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Winter Weather Pattern Recognition . Ice Storm (500mb). Trough or upper level low to the west Source for upper level divergence (rising motion) and southerly winds which bring moisture and low-level warmer air northward Short wave trough or long wave trough generally to the northeast
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Ice Storm (500mb) • Trough or upper level low to the west • Source for upper level divergence (rising motion) and southerly winds which bring moisture and low-level warmer air northward • Short wave trough or long wave trough generally to the northeast • Source of near surface cold air • Cold front associated with the upper level trough • Typically shallow arctic air
Ice Storm (850mb) • Southerly component to the wind • Warm air advection • Warm (above freezing) temperatures • Must melt the falling snow
Ice Storm (Surface) • Surface temperatures obviously must be below freezing • Low pressure tothe west • High pressure in the northern plains or upper Midwest • Northerly component to the winds • Cold air advection
Blizzard/Snow Storm (500mb) • Long wave trough with embedded short wave trough or upper-level closed low • Upper-level low tends to track over northern Texas
Blizzard/Snow Storm (850mb) • Low pressure to the east • Cold air (below freezing) • Northerly winds • Cold air advection • Frequently strong • Blizzard • Gulf moisture to the east or southeast • Advected around the cyclone
Blizzard/Snow Storm (Surface) • Surface low to the east • Sustained winds (or frequent gusts) of 35+ mph and visibility of less than ¼ mile • Must be present for at least 3 consecutive hours for a blizzard • Dense packing of isobars (blizzard) • “Tight” pressure gradient • Strong winds • Northerly component to wind
500mb Vorticity Average Tracks From Vanyo 2010