'Ensemble member' presentation slideshows

703 views • 59 slides

Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasts at CAPS for Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT)

Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasts at CAPS for Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT). Ming Xue Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms and School of Meteorology University of Oklahoma mxue@ou.edu August, 2010. ARPS Simulated Tornado. NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT).

525 views • 40 slides

Post-Processing of EPS Forecasts

Post-Processing of EPS Forecasts. Renate Hagedorn European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. Outline. Motivation Methods Training data sets Results. Motivation. EPS forecasts are subject to forecast bias and dispersion errors, i.e. uncalibrated

554 views • 40 slides

Evaluating NWP Ensemble Configurations for AT&D Applications

Evaluating NWP Ensemble Configurations for AT&D Applications. Jared A. Lee 1,2 , Walter C. Kolczynski 1 , Tyler C. McCandless 1,2 , Kerrie J. Long 2 , Sue Ellen Haupt 1,2 , David R. Stauffer 1 , and Aijun Deng 1

395 views • 39 slides

Group Report

Group Report. ?? ? 2013/10/08 ??? S1-802 ? ????? ?? ?????? ??. Impacts of typhoon track and island topography on the heavy rainfalls in Taiwan associated with Morakot (2009). BAOGUO XIE

462 views • 33 slides

CSTAR Scientific Motivation

Predictability of High Impact Weather during the Cool Season: CSTAR Update and the Development of a New Ensemble Sensitivity Tool for the Forecaster Brian A. Colle, Edmund Chang, and Minghua Zheng Stony Brook University - SUNY. CSTAR Scientific Motivation.

457 views • 33 slides

Coupled assimilative modeling of ocean color

Coupled assimilative modeling of ocean color. Bronwyn Cahill John Wilkin Javier Zavala-Garay Julia Levin Katja Fennel Jann Paul Mattern Mike Dowd Susanne Craig. Main objective.

323 views • 31 slides

The GriPhyN Virtual Data System

403 views • 29 slides

The GriPhyN Virtual Data System

358 views • 29 slides

CSTAR Update: New Tools for More Efficient Use of Ensembles in Operations

CSTAR Update: New Tools for More Efficient Use of Ensembles in Operations. Brian A. Colle, Minghua Zheng , and Edmund K.M. Chang, School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences Stony Brook University Stony Brook, New York, USA. NROW 15 12-13 November 2014. Outline. Motivation

354 views • 25 slides

Comparative study on the error covariance matrices for KF and EnKF using the barotropic S-model

Comparative study on the error covariance matrices for KF and EnKF using the barotropic S-model. H.L. Tanaka and K. Kondo University of Tsukuba. Introduction. KF (Kalman Filter) (Kalman 1960) implementation needs to calculate inverse of a matrix with the dimension of model variables.

318 views • 22 slides

REGIONAL-SCALE ENSEMBLE FORECASTS OF THE 7 FEBRUARY 2007 LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT

REGIONAL-SCALE ENSEMBLE FORECASTS OF THE 7 FEBRUARY 2007 LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT. Justin Arnott and Michael Evans NOAA/NWS Binghamton, NY Richard Grumm NOAA/NWS State College, PA George Young Penn State University, University Park, PA NROW IX, 7-8 November 2007. Motivation.

341 views • 20 slides

Convective-Scale Numerical Weather Prediction and Data Assimilation Research At CAPS

Convective-Scale Numerical Weather Prediction and Data Assimilation Research At CAPS. A few examples of heavy precipitation forecast. Ming Xue Director Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms and School of Meteorology University of Oklahoma mxue@ou.edu September, 2010.

278 views • 18 slides

HWT Spring Experiment Daily Discussions

CAPS Realtime 4-km Multi-Model Convection-Allowing Ensemble and 1-km Convection-Resolving Forecasts for the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) 2009 Spring Experiment. Ming Xue, Fanyou Kong, Kevin W. Thomas, Jidong Gao, Yunheng Wang, Keith Brewster, Kelvin K. Droegemeier, Xuguang Wang

285 views • 17 slides

Zhan Zhang, Vijay Tallapragada , Chanh Kieu , Samuel Trahan, Weiguo Wang (NOAA/NCEP/EMC)

HWRF based Ensemble Prediction System Using Perturbations from GEFS and Stochastic Convective Trigger Function. Zhan Zhang, Vijay Tallapragada , Chanh Kieu , Samuel Trahan, Weiguo Wang (NOAA/NCEP/EMC). 6th NCEP Ensemble User Workshop at NCWCP, March 25-27 2014. Outline.

354 views • 15 slides