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Pre-2020 Expectations: Bali Road Map 2012 ecbi Oxford Seminar Summary of Fellows’ Colloquium

ecbi. Pre-2020 Expectations: Bali Road Map 2012 ecbi Oxford Seminar Summary of Fellows’ Colloquium. european capacity building initiative initiative européenne de renforcement des capacités. for sustained capacity building in support of international climate change negotiations

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Pre-2020 Expectations: Bali Road Map 2012 ecbi Oxford Seminar Summary of Fellows’ Colloquium

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  1. ecbi Pre-2020 Expectations: Bali Road Map 2012 ecbiOxford Seminar Summary of Fellows’ Colloquium european capacity building initiative initiative européenne de renforcement des capacités for sustained capacity building in support of international climate change negotiations pour un renforcement durable des capacités en appui aux négociations internationales sur les changements climatiques

  2. Implementation of Bali Roadmap • What is necessary to implement the Outcomes of the AWG-LCA and the AWG-KP? • AWG-LCA (pre-2020) • 1.b.i : tons of reduction, what is the role of IAR in fulfilment of those numbers? • 1.b.ii common reporting format for support? • Finance: scaling up of financial flows, MRV of support • Adaptation: Finalising the linkages between the (new) institutional arrangements • Loss and Damage: What shape of outcome? What next after the Report? • Technology: How to deal with IPR (pre 2020)?

  3. Implementation of Bali Roadmap • AWG-KP (post-2012) • EU QELRO: Is it 30%? If not, why not? • Surplus Assigned Amount Units: What to do? • Duration of 2CP • Midterm Review: Legal implications? • Entry into force provisions: Time-scale? Role of Provisional Application etc.? • Eligibility to participate in KP mechanisms • How do we get there (in Bangkok)? • What to do if we don’t?

  4. ecbi Post-2020 Ideas for the ADP 2012 ecbiOxford Seminar Summary of Fellows’ Colloquium european capacity building initiative initiative européenne de renforcement des capacités for sustained capacity building in support of international climate change negotiations pour un renforcement durable des capacités en appui aux négociations internationales sur les changements climatiques

  5. ADP post-2020 Options of Engagement Spectrum of Obligations? How does operationalizing equity, CBDR/RC relate to commitments? Key elements of KP which are to be taken over into the ADP outcome? How to deal with the US?

  6. Options to Engage

  7. Options to Engage

  8. Options to Engage

  9. Options to Engage

  10. Equity on the Durban Platform Aristotle’s principle of formal equality: “Treat like cases as like” Nicomachean Ethics, V.3. 1131a10-b15; Politics, III.9.1280 a8-15, III. 12. 1282b18-23 Full Aristotelian Conception Descriptively equal cases ought to be treated equally, descriptively unequal cases ought to be treated unequally, according to their degree of inequality.

  11. Capability as Ability to Pay − A Taxation Model Capability = Gross Capability minus Capability Adjustment Ck = GCk−Cak[cu : capacity unit] taxable income = gross income minus tax allowances Gross Capability Axioms (gdp = GDP/cap) Ifgdpk = gdpmthen GCk:GCm = GDPk:GDPm IfGDPk = GDPmthen GCk:GCm~gdpk:gdpm Oxford Gross Capability Gross Capability = Progressively weighted National Income: OGCk~γk × GDPk, with γk = gdpk/ gdpworld[cu/$]

  12. Gross Capability Examples OGCk = (γk)δ × GDPk, δ≥ 0 Degrees of progressivity

  13. Oxford Measure − Capability Adjustment • Capability = Gross Capability minus Capability Adjustment • Adjustment for what? • The magnitude of the domestic poverty problem • Measuring the size of the poverty problem − two dimensions: • Poverty Headcount PHk[number of poor people] • Poverty Intensity Index: PIk[scalar] • The magnitude of the poverty problem: (PHk× PIk) • Global Poverty Capability Allowance Π [cu/person] • Poverty Capability Adjustment: PCAk= Π× (PHk× PIk)[cu] • Multidimensional Poverty Index: MPIk[scalar] • PCAk = Π× Pk × MPIk , with Pk = population

  14. Gross and Net Capability Examples Reference level

  15. Net Capability: Sensitivity to Choice of Poverty Allowance Π Poverty AllowanceΠ = ZCALDC× Slope = Poverty Intensity (Poverty Headcount × Poverty Intensity)/GDP (PHk × PIk )/GDPk Capability Intensity (OCMk/GDPk) LDC

  16. Oxford Measure − Sample Capabilities I δ = 1, Π = 3 × ZCALDC Non-zero Capability Zero Capability

  17. Operationalising “Differentiated Responsibilities” − for global average temperature increase http://www.match-info.net/ http://unfccc.int/methods_and_science/other_methodological_issues/items/1038.php

  18. The MATCH methodology

  19. “Responsibility Headroom” Responsibility Headroom

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