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International Luxury Travel Market Cannes, France December 8, 2003. The Perfect Storm. WTTC’s 2002 Tourism Satellite Accounting Research. WTTC’s 2003 Tourism Satellite Accounting Research. Base Case & Pessimistic War Scenario. Components of Travel & Tourism Demand. World - Personal T&T.
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International LuxuryTravel MarketCannes, FranceDecember 8, 2003
The Perfect Storm
WTTC’s 2002 Tourism Satellite Accounting Research
WTTC’s 2003 Tourism Satellite Accounting Research
World - Personal T&T 2003 • Travel & Tourism Spending by Visitors • US$ 2.1 Trillion in 2003 • 9.9% of Total Personal Consumption in Year 2003 • 2.2% Real Growth in 2003 • 4.8% Real Growth in 2004 • 3.7% Real Growth per annum (2004-2013)
World - Business Travel • T&T Spending by Companies and Government Agencies • US$ 489 Billion in 2003 • US$ 423 Bn Corporate • US$ 66 Bn Government • 0.6% Real Growth in 2003 • 4.8% Real Growth in 2004 • 3.7% Real Growth per annum (2004-2013) 2003
World - Gov’t T&T Expenditures • Government Travel & Tourism Services Provided to Individual Visitors and the Community-at-large • US$ 224 Billion in 2003 • 3.9% of Total Government Expenditures in 2003 • 2.8% Real Growth in 2003 • 3.0% Real Growth in 2004 • 3.0% Real Growth per annum (2004-2013) 2003
World - T&T Capital Investment • T&T Facilities, Equipment and Infrastructure by Public and Private Sectors • US$ 686 Billion in 2003 • 9.6% of Total Capital Investment in 2003 • 2.8% Real Growth in 2003 • 3.9% Real Growth in 2004 • 4.3% Real Growth per annum (2004-2013) 2003
World - Visitor Exports 2003 • T&T Spending by Inbound Visitors • US$ 531 Billion in 2003 • 5.9% of Total Exports in 2003 • 3.0% Real Growth in 2003 • 10.7% Real Growth in 2004 • 7.1% Real Growth per annum (2004-2013)
World - Other T&T Exports • Consumer and Capital Goods Exported for Visitors and Travel & Tourism Companies • US$ 479 Billion in 2003 • 5.3% of Total Exports in 2003 • 8.9% Real Growth in 2003 • 8.9% Real Growth in 2004 • 7.2% Real Growth per annum (2004-2013) 2003
Consumption = Travel & Tourism Industry Demand = Travel & Tourism Economy
World - T&T Industry GDP 2003 • Travel & Tourism GDP Associated with Visitor Consumption (Direct) • US$ 1.3 Trillion in 2003 • 3.7% of Total Gross Domestic Production in 2003 • 1.1% Real Growth in 2003 • 4.8% Real Growth in 2004 • 3.6% Real Growth per annum (2004-2013)
World - T&T Economy* GDP • Travel & Tourism GDP Associated with T&T Demand (Direct and Indirect) • US$ 3.5 Trillion in 2003 • 10.2% of Total Gross Domestic Production in 2003 • 2.0% Real Growth in 2003 • 4.8% Real Growth in 2004 • 3.9% Real Growth per annum (2004-2013) 2003 *WTTC Concept
World - T&T Industry Employment 2003 • Travel & Tourism Employment assoc. with Visitor Consumption (Direct) • 67.4 Million Jobs in 2003 • 2.6% of Total Employment in 2003 • 0.1% Real Growth in 2003 • 2.2% Real Growth per annum (2004-2013)
World - T&T Economy* Employment 2003 • Travel & Tourism Employment assoc. with T&T Demand (Direct and Indirect) • 195 Million Jobs in 2003 • 7.6% of Total Employment in 2003 • 1.5% Real Loss in 2003 • 2.4% Real Growth per annum (2004-2013) *WTTC Concept
T&T Economy GDP World Average European Union Oceania Caribbean 2003 T&T Economy GDP (Percent of Total) North Africa Other Western Europe Central and Eastern Europe Middle East Southeast Asia South Asia North America Sub-Saharan Africa Northeast Asia Latin America T&T Economy GDP Growth 2004 -2013 (Percent Annualized)
T&T Economy GDP Size Represents 2003 US$ European Union Oceania Caribbean North Africa Other Western Europe Central and Eastern Europe Middle East Southeast Asia North America Sub-Saharan Africa South Asia Northeast Asia Latin America
T&T Economy GDP Top = High % of GDP Bottom = Low % of GDP European Union High % of GDP Oceania Caribbean North Africa Other Western Europe Central and Eastern Europe Middle East Southeast Asia Low % of GDP North America Sub-Saharan Africa South Asia Northeast Asia Latin America
T&T Economy GDP Left = Slow Growth Right = Fast Growth European Union Oceania Caribbean North Africa Other Western Europe Central and Eastern Europe Middle East Southeast Asia North America Sub-Saharan Africa South Asia Northeast Asia Latin America Slow Growth Fast Growth
T&T Demand WTTC’s Top Ten Industry Growers (2004-2013 Annualized Real Growth, Percent) 1 Angola 9.5 2 Mexico 9.5 3 Turkey 9.2 4 China 8.9 5 India 8.8 6 Botswana 8.5 7 Laos 8.4 8 Malaysia 8.2 9 Hong Kong 8.1 10 Vanuatu 7.8
T&T Capital Investment World Average Caribbean Oceania North America North Africa Sub-Saharan Africa 2003 T&T Capital Investment (Percent of Total) Middle East Other Western Europe Southeast Asia European Union South Asia Central and Eastern Europe Northeast Asia Latin America T&T Capital Investment Growth 2003 -2013 (Percent Annualized)
T&T Capital Investment WTTC’s Top Ten Investors (2004-2013 Annualized Real Growth, Percent) 1 Mexico 10.5 2 Turkey 8.5 3 Finland 8.0 4 China 8.0 5 Argentina 7.7 6 Malaysia 7.6 7 India 7.5 8 Singapore 7.4 9 Chinese Taipei 6.9 10 Hong Kong 6.8