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Meeting global educational needs: What kind of distance education can we afford?. Greville Rumble September 2002. Global problems. Projected increase in World population Knowledge obsolescence Extension of the age of learning Deficiencies in basic educational (literacy, health)
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Meeting global educational needs: What kind of distance education can we afford? Greville Rumble September 2002
Global problems • Projected increase in World population • Knowledge obsolescence • Extension of the age of learning • Deficiencies in basic educational (literacy, health) • Teacher shortages • Lack of funds (public and private) • Poor quality provision is all too common
Educational challenges • 135m primary-aged children not in school • 1bn adults/adolescents illiterate or under-literate • 2bn individuals need retraining/ re-skilling of some kind • World population projected to grow from 6.1bn (2001) to 9.5bn (2050) • Nearly 1 in 2 people earn under US$2/day
Basic cost structure of early forms of DE Con.Variable Cost DE Variable DE Fixed Con. Fixed Students
Unit cost behaviour in early forms of DE Unit cost Con. DE
Development costs per Student Learning Hour (Hülsmann) • Print £ 350 • Internet £ 700 • Audio £ 1,700 • CD-ROM £ 13,000 • Video £ 35,000 • TV £121,000 HEALTH WARNING: Don’t put too much trust in these figures! They need interpretation. But order of magnitude differences OK
Arizona Learning Systems: developing a 3 unit course e-course (US$) • Simple course outlines/assignments: $6000 • Text provision: $12,000 • Text and reference materials, $18,000 • With images, $37,500 • With audio and video, $20,000 • With simulations, $250,000 • With virtual reality, $1,000,000
Costs of e-delivery • Provider’s document delivery costs come down • Library of Virginia costs for delivering 4 pp document: • Surface mail customer US$19 • Personal request at the Library US$12 • Electronic delivery of existing electronic version US$0.90 • Student’s costs go up • Needs hardware/software platform • Needs Internet access • Pays cost of printing
Comparing course costsAverage cost per student (Inglis), (1999) • Students Print (Aus$) Online (Aus) • 50 169.84 217.71 • 100 125.38 171.63 • 150 110.56 156.27 • 200 103.15 148.59
Korea National Open UniversityCosts per student (US$) • Variable TV Radio Web • # students 1000 1000 30 • Production 80k 35k 13k • US$ per student 80 35 434 • Drop-out (%) 60% 60% 10% • US$ finisher 200 88 482
Solving the problem:UK e-University business proposal • Course fees - related to development costs • Students buy own textbooks etc. • Students fund own equipment and web use • Students pay for library access provided through firms such as XanEdu and Questia • Students pay firms such as Tutor.com for tuition and support, on usage basis • Students pay to register to take examinations
Solving the problemLowering the costs of e-education • Produce print and e-version simultaneously • MS Word 7.0 HTML via MS Front Page 97 • Use HTML - accessible through Macintosh, Windows and Linux operating systems • Use Bulletin Boards rather than e-mail/computer conferences • reduces call on tutor’s time • Distribute materials on disk/CD-ROM (eliminate expensive student connect time) • Use freeware Julian Monge-Nájera, Universidad Estatal a Distancia, Costa Rica
Greville Rumble greville.rumble@btinternet.com greville.rumble@talk21.com