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Integrated Multi-Functional Observing Networks for Surface Transportation (and many other sectors)

Integrated Multi-Functional Observing Networks for Surface Transportation (and many other sectors). 3 rd National Surface Transportation Weather Symposium July 25-27, 2007 Vienna, VA. Walter Dabberdt Vaisala Boulder, CO. Potential Participants and Partners. NWS FAA FHWA FRA

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Integrated Multi-Functional Observing Networks for Surface Transportation (and many other sectors)

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  1. Integrated Multi-Functional Observing Networks for Surface Transportation (and many other sectors) 3rd National Surface Transportation Weather Symposium July 25-27, 2007 Vienna, VA Walter Dabberdt Vaisala Boulder, CO

  2. Potential Participants and Partners • NWS • FAA • FHWA • FRA • DHS • DoD • City emergency managers • Flood control districts • Air quality management districts • Private companies • Weather measurement companies • Telecommunications companies • Tower owners • Others • Academia

  3. User Sectors: • Surface Transportation: • Road masters; freight companies • Rail traffic controllers • Airport and airline operators; FAA • Harbor masters, pilots and ship’s officers; USCG • Ports, inland and coastal • Others (first and second tier): • National Weather Service • Private weather services • Emergency managers • Electric utilities and transmission companies • Insurance • Agriculture • Air quality • Construction • Traders and brokers • Media • General public

  4. Critical Atmospheric Phenomena • Winter storms • Nor’ easters • Snow- and ice storms • Hurricanes • Air pollution • Fog, low clouds and other visibility-reducing phenomena • Thunderstorms, including MCS’s • Lightning • Flash floods • Hail • Straight-line winds • Tornadoes • Windstorms (w/o precipitation) • Aviation hazards • In-cloud icing • Downbursts • Turbulence • Heat and cold extreme events

  5. General applications • Detection/Analysis of current state of the near-Earth atmospheric state • Nowcasting/very short-range forecasting (0+ to ~2 hrs) • Short-range mesoscale prediction (~3 to 48 hrs) mesoscale forecasting Relative Forecast Accuracy nowcasting - current capability observations blending region 0 4 Nominal Time -- hours

  6. General applications • Analysis/description of current state of the earth-atmosphere regime • Nowcasting/very short-range forecasting (0+ to ~2 hrs) • Short-range mesoscale prediction (~3 to 48 hrs) mesoscale prediction Schematic illustration area nowcasting analysis Site of interest time

  7. Candidate Measurement Systems • Pavement condition: sfc temperature; • sfc state • Weather radar:reflectivity; velocity, polarization; refractivity • Wind profilers: radar, sodar; lidar; aircraft • Thermodynamic soundings: RAOBS, aircraft; lidar • Lightning detection: CG; total • Radiometers: microwave -- scanning; • GPS receivers: precipitable water vapor -- column integrated; maybe slant path and 3D • Surface mesonets: PTU; V; LW, SW, net radiation; energy & momentum fluxes • Satellites: Geo-; POES; LEO

  8. Commonality ....

  9. Benefits and Challenges of MF-MP Networks • Benefits of MF Networks: • Share risks – technical and financial • Minimize investments per partner • Profit (private sector) • Cost reduction (public sector) • Research opportunities (all sectors) • Challenges, Obstacles and Impediments: • Competition • IP rights • Data rights • Partner selection • Partner performance • Public-private barriers • “Curse of dimensionality” – managing multiple partners

  10. Observing Challenges (physical) • Network design • Phenomenologically driven: local circulations; processes • Needs driven: Base (or common) network vs. all-inclusive network • How to optimize? Is it possible? • Scientific/measurement challenges • PBL structure • MH • O3 and PM • Water vapor • QPE

  11. 3D Mesoscale Networks Note: existing 2D ‘mesonets’ are not included • Research • EPiCC -- Canada • Urban micronet – P. Klein (U.Oklahoma) • Helsinki Testbed • DHS – Manhattan and WDC • Planning Studies • NRC BASC MF Mesoscale Observations Panel (ongoing) • OFCM Urban Network Study (ongoing) • AMS Wx & Climate Enterprise Commission Annual Partnership Topic (ongoing) • New and Emerging 3D Networks • Japan • Beijing: 2008 Olympics and beyond • Shanghai MHEWS

  12. Example of an Emerging 3D MF-MP System: Shanghai Multi-Hazard Forecast and Prediction System Multi-Hazard EWS Weather- and Climate-related Hazards Other Hazards Weather and Climate Hazards Risk Models & Processes Related Partners Ensemble Prediction Systems Weather Information Weather Information Forecast and Prediction System Flooding Food safety Heat-health Road maintenance & safety Chemical dispersion Air quality Smoke Storm surge Energy Earthquakes Tsunamis

  13. City-Scale Early Detection & Monitoring System (conceptual) The conceptual design for comprehensive observations of urban atmospheric boundary

  14. Microscale Meteorological Observation System(conceptual) -------- In the World EXPO 2010 Site

  15. How to move forward? Some Questions: • Role of Government? • IP rights? • Risk sharing? • Cost sharing? • Revenue sharing? • Chisholm Network – a prototypical concept?

  16. How to move forward?

  17. A possible prototype network? “The Chisholm Network” ~1000km ~1500km Major Cities Included: Dallas-Ft. Worth; Houston; Austin; Oklahoma City; Amarillo; Lubbock; San Antonio; Corpus Christi; Shreveport; Tulsa; New Orleans; Mobile; Little Rock; Jackson; ........

  18. end... Contact: walter.dabberdt@vaisala.com

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