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A Typology of Methods for Setting P romotion Budgets And The Great New Debate!. Ted Mitchell. Three Major Approaches. Cost-Based Methods (AKA Forecasted Sales Methods) Competitive-Based Methods (AKA Market Share methods) Customer-Based Methods (AKA Demand-Based Methods).
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A Typology of Methods for Setting Promotion BudgetsAnd The Great New Debate! Ted Mitchell
Three Major Approaches • Cost-Based Methods • (AKA Forecasted Sales Methods) • Competitive-Based Methods • (AKA Market Share methods) • Customer-Based Methods • (AKA Demand-Based Methods)
3 Layers of Promotion Budget • 1) Head Office Strategic Task of Allocating Corporate Budget to SBUs/Markets • 2) SBU Strategic Tasks of • a) Choosing the Budget for the Period • b) Making Incremental Changes • 3) SBU Tactical Tasks of Allocating SBU Budget between the Push and the Pull, choosing among the media, etc
Two Types of Budget Problems • 1) Head Office Strategic Task of Allocating Corporate Budget to SBUs/Markets • 2) SBU Strategic Tasks of • a) Choosing the Budget for the Period • b) Making Incremental Changes • 3) SBU Tactical Tasks of Allocating SBU Budget between the Push and the Pull, choosing among the media, etc
Two Types of Budget Problems • 1) SBU Strategic Tasks of • a) Choosing the Budget for the Period • b) Making Incremental Changes • 2) Allocating Budget at the Business Level and the Corporate level
Two Business Level or SBU Type Applications • 1) Setting the total promotion budget for a planning period or for a specific project or task • 2) Making Incremental Changes to an existing budget for improving performance
Budget AllocationProblems Strategic and Tactical levels • Using ‘Return on Investment’ as the metric for giving more to one and less to anotherSBU A versus SBU BBrand A versus Brand BPush Plan A versus Pull Plan BDirect mail plan A versus Direct mail plan B • The Winner is the one with the Highest Return on Investment
Strategic and Tactical Problems of Budget Allocation • Using ‘Return on Investment’ • First constraint is The budget limit or cut-off“We have a maximum budget of $490,000” • Second Constraintis The investment opportunities are lumpy and finite“We have to choose between Plan A and B”
The NO Problem Decision Allocating Budget Between Programs or Plans
The NO Problem Decision Allocating Budget Between Programs or Plans
A 12% return on the additional $200,000 is below the cut-off of 20% • Use the $200,000 in the bank and make an ROI of 20% which is $40,0000 • Add it to the less profitable Direct mail and your profit goes to $120,000 for Direct #1
BUT!!!!! • Doesn’t the Increase in Sales, Revenues, Market Share, Gross Profits count for anything
Welcome to the Debate! • The Most Important Debate in The History of Marketing!