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1. Statistical Inferences Based on Two Samples 9.2 Comparing Two Population Means Using Small Independent Samples and Assuming Sigmas are Unknown
9.3 Paired Difference Experiments
2. Sampling Distribution of
3. Sampling Distribution of (Continued)
4. Large Sample Confidence Interval, Difference in Mean
5. 9.2 Comparing Two Population Means Using Independent Samples with Sigmas Unknown
6. Tests about Differences in Means When Variances are Equal
7. Hypothesis Test and Confidence Interval Example Exercise 9.21, pg. 369 What are we given? n1 = 22; s1 = 225; xbar1 = 1500; n2 = 22; s2 = 251; xbar2 = 1300; ? = .05;
First assume equal population variances
Step 1, establish hypotheses
H0: ?1 - ?2 = 0 vs. Ha: ?1 - ?2 > 0
Step 2, set significance level. a = .05 (given)
Step 3, compute the test statistic, but first the pooled variance
8. Hypothesis Test and Confidence Interval Example; Exercise 9.21, pg. 369 Step 4a, determine the rejection point, t.05,42 1.684
Step 4b, estimate the p-value. Using df = 42, t-table gives P(T > 3.307) = .001 and P(T > 2.704) =.005 Since 2.704 < (t = 2.78) < 3.307, p-value is between 0.001 and 0.005
Step 5, decision; reject Ho since (a) test statistic, t (2.78) > rejection point (1.684) or (b) p-value (between .001 & .005) < ? = .05
10. Hypothesis Test Example Step 6, conclusion within context: there is very strong evidence that type A training results in higher mean weekly sales than does type training.
11. MegaStat Output for Example
13. 9.3 Paired Difference Experiments Before, we drew random samples from two different populations
Now, have two different processes (or methods)
Draw one random sample of units and use those units to obtain the results of each process
For instance, use the same individuals for the results from one process vs. the results from the other process
E.g., use the same individuals to compare before and after treatments
By using the same individuals, we eliminate any differences in the individuals themselves and just compare the results from the two processes
14. Paired Difference ExperimentsContinued Let md be the mean of population of paired differences
md = m1 m2 , where m1 is the mean of population 1 and m2 is the mean of population 2
Let and sd be the mean and standard deviation of a sample of paired differences that has been randomly selected from the population
is the mean of the differences between pairs of values from both samples
15. t-Based Confidence Interval forPaired Differences in Means
16. Test Statistic for Paired Differences The test statistic is
D0 = m1 m2 is the claimed or actual difference between the population means
D0 varies depending on the situation
Often D0 = 0, and the null means that there is no difference between the population means
The sampling distribution of this statistic is a t distribution with (n 1) degrees of freedom
17. Paired Differences Testing Rules
18. Example on Inferences with Paired Samples Exercise 9.32, pg. 377
19. Example on Inferences with Paired Samples Exercise 9.32, pg. 377 Key sample information n = 10; s = 3.02; xbar = 4.0; ? = .10 - .001;
Step 1, establish hypotheses
H0: ?d = ?pst - ?pre = 0 vs. Ha: ?d = ?pst - ?pre > 0
Step 2, set significance level. a = .05 (mid-range)
Step 3, compute the test statistic
20. Hypothesis Test and Confidence Interval Example; Exercise 9.21, pg. 369 Step 4a, determine the rejection point, t.05,9 = 1.833
Step 4b, estimate the p-value. Using df = 9, t-table gives P(T > 3.25) = .005 and P(T > 4.297) =.001 Since 3.25 < (t = 4.19) < 4.297, p-value is between 0.001 and 0.005
Step 5, decision; reject Ho since (a) test statistic, t (4.19) > rejection point (1.833) or (b) p-value (between .001 & .005) < ? = .05. Note, we would F.T.R. Ho only at ? = .001 of given range
22. Hypothesis Test Example Step 6, conclusion within context: there is very strong evidence that post-exposure attitude scores are higher on average than pre-exposure attitude scores. In other words, advertisement appears to increase mean attitude scores.
24. MegaStat Output for Paired Diff. Example