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Intuition The heart has its reasons which reason does not know. Pascal, 1670. He that trusteth his own heart is a fool. Proverbs 28:36 How much do we know at any time? Much more, or so I believe, than we know we know! Agatha Christie, The Moving Finger
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Intuition The heart has its reasons which reason does not know. Pascal, 1670. He that trusteth his own heart is a fool. Proverbs 28:36 How much do we know at any time? Much more, or so I believe, than we know we know! Agatha Christie, The Moving Finger Nothing is so difficult as not deceiving onself. Ludvig Wittgenstein
Intuition: does it exist? General consensus that it exists but we have been wrong before. . . . . earth is flat . . . sun travels around earth. . . .
Intuition: what is it? • things tell you things • Implicit and unconscious, but depends on the 5 senses • Emotional (gut feeling) but has strong cognitive component • Error prone but do we ever say, “I just had a feeling in my gut… • that I was wrong about this?” • Slow to learn and hard to unlearn • Some people are just good at it, but develops with experience • Accessible to verbal articulation but self-report is fallacious • Leads to action except sometimes intuition is to not act • Occurs in split-second situations and develops slowly across time • things tell you things
Intuition: what else is it? • Increased alertness or vigilance • Higher level of motivation • Better social skills • More common sense • Greater awareness of the situation • Being more assertive • Having greater empathy • Being more focused • More dedicated and enthusiastic for role of cop • Having integrity; character • Complex pattern recognition • Complex emergent process
Intuition: where/when does it occur? • When are calm (and can observe more) • When in survival situation and need immediate decision • In crime scene investigation (that can go on for days or months) • When remain open to alternative hypotheses • In law enforcement, medicine, airport & border security: • car salesmen? • out hunting and feel (animal’s) eyes on you?
Intuition: is it learned or innate? • 20% have it • National Academy classes: 90% report experiencing • “intuitive event” • People get better with experience and mentoring • Some people remain clueless even after years on the job • Has implications for training and assessment
Intuition: is it learned or innate? Has implications for training and assessment learning genetics Area of the individual needs H X W to exist
Intuition: what is it? Immediate insight without observation or reason Perception-like, rapid, effortless cognition leading to action Social intuition: sensing that something is not right Unconscious learning Complex pattern recognition Myers, D. G. (2002). Intuition: Its Powers and Perils. New Haven: Yale University Press.
Intuition: does it exist? • Science: if we can measure it • Describe operations of measurement • Agree that may not have consensus • other abstractions are measured: • time • general relativity theory • special relativity theory intelligence
Precedence exists “However, the conviction remains that whenever we do use vision to become aware of objects or events, this must be accompanied by a corresponding visual experience. . . .The experiments reported here show that this belief is incorrect. In particular, some observers can consciously feel (or sense) a change in their surroundings even though they no visual experience of it. . . . “
“Forty naïve observers were tested. Observers viewed the display and were asked to press a response key twice. The first response was to be given when they sense a change – that is, had a “feeling” that a change was occurring. The second response key was to be given when they saw the change – that is, had a visual experience sufficient for a verbal description of the changing item. . . .” Rensink, R. A. (2004). Visual Sensing Without Seeing. Psychological Science, 15, 27-32.
Intuition: in controlled settings? Priming studies: Present a word on a screen (e.g., “bread”) too briefly for people to be able to verbally report the word – Then flash either “bubble” or “butter” briefly but slow enough that people can see it: Will see butter more easily (faster) than bubble Primed the word butter with a cue that person could not report seeing.
Intuition: how can we research it? Descriptive studies: Who: experienced vs rookie men and women equally? bad guys and good guys When: repeated or seldom ET “instantaneous” vs. slow realization Where: alone or with partner situations of high/low risk situations of high/low emotions at work or “all the time” with constant or with changing environments
Intuition: how can we research it? • Retrospective studies: • Self-report . . . . . • memory • reporting requirements • feedback Talking through; think aloud
Intuition: how can we research it? • Correlational studies: • Implicit and unconscious, but depends on the 5 senses • Emotional (gut feeling) but has strong cognitive component • Error prone but do we ever say, “I just had a feeling in my gut…that I was wrong about this?” • Slow to learn and hard to unlearn • Some people are just good at it, but develops with experience • Accessible to verbal articulation but self-report is fallacious • Leads to action except sometimes intuition is to not act • Occurs in split-second situations and develops slowly across time • Look for presence or absence of one to occur with presence or absence of the other: e.g., does intuition occur more often under stress or calm?
Intuition: how can we research it? Experimental studies: Manipulate antecedents and measure behavior E.g., person observes complex scene (with low or high density of cues) and track eye movement as a function of the cues moving around in that environment. Vary the characteristics of the person – test the expert as well as the novice.
“Signal” Present Absent “Response” No Yes
Future Directions Research Recommendations Research Priorities