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REGIONS 2020 REGIONAL VULNERABILITY TO GLOBAL CHALLENGES

REGIONS 2020 REGIONAL VULNERABILITY TO GLOBAL CHALLENGES. Key Messages. For first time the Commission has prepared a prospective analysis to explore regional impacts of four major challenges in 2020.

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REGIONS 2020 REGIONAL VULNERABILITY TO GLOBAL CHALLENGES

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  1. REGIONS 2020REGIONAL VULNERABILITY TO GLOBAL CHALLENGES

  2. Key Messages • For first time the Commission has prepared a prospective analysis to explore regional impacts of four major challenges in 2020. • Strong differences in vulnerability of regions to the challenges from globalisation, demographic change, climate change and energy. • Regions intensively affected by three or more challenges are primarily located in the South and on the coasts of Western and Central Europe. • Almost all regions will need to find local tailored solutions to meet combinations of challenges. • This will be an important input into the future design of cohesion policy post 2013.

  3. Globalisation vulnerability index Globalisation • Regions of North-West periphery well placed; • Southern and Eastern regions more exposed; • Mixed patterns in Western and Central Europe; • Urban areas better placed.

  4. Demography vulnerability index Demographic change • 33 % of regions will face population decline • Highest share of elderly population (aged 65+) in Eastern Germany, Finland, Northern Spain, Italy • Lowest share of working-age population (aged 15-64) in several Finnish, Swedish and German regions • Rural areas in less favourable position

  5. Climate change vulnerability index Climate change • Southern Europe most vulnerable; • 170 million people live in strongly affected regions; • North and Western regions less affected, except lowland coastal areas.

  6. Energy vulnerability index Energy • determined by national energy policy choices; • Eastern and southern periphery more affected by security of supply. • Ireland, Poland, Czech Republic and Bulgaria face strong challenges

  7. Multiple challenge vulnerability index MultipleChallenges • Southern, western coastal and central regions in Germany and New Member States are strongly affected • North-Western periphery regions are less vulnerable

  8. Regional vulnerability in a global perspective • Globalisation: EU regions will be exposed to increased competition from emerging countries. • Demography: EU regions will face the largest old age dependency ratio in the world after Japan. • Climate change: Existing conditions are projected to worsen in the Mediterranean regions. • Energy: EU regions will have to move towards a low carbon economy. • Cohesion policy post 2013: Maintain focus on Lisbon agenda; reinforce focus on Gothenburg priorities; strengthen territorial cooperation.

  9. Lessons for the future Regional Policy • Need for continued support for all European Regions to drive forward regions to focus on the promotion of new approaches, reorientate private and public investments. • Continued focus on the Lisbon Agenda. • Reinforcement of investments to address the challenges posed by the shift to the low carbon economy. • Reinforced territorial cooperation to address common problems.

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