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TFMM 7 th Meeting, Helsinki, 10 – 12 May 2006. Co-operation with TF on Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution. Sergey Dutchak, MSC-East. EMEP/MSC-E. TFMM 7 th Meeting, Helsinki, 10 – 12 May 2006.
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TFMM 7th Meeting, Helsinki, 10 – 12 May 2006 Co-operation with TF on Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution Sergey Dutchak, MSC-East EMEP/MSC-E
TFMM 7th Meeting, Helsinki, 10 – 12 May 2006 Decision of the Executive Body concerning the establishment a Task Force on the Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution • The functions of the Task Force will be to: • develop a fuller understanding of the hemispheric transport of air pollution • estimate the hemispheric transport of specific air pollutants for the use in reviews of protocols to the Convention EMEP/MSC-E
TFMM 7th Meeting, Helsinki, 10 – 12 May 2006 The first meeting of the Task Force on Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution (Brussels, 1-3 June, 2005) Overview of the state of the science • TF HTAP Policy-Relevant Science (Questions) • How does the intercontinental or hemispheric transport of air pollutants affect air pollution concentration or deposition levels in the Northern Hemisphere for ozone, PM, acidification and eutrophication; Hg; and POPs ? • What processes need to be better understood to describe the relative significance of intercontinental transport ? • What fraction of measured pollutant concentrations or deposition levels is due to emissions from each of the other countries in the Northern Hemisphere? . . . EMEP/MSC-E
TFMM 7th Meeting, Helsinki, 10 – 12 May 2006 The first meeting of the Task Force on Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution (Brussels, 1-3 June, 2005) Future work • Observations • an integrated (virtual) data centre: observations from satellites, aircraft and surface measurements, including PM, ozone, Hg and POPs • Emissions • common database for emissions • Regional and global modelling • intercomparison of modelled source-receptor relationships EMEP/MSC-E
TFMM 7th Meeting, Helsinki, 10 – 12 May 2006 The second meeting of the Task Force on Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution6 – 8 June 2006, Hotel “Mir”, Noviy Arbat 36/9, Moscow, Russia • Main agenda items: • Exploring the state of science related to • the intercontinental transport of POPs and Hg • the role of methane as a tropospheric ozone precursor. Recommendation of TFMM workshop on HM and POP model review:to extend the MSC-E models to the global scale EMEP/MSC-E
TFMM 7th Meeting, Helsinki, 10 – 12 May 2006 Historic emissions1970 - 2003 Emissions2004 MODEL RESULTSHg and POPs TFHTAP Global/Hemispheric model Initial Intercontinentaltransport conditions Global/Hemispheric model Boundary conditions TFMM Contamination levels in the EMEP region Initial Regional model European emission sources Regional model conditions NB: Compatibility of input data for hemispheric and regional modelling Global modelling approach EMEP/MSC-E
TFMM 7th Meeting, Helsinki, 10 – 12 May 2006 Evaluation of initial and boundary conditions for regional model Total depositions of D&F EMEP/MSC-E
TFMM 7th Meeting, Helsinki, 10 – 12 May 2006 Boundary and initial conditions Hemispheric/regional modelling Hemispheric/regional approach Annual mean air concentrations of D&F Regional model Hemispheric model EMEP/MSC-E
TFMM 7th Meeting, Helsinki, 10 – 12 May 2006 Sources (HEMISPHERE) Sources ( ) northern hemisphere European anthropogenic emission sources Remote anthropogenic emission sources (North America, Asia, etc.) European anthropogenic Re-emission within Northern Hemisphere Remote anthropogenic Re - - emission within emission sources emission sources ( North northern hemisphere America, Asia, etc. ) Country Country Atmospheric transport Re-volatilizationRe-suspension Atmospheric transport European region Receptors (EUROPE) Marginal seas, remote Country Marginal seas, remote areas areas Country Environmental media Environmental media Source-receptor relationships Evaluation of European transboundary transport and contribution of hemispherical anthropogenic and re-emission sources EMEP/MSC-E
TFMM 7th Meeting, Helsinki, 10 – 12 May 2006 Finland Austria non-European non-European sources sources Re-emission 40% 17% 15% Finland 21% Other 15% Re-emission Poland Austria 6% 6% 25% Poland Other 5% Russian Czech 16% Ukraine Slovakia Federation Sweden Germany Republic 3% 6% 5% 3% 8% 9% Source-receptor relationships Contributions of different emission sources to total depositions of D&F over Austria and Finland EMEP/MSC-E
TFMM 7th Meeting, Helsinki, 10 – 12 May 2006 … Source-receptor relationships Contributions of re-emission from Northern Hemisphere to D&F depositions over the territories of European countries EMEP/MSC-E
TFMM 7th Meeting, Helsinki, 10 – 12 May 2006 Global/hemispheric/regional approach Hg pollution levels in Europe Global/Hemispheric modelling Global emissions estimates EMEP/MSC-E
TFMM 7th Meeting, Helsinki, 10 – 12 May 2006 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% … 0% Malta Finland Poland Iceland Norway Ukraine Greece Sweden Georgia Hungary Slovakia Germany Kazakhstan CzechRepublic Source-receptor relationships Contribution of non-European sources to Hg depositions Contributions of hemispherical sources to Hg depositions EMEP region up to 80% of Hg in deposition in Europe is originated by global sources EMEP/MSC-E
TFMM 7th Meeting, Helsinki, 10 – 12 May 2006 Conclusions • The input of hemispheric sources to the contamination of European region is considerable for Hg and some POPs. • External anthropogenic and re-emission sources is of importance for evaluation of source-receptor relationships for Hg and POPs in Europe. • Compatibility of model input data for hemispheric and regional modelling should be under consideration. • Close co-operation with and joint meeting of TFMM and TFHTAP on scientific and technical issues is highly appreciated. EMEP/MSC-E