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Canada’s trade in services by industry ■ Statistics Canada. Presentation for OECD-Eurostat Expert Meeting on Trade in services September 19 th , 2007. Presentation. Description of Canadian statistics Issues with the current methodology
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Canada’s trade in services by industry ■ Statistics Canada Presentation for OECD-Eurostat Expert Meeting on Trade in services September 19th, 2007
Presentation • Description of Canadian statistics • Issues with the current methodology • Redesign of the trade in services program: improved methodology
Description of Canadian statistics • Transactions by industry available for commercial services (all services excluding travel, transportation and government services) • 26 categories of commercial services • 8 industrial groups: 2 for goods and 6 for services • Based on North American Industrial Classification (NAICS) • 1 memorandum item for ICT industry • No geographical breakdown • Available since reference year 1999 • Plan to backcast to 1990
Description of Canadian statistics • Large concentration of services in few industries • Limited number of published industrial categories • Statistics compiled at NAICS-6 digits level • Published at NAICS-2 digits or even less • Frequent requests from users as lack of details for published statistics • Increasing interest in these statistics for issues such as outsourcing
Issues with the current methodology • Strength of using diversified sources vs. weakness of using different sources • Current industrial classification extracted from different sources but not consistently updated • Sources used: • Main survey on international trade in services • Large number of specialized surveys covering specific industries • Administrative data on trade between affiliates • Sources cover diverse parts of the units (enterprise, establishment, etc.) • No link with central Business Register (BR) • BOP had its own frame
Issues with the current methodology • Possible duplication • Not an accurate portray of the units (could still estimate for an inactive unit) • No consistent treatment between units • Interrogation about data quality = limitation of published categories • Difficulty to link data with other economic statistics
Redesign of the trade in services program • Global project to improve trade in (commercial) services program • Objectives: Improve coverage, methodology, questionnaires, compatibility with other statistics, etc. • Involve a link with the Business Register • Complete structure of the unit will be available in the new BR • Industrial classification extracted from Business Register • Industrial classification based on the dominant activity • Industrial classification (NAICS) will be an important indicator for the stratification of the services sample
Redesign of the trade in services program • First step [fall 2007]: Link BOP units with Business Register • Find the appropriate top enterprise for each unit • Eliminate non-matches • Able to provide inputs to Business Register • Change in the collection process: Is the top enterprise always the best to provide statistics?
Redesign of the trade in services program • Second step [winter 2008]: Use Business Register to determine the target population and the sample • Establish criteria of selection based on known trade in services activities, industrial classification, and revenues • Over sampling certain industries
Redesign of the trade in services program • Third step [2009?]: Increase the level of published details for trade by industry • More confident in statistics due to better and more consistent methodology • Probable break in time series • Link micro data on trade in services with other economic micro data (employment, investments, etc.) • Other projects: Export and import registers • Reactive statistics on country of control
Thank you for your attention Questions / Comments ?