Project Management for The Carbon Sequestration Project

1. Project Management forThe Carbon Sequestration Project     A short presentation on Results Based Management for the Changbaishan Conference    

2. Results Based Management • A project management tool used by the Canadian Government • CIDA introduced RBM in 1990s • Incorporated into project design, monitoring and evaluation

3. Results Based Management – Why? • Past CIDA projects focused on infrastructure development • New projects focus on “developmental results” – social impacts as demonstrated by “indicators” • Projects evaluated by showing positive results

4. Value of Monitoring • Emphasis on effective use of funds • Project is monitored based on annual reports • If project is not showing positive results, may have to re-work project to improve results • Rarely, funding may stop

5. RBM – Key Concepts

6. Example: Tree Planting project • Input: Delivery of saplings to be planted • Activity: Planting the trees • Results: • Output: slope stabilization • Outcome: less crop damage from soil erosion • Impact: improved economic self-sufficiency

7. Risks & Assumptions • Identify your assumptions and the risks involved in the project: • In our tree planting example: • Risk: Trees may be cut down for firewood • Assumption: Trees selected are suited to their environment and the roots and canopy structure will diminish soil loss • Risk and Assumption should be considered for all activities and results

8. Performance Indicators • How will you know if you are succeeding? • Output: decrease in erosion • Outcome: increase in land used for agriculture • Impact: number of villagers able to live off farming income • How many people are affected? • Reach: number of additional villagers with farm land

9. RBM Derived from Project’s Logical Framework Analysis (LFA) • Primary component of a Project Implementation Plan (PIP) is the LFA • LFA provides a summary of the logical relations within a project: activities inputs outputs impacts • LFA defines the indicators used to measure success, assumptions and risks.

10. Part of the CS LFA Country/ Region : CHINA Project number: CN/31511 Project T LFAitle : ENHANCING CHINA'S CAPACITY FOR CARBON SEQUESTRATION Project Budget : CIDA Contribution = $2.35M NARRATIVE SUMMARY EXPECTED RESULTS PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENT ASSUMPTIONS RISK ANALYSIS Project Goal (Program Objective) Impact Performance Indicators Assumptions/Risk Indicators To contribute to the global effort of reducing net greenhouse gas emissions by enhancing China's capacity to sequester carbon in natural sinks, thereby supporting environmentally sustainable development in China. 1. China will possess enhanced ability to increase ecosystem carbon stocks through the development of technical and human resources that will result in more informed and effective land-use, forest management, and policy making. Level of Chinese expertise in carbon cycle mapping, GIS-based modeling and integrated assessment, compared to international norms. Extent to which carbon sequestration measures are directly and indirectly incorporated into policy and decision-making at the regional and national levels of government. Assumption: Carbon sequestration issues and impacts are a priority to which government, scientists and communities are willing to maintain commitment over time. Risk Indicator: low. Chinese government and scientific commitment to carbon sequestration has become a priority. Continued commitment over time is strongly indicated. Project Purpose Outcomes Performance Indicators Assumptions/Risk Indicators To build China's capacity in terrestrial carbon cycle monitoring and modeling, and to develop technology-based integrated assessment tools and participatory multi-stakeholder methods that inform decision making aimed at increasing carbon sequestration while contributing to sustainable development. 1. Chinese institutions will have increased capacity to estimate spatially explicit, long-term carbon dynamics for China's forests and forestry related activities 2. Chinese institutions will have increased capacity – Male and Female (M&F) to assess forestry management methods to enhance carbon sequestration 3. Chinese institutions, local and regional communities, governments will have increased capacity (M&F) to undertake integrated assessments of the economic, environmental and social impacts of land use decisions designed to enhance carbon sequestration 1) Number of country-wide and local maps of carbon source and sink distribution produced (Outcome 1) 2) Extent to which participating institutions are able to identify optimum species for tree planting and forest management options (Outcome 2) 3) Number of integrated assessment projects produced by participating institutions for land use decisions that contribute to carbon sequestration and take into account economic, environmental and social considerations. (Outcome 3) Assumption: Technology and training activities are successfully implemented in GIS-based mapping, modeling, and integrated assessment. Risk Indicator: Low, based on SEMGIS project experience and current partners' interest and commitment. Assumption: Carbon cycle models are a reasonable representation of reality. Risk Indicator: Low. Ecosystems are complex but ground-truthing will validate carbon models. Assumption: Stakeholders continue to actively participate in developing integrated assessment measures. Overall Risk Indicator: Low: Stakeholders have demonstrated interest and commitment In similar projects.

11. Collecting & Reporting Indicator Data • What data will be collected (defined in the LFA) • Who will collect it and When/how often will the data be collected? • Defined in the Performance Reporting Framework (Example below)

12. Outputs Performance Indicators Reach and Beneficiaries Data Sources Collection Methods Frequency Responsibility 1a. Greater ability of Chinese partners (F/M) to use GIS and remote sensing applications for carbon cycle modeling 1b. Enhanced capability of Chinese partners to produce country-wide and local carbon sources and sink maps 1a) Number of Chinese scientists (target >10; ratio of females to males: F/M >=1:3) capable of using the Canadian remote sensing system 1b) Number of Chinese scientists (target >15;F/M>= 1:3) able to use Canadian carbon cycle models and adapt them to the China’s ecosystems 1a&b) Direct Beneficiaries:=> 25 scientists (F/M - =>1:3) in the partner institutions trained in carbon cycle modelling and mapping. Graduate students and other researchers in the partner institutions who will be instructed by the trained scientists. 3 Partner institutions involved in the WBS 1000- level activities Questionnaire Quarterly Chairs of the Remote Sensing and Carbon Cycle modeling groups 2a. Greater ability of scientists (F/M) in Chinese partner institutions to undertake forest assessments and ground truthing to validate carbon sequestration estimates (Outcome 2) 2b. Greater ability of scientists in Chinese institutions to plan for reforestation, afforestation, and other effective land uses that enhance carbon sequestration (Outcome 2) 2a) Number of Chinese scientists (target >15; F/M>= 1:3) capable of doing site level forestry assessment and ground truthing (Output 2a) 2b) Number of carbon-favorable land use scenarios recommendations made by Chinese scientists to the local governments. Target: 3 recommendations 2a&b)=> 15 researchers (F/M - =>1:3) trained in site level assessment and ground truthing and graduate students and other researchers in the partner institutions who will be instructed by the trained scientists. 6 Partner institutions involved in the WBS 2000-lev el activities Questionnaire Quarterly Chairs of the Forest Assessment Group CS Performance Measuring Framework - Example

13. RBM and the Carbon Sequestration Project • RBM was incorporated throughout project development • We report to CIDA on project progress using our indicators

14. Other CIDA priorities Included in CS Project • Gender issues • Poverty Alleviation • Benefits to the Environment • Project Sustainability: mechanisms in place to sustain project after completion of CIDA funding

15. Evaluation of project progress is dependent on the timely flow of information CS project is dependent on the effective integration of the 3 components Integration is dependent on effective communication among researchers in 3 components Maintain Flow of Information!

16. Monitoring the CS Project’s Progress • The main purpose of monitoring is to compare the actual performance against what was planned • ensures that the project optimizes value for money and makes prudent use of human and financial resources. Richard Baerg will now present his monitoring approach for the project