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Outlook of Brazilian Agriculture

Outlook of Brazilian Agriculture. XVI Joint Meeting of the BRAZIL – JAPAN Economic Cooperation Committee September 23 rd , 2013 Belo Horizonte – Minas Gerais, Brazil. Data sources: USDA, FAO, CIA, UN, CONAB, MAFF. Agrex do Brasil (former “Los Grobo Ceagro do Brasil”).

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Outlook of Brazilian Agriculture

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  1. Outlook of Brazilian Agriculture XVI Joint Meeting of the BRAZIL – JAPAN Economic Cooperation Committee September 23rd, 2013 Belo Horizonte – Minas Gerais, Brazil Data sources: USDA, FAO, CIA, UN, CONAB, MAFF

  2. Agrex do Brasil (former “Los Grobo Ceagro do Brasil”) Mitsubishi Corporation has acquired a Brazilian grain company. “Agrex do Brasil S/A” (former “Los Grobo Ceagro do Brasil”) WHY ??? MA PI TO BA MT GO

  3. World Demand for Grain Will Further Increase Example: Soybeans World Import Forecast 2013 ( 95 million tons ) 2023 ( 144 million tons ) Others Others EU 11mil (8%) EU 12mil (13%) Asia 72mil (76%) Asia 117mil (81%) • In the next decade, the world will need to import soybeans • 49 million tons MORE, or 52% INCREASE. • Most of the incremental comes from Asia.

  4. World Demand for Grain Will Further Increase • World Population: • Now: 7.1 billions • 2023: 7.9 billions • (2050: 10.0 billions) • Improvement of Living Standard (Change of Dietary): • 1kg of Egg = 3kg of grain • 1kg of Poultry = 4kg of grain • 1kg of Pork = 7kg of grain • 1kg of Beef = 11kg of grain

  5. Who Can Supply This Demand Incremental ? • Available Land in Brazil • Land Availability (million HA) Available Used Expansion into Northeast and North

  6. Who Can Supply This Demand Incremental ? Historical Soybeans Yield (tons / ha) USA Brazil Argentine • Among Brazil, Argentine and USA (the 3 major export countries), Brazil shows the least volatility. • This proves that Brazil has the most stable / favorable conditions: Precipitation, Temperature, Solar Radiation, Soil, Crop Management, etc.

  7. Brazil Will Supply This Demand Incremental Example: Soybeans World Export Forecast 2013 ( 95 million tons ) 2023 ( 144 million tons ) Others Others Argentine 6mil (7%) Argentine 18mil (12%) Brazil 41mil (43%) Brazil 64mil (44%) USA 36mil (38%) USA 44mil (30%) • Sufficient Land Availability • Favorable Weather Condition • Plans for Logistics Developments These Make Brazil the further important grain supplier for the world

  8. Other Agricultural Products Also Rely on Brazil Coffee Export Sugar Export Brazil 46% (World No.1) Brazil 32% (World No.1) Orange Juice Export Pork Export Poultry Export Beef Export Brazil 9% (World No.4) Brazil 17% (World No.2) Brazil 81% (World No.1) Brazil 36% (World No.1)

  9. 【Ref】 Value Chain • “From Farm to Consumer”: Participate in every segment of the whole chain • Overview the various markets as one ⇒ Define the markets needs / situation Logistics Grain Origination Export Import Processing Consumer Retail Meet Packing Livestock Farms

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