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Analyzing Statistical Inferences. July 30, 2001. Inferential Statistics? When?. When you infer from a sample to a population Generalize sample results to the larger group. Sampling Error. Different samples = different means Must take error into account when inferring to population
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Analyzing Statistical Inferences July 30, 2001
Inferential Statistics?When? • When you infer from a sample to a population • Generalize sample results to the larger group
Sampling Error • Different samples = different means • Must take error into account when inferring to population • What if population is the sample? • Not sampling error • Measurement error
Null Hypothesis • Statement of no difference or no relationship. • Because of sampling error, it is more accurate to test for no differences/relationships • Use statistics to determine the probability that the null hypothesis is true or untrue.
Level of Significance • The probability of being wrong in rejecting the null hypothesis. • p .05 or p .01 • p indicates how often the results would be obtained because of chance.
Type I Error • Reject the null hypothesis when it is true. • Claim a relationship between variables that does not exist.
Type II Error • Fail to reject the null hypothesis when it is not true. • Do not indicate a relationship between variables when there is one.
Three Factorsaffecting the level of significance • Difference between groups • Greater difference, lower p value • Sampling/measurement error • Lower error, lower p value • Sample size • Larger sample, lower p value
What Does it Mean? • If null hypothesis is rejected or not: • Extraneous variables? • Design factors? • Internal validity? • Statistical significance not necessarily practically significant.
Procedures • Parametric statistics • Based upon certain assumptions about the data (i.e. normally distributed) • Nonparametric statisitics • Assumptions about the data cannot be met. • Parametric have greater power to detect significant differences.
Common Procedures • The t test • Compares two means • ANOVA • Compares two or more means • Factorial Analysis of Variance • Two or more independent variables analyzed together
Common Procedures • ANCOVA • Adjusts for pretest difference between groups • Univariate • One dependent variable analyzed • Multivariate • Two or more dependent variables analyzed together
Common Procedures • Chi-square • Tests frequency counts in different categories