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Nitric Oxide in the Preterm : systematic reviews. Keith J Barrington CHU Sainte Justine Montréal Canada. The systematic review. Update of the Cochrane Review 13 RCTs of iNO in preterm infants with respiratory disease Varying eligibility, age of use, indications, dose, duration.
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NitricOxide in the Preterm: systematicreviews Keith J Barrington CHU Sainte Justine Montréal Canada
The systematic review Update of the Cochrane Review 13 RCTs of iNO in preterm infants with respiratory disease Varying eligibility, age of use, indications, dose, duration. Decided Post Hoc to divide them into 3 groups • Early rescue • Late ‘rescue’ • Early routine treatment
Mortality None of the individual trials show a statistically significant reduction. Meta-analysis of the first 2 trials of early routine use previously showed potential difference: which was marginally significant. Potentially important magnitude of effect, but the estimate lacked precision. Adding the data from the abstract of the EUNO trial: now no difference, RR 0.91 (95% CI 0.74, 1.11) The early rescue, and later treatment in infants at risk of BPD groups show no effect on mortality.
Survival without bronchopulmonary dysplasia Early rescue treatment studies: no apparent benefit • subgroup analysis of Van Meurs et al reduction in infants > 1 kg birthweight. Early routine treatment: modest and almost significant reduction in the combined outcome of death or BPD RR 0.93, 95% CI 0.86 1.01. Heterogeneity I2 = 34%, Kinsella + EUNO: no benefit. • Subgroup analysis of Kinsella suggested lower risk infants (BW >1000 g) had a benefit. • In Schreiber, subgroup analysis suggested only the less sick infants (OI less than the median) benefited.
Survival without bronchopulmonary dysplasia Ballard et al report: significant benefit of inhaled nitric in improving survival without BPD. However the figures given, 165/294 vs. 182/288 are not significant using RevMan to calculate RR. Difference due to use of multiple outputation as planned, a statistical way of correcting for possible coherence among multiples, (1st of multiples to be eligible randomized, therefore entered as a cluster, should be analyzed as a cluster). • Subgroup analysis: reduction in combined death or BPD when started at 7- 14 d, less severe disease may increase chance of benefit.
Brain Injury Early rescue studies: no significant effect, the direction of the difference is toward increased serious IVH • Not significant at p<0.05, BUT potential evidence of harm should always be taken seriously, especially when there is no evidence of benefit. Later entry based on BPD risk not expected to affect IVH incidence. With the addition of EUNO 2009, early routine use shows no effect on brain injury, either severe IVH or combined outcome of severe IVH or PVL. HeterogeneityI2= 80%
Brain Injury • Previous analysis suggested a potential benefit in the early routine treatment group • EUNO had a higher baseline OI, but a lower mortality than the other early routine treatment trials, Do these characteristics explain the difference, or is it just chance?
Sensitivity analysis • I have performed a sensitivity analysis of the early rescue treatment studies, eliminating the studies with very early primary outcomes, the studies with potential crossover, and studies with very small samples • Analyses including Innovo, Kinsella 1999, and Van Meurs 2005, total n=566 • Conclusions are substantially unchanged
Problems with the meta-analysis • Great variation in study design • Different eligibility criteria • Postnatal age • severity of illness criteria • Different primary outcomes • Variable duration of therapy • Variable doses
IPD meta-analysis • The standard review and meta-analysis suggested that there might be significant benefits in certain groups of infants: • But no clear indications for therapy were evident • Don’t want to miss benefits • Nor potential harms • In some groups of infants
IPD meta-analysis • Obtaining original information on all the enrolled subjects • Allows: • Intention to treat analysis • Consistency of definitions (if enough information was collected) • Analyses of subgroups across trials • Identification of patient characteristics associated with positive or negative responses
MAPPiNO Meta Analysis of Preterm Patients on inhaled Nitric Oxide Collaboration Inhaled nitric oxide in preterm infants: a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis
MAPPiNO aims/objectives • To determine whether inhaled nitric oxide in preterm infants receiving assisted ventilation improves survival without morbidity, specifically without: • CLD • cerebral injury • retinal injury • long-term disability • To determine whether the effects of inhaled nitric oxide differ according to the risk profile of the patient in terms of: • gestational age at birth • severity of illness • antenatal steroid use • postnatal age at the time of randomization • ventilation mode at randomization • administration of exogenous surfactant • inhaled nitric dosage and duration of nitric oxide administration
Reasons for IPD in MAPPiNO • determine whether certain patient or treatment characteristics may predict benefit from inhaled nitric oxide in the premature infants (patient-level subgroup analyses) • define CLD the same way across trials • aim to analyse all endpoints in all patients in all trials, to avoid biases associated with selective publication endpoints • address additional research questions • improve trial identification, interpretation & dissemination via collaborative approach
Results: a general approach • main analyses used log-binomial regression models adjusted for trial • subgroup analyses used poisson regression models with robust error variance due to issues with model convergence • endpoints between siblings from multiple births • the primary analyses were adjusted for multiple births using the multiple outputation approach (1000 repetitions) • sensitivity analysis: generalized estimating equations (GEE) used to analyse the two main endpoints of interest
Primary endpoints • Death or chronic lung disease (CLD) using best available definition • (alive and O2 dependent at 36 weeks PMA if calculable, or trialists’ own definition) • Severe adverse neurological event after randomization (intracranial hemorrhage (IVH) grade III or IV, or cystic periventricular leukomalacia (PVL) or other pathologies such as periventricular echodensity, periventricularcysts, ventriculomegaly or hydrocephalus) Main endpoints assessable for all patients (patients with no event were censored)
Primary endpoint 1 Death or CLD (Best available definition) iNO 40 / 48 (83%) 6 / 16 (38%) 43 / 105 (41%) 42 / 61 (69%) 54 / 64 (84%) 170 / 224 (76%) 292 / 398 (73%) 4 / 20 (20%) 165 / 294 (56%) 134 / 399 (34%) 954 / 1629 (59%) Placebo 27 / 32 (84%) 4 / 18 (22%) 56 / 102 (55%) 51 / 84 (61%) 56 / 62 (90%) 174 / 225 (77%) 294 / 395 (74%) 8 / 20 (40%) 184 / 288 (64%) 137 / 401 (34%) 992 / 1627 (61%) Trial RR (95% CI) Kinsella 1999 0.99 (0.81, 1.21) Srisuparp 2002 1.59 (0.55, 4.62) Schreiber 2003 0.77 (0.57, 1.04) Hascoet 2005 1.11 (0.85, 1.43) INNOVO 2005 0.93 (0.82, 1.07) Van Meurs 2005 0.98 (0.88, 1.09) Kinsella 2006 0.99 (0.91, 1.08) Dani 2006 0.53 (0.19, 1.46) Ballard 2006 0.85 (0.74, 0.98) EUNO 2008 1.01 (0.83, 1.23) OVERALL* 0.96 (0.91, 1.01) p=0.095 0.2 0.5 1 2 5 † Subhedar removed from the analysis as zero cell counts caused model instability. Favours iNO Favours placebo * χ2test for heterogeneity p > 0.05 Estimates derived from N=1000 iterations of log-binomial model using multiple outputation method.
Primary endpoint 2 Severe Neurological Event iNO Placebo RR (95% CI) Trial 3 / 22 (14%) 7 / 32 (22%) 4 / 18 (22%) 25 / 102 (25%) 28 / 84 (33%) 6 / 62 (10%) 52 / 225 (23%) 112 / 395 (28%) 7 / 20 (35%) 68 / 401 (17%) 286 / 1649 (17%) 1 / 20 (5%) 8 / 48 (17%) 1 / 16 (6%) 16 / 105 (15%) 31 / 61 (51%) 5 / 64 (8%) 69 / 224 (31%) 117 / 398 (29%) 8 / 20 (40%) 81 / 399 (20%) 315 / 1649 (19%) Subhedar 1997 0.37 (0.04, 3.25) Kinsella 1999 0.76 (0.31, 1.88) Srisuparp 2002 0.27 (0.03, 2.13) Schreiber 2003 0.63 (0.35, 1.13) Hascoet 2005 1.57 (1.06, 2.34) INNOVO 2005 0.81 (0.26, 2.51) Van Meurs 2005 1.35 (0.99, 1.83) Kinsella 2006 1.04 (0.83, 1.30) Dani 2006 1.13 (0.50, 2.52) EUNO 1.19 (0.88, 1.61) OVERALL* 1.12 (0.98, 1.29) p=0.089 0.1 0.2 0.5 1 2 5 Favours placebo Favours iNO † Data from Ballard not available for this analysis. * χ2test for heterogeneity p > 0.05 Estimates derived from N=1000 iterations of log-binomial model using multiple outputation method.
Primary endpoint 2a Severe Neurological Event (including death) iNO Placebo RR (95% CI) Trial Subhedar 1997 11 / 20 (55%) 8 / 22 (36%) 1.51 (0.77, 2.99) Kinsella 1999 27 / 48 (56%) 22 / 32 (69%) 0.82 (0.58, 1.16) Srisuparp 2002 3 / 16 (19%) 5 / 18 (28%) 0.64 (0.18, 2.24) Schreiber 2003 27 / 105 (26%) 40 / 102 (39%) 0.66 (0.43, 1.01) Hascoet 2005 42 / 61 (69%) 36 / 84 (43%) 1.61 (1.18, 2.20) INNOVO 2005 36 / 64 (56%) 41 / 62 (66%) 0.85 (0.64, 1.13) Van Meurs 2005 143 / 224 (64%) 128 / 225 (57%) 1.13 (0.97, 1.31) Kinsella 2006 170 / 398 (43%) 171 / 395 (43%) 1.01 (0.86, 1.19) Dani 2006 10 / 20 (50%) 8 / 20 (40%) 1.25 (0.62, 2.50) EUNO 2008 110 / 399 (28%) 92 / 401 (23%) 1.22 (0.95, 1.57) Ballard 2006 22 / 294 (7%) 21 / 288 (7%) 1.03 (0.58, 1.83) OVERALL* 601 / 1649 (36%) 572 / 1649 (35%) 1.06 (0.98, 1.16) p=0.149 † Data on deaths only available from Ballard. * χ2test for heterogeneity p=0.050 0.1 0.2 0.5 1 2 5 Estimates derived from N=1000 iterations of log-binomial model using multiple outputation method. Favours placebo Favours iNO
Secondary endpoint 1 Death at any time iNO 11 / 20 (55%) 22 / 48 (46%) 2 / 16 (13%) 16 / 105 (15%) 28 / 61 (46%) 33 / 64 (52%) 114 / 224 (51%) 78 / 398 (20%) 4 / 20 (20%) 22 / 294 (7%) 54 / 399 (14%) 384 / 1649 (23%) Placebo 7 / 22 (32%) 17 / 32 (53%) 2 / 18 (11%) 22 / 102 (22%) 25 / 84 (30%) 36 / 62 (58%) 102 / 225 (45%) 94 / 395 (24%) 6 / 20 (30%) 21 / 288 (7%) 41 / 401 (10%) 373 / 1649 (23%) RR (95% CI) Trial Subhedar 1997 1.73 (0.83, 3.58) Kinsella 1999 0.86 (0.55, 1.36) Srisuparp 2002 1.06 (0.17, 6.67) Schreiber 2003 0.72 (0.39, 1.33) Hascoet 2005 1.53 (0.98, 2.39) INNOVO 2005 0.89 (0.65, 1.22) Van Meurs 2005 1.13 (0.93, 1.37) Kinsella 2006 0.85 (0.65, 1.11) Dani 2006 0.70 (0.23, 2.10) Ballard 2006 1.03 (0.58, 1.83) EUNO 2008 1.41 (0.95, 2.09) OVERALL* 1.05 (0.93, 1.17) p=0.45 0.1 0.2 0.5 1 2 5 10 Favours iNO Favours placebo * χ2test for heterogeneity p > 0.05 Estimates derived from N=1000 iterations of log-binomial model using multiple outputation method.
Secondary endpoint 3 Death before discharge iNO 10 / 20 (50%) 22 / 48 (46%) 2 / 16 (13%) 15 / 105 (14%) 28 / 61 (46%) 32 / 64 (50%) 114 / 224 (51%) 78 / 398 (20%) 4 / 20 (20%) 22 / 294 (7%) 54 / 399 (14%) 381 / 1649 (23%) Placebo 7 / 22 (32%) 17 / 32 (53%) 2 / 18 (11%) 20 / 102 (20%) 25 / 84 (30%) 36 / 62 (58%) 97 / 225 (43%) 93 / 395 (24%) 6 / 20 (30%) 21 / 288 (7%) 41 / 401 (10%) 365 / 1649 (22%) RR (95% CI) Trial 1.57 (0.74, 3.34) Subhedar 1997 Kinsella 1999 0.86 (0.55, 1.36) Srisuparp 2002 1.06 (0.17, 6.67) Schreiber 2003 0.75 (0.39, 1.43) Hascoet 2005 1.53 (0.98, 2.39) INNOVO 2005 0.86 (0.62, 1.19) Van Meurs 2005 1.19 (0.97, 1.46) Kinsella 2006 0.86 (0.65, 1.13) Dani 2006 0.70 (0.23, 2.10) Ballard 2006 1.03 (0.58, 1.83) EUNO 2008 1.41 (0.95, 2.09) 1.06 (0.94, 1.19) p=0.32 OVERALL* 0.1 0.2 0.5 1 2 5 10 Favours iNO Favours placebo * χ2test for heterogeneity p > 0.05 Estimates derived from N=1000 iterations of log-binomial model using multiple outputation method.
Secondary endpoint 4 This analysis assumes that if IVH is missing then IVH = 0 for on study results. Severe intra-ventricular hemorrhage iNO Placebo RR (95% CI) Trial Kinsella 1999 3 / 47 (6%) 2 / 30 (7%) 0.95 (0.17, 5.36) 1 / 6 (17%) 3 / 5 (60%) 0.28 (0.04, 1.91) Srisuparp 2002 0.67 (0.34, 1.33) 13 / 105 (12%) 19 / 102 (19%) Schreiber 2003 14 / 61 (23%) 14 / 83 (17%) 1.39 (0.70, 2.78) Hascoet 2005 0.52 (0.09, 2.93) 2 / 41 (5%) 3 / 32 (9%) INNOVO 2005 67 / 189 (35%) 46 /164 (28%) 1.26 (0.93, 1.73) Van Meurs 2005 60 / 398 (15%) 0.81 (0.59, 1.12) 74 / 395 (19%) Kinsella 2006 3 / 18 (17%) 4 / 19 (21%) 0.84 (0.22, 3.22) Dani 2006 71 / 399 (18%) 56 / 401 (14%) EUNO 2008 1.27 (0.91, 1.77) 234 / 1264 (19%) 221 / 1231 (18%) 1.04 (0.88, 1.23) p=0.61 OVERALL* 0.01 † Subhedar removed from the analysis as zero cell counts caused model instability. 0.1 0.2 0.5 1 2 5 10 Favours iNO Favours placebo * χ2test for heterogeneity p > 0.05 Estimates derived from N=1000 iterations of log-binomial model using multiple outputation method. Data from Ballard not available for this analysis.
Secondary endpoint 4a Severe intra-ventricular hemorrhage worse than baseline IVH iNO Placebo RR (95% CI) Trial INNOVO 2005 2 / 64 (3%) 3 / 62 (5%) 0.65 (0.11, 3.73) Kinsella 2006 49 / 398 (12%) 63 / 394 (16%) 0.78 (0.55, 1.11) Hascoet 2005 1.02 (0.35, 2.96) 9 / 51 (18%) 5 / 24 (21%) Schreiber 2003 0.37 (0.16, 0.88) 6 / 26 (23%) 8 / 13 (62%) Dani 2006 1.23 (0.13, 11.48) 2 / 14 (14%) 1 / 8 (13%) EUNO 2008 1.26 (0.81, 1.94) 43 / 300 (14%) 36 / 309 (12%) OVERALL 111 / 853 (13%) 116 / 810 (14%) 0.87 (0.68, 1.12) p=0.29 0.2 0.5 1 2 5 10 0.1 † Data have been removed where Baseline HUS was taken after start of study gas and also where baseline HUS showed the presence of a Grade 4 IVH * χ2test for heterogeneity p > 0.05 Estimates derived from N=1000 iterations of log-binomial model using multiple outputation method. Data from Van Meurs, Srispuarp, Subhedar, Kinsella 99 and Ballard not available for this analysis.
Secondary endpoint 4a Severe intra-ventricular hemorrhage adjusted for worse baseline HUS result iNO Placebo RR (95% CI) Trial INNOVO 2005 1 / 35 (3%) 2 / 28 (7%) 0.40 (0.04, 4.01) Kinsella 2006 60 / 360 (17%) 74 / 348 (21%) 0.83 (0.63, 1.09) Hascoet 2005 12 / 53 (23%) 6 / 25 (24%) 1.06 (0.47, 2.42) Schreiber 2003 6 / 26 (23%) 8 / 13 (62%) 0.23 (0.08, 0.62) Dani 2006 3 / 14 (21%) 1 / 8 (13%) 2.31 (0.67, 7.95) EUNO 2008 46 / 305 (15%) 41 / 312 (13%) 1.10 (0.74, 1.63) OVERALL 128 / 793 (16%) 132 / 734 (18%) 0.87 (0.71, 1.08) p=0.21 0.01 0.1 0.2 0.5 1 2 5 10 † Data have been removed where Baseline HUS was taken after start of study gas * χ2test for heterogeneity p > 0.05 Estimates derived from N=1000 iterations of log-binomial model using multiple outputation method. Data from Van Meurs, Srispuarp, Subhedar, Kinsella 99 and Ballard not available for this analysis.
Exposure subgroup analyses (Death or CLD) Data from Subhedar removed from these analyses as zero cell counts caused model instability. †Srisuparp, Kinsella 2006, EUNO 2008 and Ballard classified as high exposure trials, others classified as low exposure. High exposure was defined as area under the dose-time curve >= 70 calculated on a trial specific basis. ‡Per-patient exposure analysis only included three trials (Kinsella 06, EUNO 2008 and Ballard). All other trials were excluded either because dose exposure was dependent on response (INNOVO, Van Meurs, Subhedar, Srisuparp, Hascoet and Kinsella99) or because data on length of time on treatment was not available (Dani, Schreiber). (These data were not initially requested). Exposure was calculated as AUC and patients were grouped as less than the median (105) or not. Estimates derived from N=1000 iterations of a poisson regression model with robust error variance using multiple outputation method. * p value for heterogeneity was calculated as the proportion of the 1000 models which had non-significant p values for the interaction term for subgroup*treatment effect (N.S. = non significant)
Implications • Furtheranalysis of individual patient data willallowdefinition of • patient characteristicsmostpromising for future studies, and • mostpromisingtreatmentprotocols, including dose and duration. • Based on a single highqualitystudy, laterprolongedtreatmentwithiNOseems to decrease BPD amongat-risk infants, without adverse effects, • The benefit of early routine treatmentwhichappeared possible after 2 trials werecompletednowseemslesslikelyafter EUNO, furtheranalysis of the IPD may help to clarify.
Unanswered questions • Preterm infants withclearevidence of PPHN exist, isitreasonable to withholdiNObased on these analyses? • There were 142 babies with ‘pulmonary hypertension’ in the database, with a small non-significantimprovement in the primaryoutcome • Diagnostic criteria for PPHN in these infants are uncertain • Infants with acute deterioration after the early neonatal period, improvements in oxygenation may follow iNO, such babies were not eligible for the majority of these studies. • Does iNOimprove their survival or long term outcomes?
Implications for furtherresearch • Most promising appears to be infants at high risk for BPD who are still intubated at 7 days of age • Treatment should be prolonged and commence at more than 5 ppm