1 / 12

Influences on Net Migration

Influences on Net Migration. Kelly Howard kh1007a@student.american.edu American University School of International Service. Research Question & Research hypothesis. Research Question: What is the relationship between the prosperity and well-being of a country and its net migration rate?

shlomo
Download Presentation

Influences on Net Migration

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Influences on Net Migration Kelly Howard kh1007a@student.american.edu American University School of International Service

  2. Research Question & Research hypothesis • Research Question: What is the relationship between the prosperity and well-being of a country and its net migration rate? • Research Hypothesis: In general, I expect that the more prosperous the country, the more likely it is that country will have positive net migration. • Ha1: GDP per capita • Ha2: Unemployment rate, total (% of total labor force) • Ha3: Infant mortality rate under 5 (per 1000) • Ha4: Life Expectancy (years) • Ha5: Primary School Completion rate (% of relevant age group)

  3. Literature Review • “The Effect of Development on Migration” • by Michael Vogler and Ralph Rotte • Question: Why, given high differences in income and living conditions, is migration from the Third World to industrialized countries low? • Findings : Costs / benefits of migration; cultural groups are affected by variables differently. • “Bogus Refugees? The Determinants of Asylum Migration to Western Europe” • By Eric Neumayer • Question: What factors can explain asylum migration to Western European countries? • Findings : to reduce immigration rates, promote economic growth and human rights in the countries they’re emigrating from.

  4. Data • Country-level cross sectional analysis • World Bank database • Dependent variable : net migration rate (per 1000 population) • Independent variables: : • GDP per capita (gdppc) • Unemployment rate, total (% of total labor force) (ur08) • Infant mortality rate under 5 (per 1000) (mrate5) • Life Expectancy (years) (le09) • Primary Completion rate (% of relevant age group) (primrate)

  5. Dependent Variable: Net Migration Rate (per 1000) Mean: -.307277 Median: -1.86375 Fairly unimodal Range: -92.26 to 103.11 N = 177 Missing = 71/248

  6. Two independent variables: GDP per capita Mean: 13230.9 Median: 4216 Range: 160 to 186175 Normalcy N = 183 Missing = 63/248 Unemployment Rate, total (% of total labor force) Mean: 8.58 Median: 6.65 Range: 1.2 to 47.5 Normalcy N=68 Missing = 150/248

  7. Bivariate Analysis

  8. Bivariate Analysis

  9. Bivariate Analysis Note: figures in bold are significant at the alpha = 0.05 level.

  10. Regression Analysis, Dependent Variable: Net Migration Rate Note: figures in bold are significant at the alpha = 0.05 level

  11. Residuals Plot

  12. Findings & Policy Implications of the research • Findings: Did you accept your research hypothesis? • Yes, GDP per capita has a positive association with net migration rate • But no, the infant mortality rate and the primary completion rate did not have a significant association with the dependent variable • What are the policy implications of your findings? • To increase one’s net migration rate, increase GDP per capita • To reduce one’s net migration rate, increase GDP per capita in the countries you’re receiving immigrants from

More Related