 vs.. 2011 • November 2010: 10 million voters • June 2011: 3.5 million expected to vote

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