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National integrated Assessment Activities

Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment. Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention. National integrated Assessment Activities. National focal point G. Vialetto (ENEA). TFIAM Meeting, Oslo, May, 13-15, 2002. Italian Agency for New Technologies

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National integrated Assessment Activities

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  1. Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention National integrated Assessment Activities National focal point G. Vialetto (ENEA) TFIAM Meeting, Oslo, May, 13-15, 2002

  2. Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention National focal point activities • Techo-economic data assessment for use of IAM • National Project for the development of the RAINS-Italy model • with the co-operation of IIASA and Arianet Development of emission scenarios for the purposes of the LRTAP, in co-operation with IIASA and ANPA TFIAM Meeting, Oslo, May, 13-15, 2002

  3. Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention Comparative Analysis of a Post Kyoto Emission Scenario performed by the models Rains and Markal T. Pignatelli (ENEA), M. Contaldi (ANPA) TFIAM Meeting, Oslo, May, 13-15, 2002

  4. Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention Objectives of the analysis: • Search for sinergies between the UNFCCC and the LRTAP • Conventions • Investigation of the effects of a Post Kyoto energy scenario • (pathway) in terms of CO2 and SO2 emissions and LTRAP • target achieving 3) Comparison between the scenarios developed by two indipendent models, Rains and Markal, under similar boundary conditions TFIAM Meeting, Oslo, May, 13-15, 2002

  5. Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention Hypotheses of the analysis: • Same energy consumption data input for the two models The energy scenario (pathway) has been developed by the Markal model according to a number of exogenous sectoral development trends and energy scenarios developed by the EC and national concerned parties The adopted control strategy is the so-called “current legislation” for Rains, while, in Markal model, the solving algorithm has some degrees of freedom in selecting technologies/fuels according to the “least cost” criterion. The kinds of technologies considered are the same for the two models. TFIAM Meeting, Oslo, May, 13-15, 2002

  6. Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention Results: CO2 Emission Scenario TFIAM Meeting, Oslo, May, 13-15, 2002

  7. Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention Results: SO2 Emission Scenario TFIAM Meeting, Oslo, May, 13-15, 2002

  8. Italian Agency for New Technologies Energy and the Environment Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution Convention Conclusions • An energy scenario, developed with the aim of complying with the Kyoto Protocol provisions, should make “more achievable” the national SO2 emission target, set by the Gothenburg Protocol • Notwithstanding some intrisec differences between the Rains and • Markal models, a substantial agreement is found in the developed • emission scenarios 3) Cross-checking analyses, performed by different and indipendent models provide, a chance for developers and users totest the models and improve their peformances TFIAM Meeting, Oslo, May, 13-15, 2002

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