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The Costs of Externalizing. Robert A.G. Monks April 18, 2002. Introducing Brightline. What is Brightline? What are Externalized Costs? How Does Brightline Work?. Robert A.G. Monks – April 18, 2002. How Does Brightline Work? The Model’s Parameters. General Context Companies Customers
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The Costs of Externalizing Robert A.G. Monks April 18, 2002
Introducing Brightline What is Brightline? What are Externalized Costs? How Does Brightline Work? Robert A.G. Monks – April 18, 2002
How Does Brightline Work?The Model’s Parameters General Context Companies Customers Shareholders Government Robert A.G. Monks – April 18, 2002
The Brightline Interface:Following the Game Robert A.G. Monks – April 18, 2002
The Brightline Interface:Keeping Score Robert A.G. Monks – April 18, 2002
The Brightline Interface:Game Statistics Robert A.G. Monks – April 18, 2002
The Brightline Interface:Setting the Parameters Robert A.G. Monks – April 18, 2002
A Model of performance in the Oil Industry Robert A.G. Monks – April 18, 2002
The Objective To show that, given a sufficient level of government regulation, and when competition in the oil industry is measured over a sufficient length of time 1. the most agressive externalizers lose to the less aggressive externalizers 2. shareholder action weakens this effect. Robert A.G. Monks – April 18, 2002
The Hypothesis The more aggressively a company externalizes its costs, the poorer will be its performance over time. Robert A.G. Monks – April 18, 2002
The Strategy Collect performance data for a large number of Brightline parameter setting combinations. Graph and statistically test the results. Robert A.G. Monks – April 18, 2002
The Variables Dependent: Wins Earnings Share Independent: Time Aggressiveness Shareholder Action Covariant: Market Share Robert A.G. Monks – April 18, 2002
The Parameter Settings Time: 3-11 years Aggressiveness: XOM=50; TOT=40; RD=20; CVX=10; BP=1 Shareholder Action: Focus Company=XOM Activation Time=12 Months Market Share: XOM=20; TOT=7; RD=8; CVX=7; BP=13 Robert A.G. Monks – April 18, 2002
No Shareholder ActionPerformance x Time Robert A.G. Monks – April 18, 2002
Shareholder ActionPerformance x Time Robert A.G. Monks – April 18, 2002
The Observed Trends Given a sufficient level of government regulation, 1. the performance of the most aggressive externalizer deteriorates over time 2. the introduction of shareholder activism weakens this effect. Robert A.G. Monks – April 18, 2002
Statistical Results Controlling for the influence of market share, 1. there is a significant interaction effect of aggressiveness and time limit on performance of companies 2. the performance of both XOM (highest externalizer) and BP (lowest externalizer) was significantly influenced by the introduction of shareholder action. Robert A.G. Monks – April 18, 2002
Websites http://www.ragm.com (http://www.ragm.com/brightlineII/index.html) http://www.thecorporatelibrary.com (http://www.thecorporatelibrary.com/spotlight/activism/xom.html) Robert A.G. Monks – April 18, 2002