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“Building an integral vision for Serbia’s future”

This article discusses the current state of agribusiness in Serbia and highlights the challenges it faces, such as non-competitiveness and import orientation. It also presents case studies on beekeeping, apple and plum production, and plum brandy, showcasing the agricultural potential of Serbia. The article emphasizes the need for a comprehensive agricultural strategy that focuses on sustainability, competitiveness, and export orientation.

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“Building an integral vision for Serbia’s future”

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  1. “Building an integral vision for Serbia’s future” 12th Economic Summitof the Republic of Serbia Metropol Palace, Belgrade Monday-Tuesday, October 22-23, 2012 Towards a clear Economic Development strategy in Serbia’s most dynamic sectors: 10.45 Agriculture & Food Professor Miladin M. Ševarlić

  2. Where are we today?

  3. About agribusiness in Serbia • High percentage in economy (20% GDP, 30% employment, 23% export, ...) • Extensive agriculture (... and not organic) (<30% cattle breeding) • Devasting and import oriented pre-farm sector • Insufficient used favorable resources (600.000 ha) • Non-competitiveness (SRB:D = 1:11) • Export orientation: raw material, lower phases of processing, ... • Political pressures for agriculture to be social “buffer"

  4. Restriction • Unfavorable ownership structure • Non-regulated ownership relations • Low and unstable system of subventions • Unfavorable resources of finance • Low productivity (AL, BiH; cattle breeding?) • Unavailability and non prepared Serbian funds to EU

  5. Confusing statement Agro News 1074, 18.10.2012. Agriculgure of Serbia has growth of 20 percent annual Vensan Dezer Agro News 1073, 17.10.2012. Double agrarian budget in 2013 Prof. dr Dejan Krnjajić

  6. Agricultural budget 2012: 40,88 2013: 35,14 R2013/2012 = - 5,74 I2013/2012 = 85,96 (-14,04%)

  7. Case Study - 1: Beekeeping in Serbia84% of plant species ≈ 74% of food production 2011 • 400.000 beehives • 15 kg honey • 6.000.000 kg honey • 3€⁄kg • 18.000.000 € ≈ 1.5 – 3% • 1.200 €⁄beehives • 480.000.000 € 2020 • 200.000 ha acacia • 1 МТ/ha • 200.000.000 kg • 4 €/kg • 800.000.000 € • 600.000 ha • 2,400.000.000 € • 1,200.000.000 €

  8. Case Study - 2: Apple +Plum Apple • 16,042.000trees • 12-18 kg/trees (1:1,5) • 180.000 - 280.000 MT • 0.35€⁄kg • 2011: 256.676 MT • 90.000.000 € • 25 kg/tree • 140.000.000 € • +50.000.000 € Plum • 40,822.000 trees • 04-16 kg/trees (1:4) • 200.000 - 680.000 MT • 0.25 €/kg • 2011: 581.874 MT • 145.000.000 € • 20 kg/tree • 200.000.000 € • +55.000.000 €

  9. Case Study - 3: Plum brandy • 80,000.000liters of brandy • 4 euros per liter • 320.000.000 € • 200 x 50 x 3 x 365 = 10,950.000 liters • 11,000.000 x 10 = 110,000.000 € • 22,000.000 €

  10. Agricultural potential of Serbia 4,5>→ → 11 billion € (ØEU-27 = 1.873€/ha GDP)

  11. What we needSerbian Agriculture Strategy • Based on the knowledge, the experience of other countries in the accession process and the EU aimed at CAP • Environmentally and economically sustainable - without GMOs • The larger, more stable and fairer agricultural budget • Improving the competitiveness and profitability • Export-oriented final consumption • Encourages association andcooperative • Encourages self-employment in rural areas • Agribusiness company's regional leaders • Social policy to adjust the rural population • Identify indicators for monitoring the implementation of the Strategy

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