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The cost of being apprehended fishing illegally. Ussif Rashid Sumaila ( r.sumaila@fisheries.ubc.ca ) Jackie Alder Heather Keith Fisheries Economics Research Unit Sea Around Us Project Fisheries Centre University of British Columbia. OECD IUU Fishing Workshop, April 19-20, 2004.
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The cost of being apprehended fishing illegally Ussif Rashid Sumaila (r.sumaila@fisheries.ubc.ca) Jackie Alder Heather Keith Fisheries Economics Research Unit Sea Around Us Project Fisheries Centre University of British Columbia OECD IUU Fishing Workshop, April 19-20, 2004
Key elements of cost • Detection likelihood; • depends on enforcement & regulation; • Amount of fine; • Cost of avoidance; • depends on regulations & budget allocated to activity; • Impact on fishers’ moral and social standing in society.
Case 1: Namibian fisheries • … from ‘IUU Fishing Paradise’ • … to ‘IUU Fishing Hell’ • IUU fishing before independence • IUU fishing after independence
Case 2: Patagonian toothfish • … high price of fish - the main attractor to IUU fishing; • … also, the low detection likelihood - large area to patrol and few resources for the number of vessels fishing is a driver.
Case 3: Northwestern Australia • … poverty among IUU fishers - the main driver of IUU fishing; • despite a high probability of getting caught and severe penalty the need to generate an income is stronger; • the alternatives to IUU fishing require even more (hard) work for much less economic benefits.
Summary results • IUU fishing is widespread spatially; … but fewer IUU activities in the northern hemisphere. • Current fine levels are not high enough to serve as deterrent to IUU fishing. • Even for a 1 in 5 (10, 20) chance of being apprehended, current fines need to be increased 24 (74, 173) times on average to serve as a deterrence
Summary results • … the probability of detection must be well above 0.2 for current fine levels to serve as a deterrent; • Outside of EEZs there is no social driver constraining IUU fishing.
Summary results • From case studies • Namibia • it is possible to drive IUU activity close to zero by increasing the cost of being apprehended significantly; • Patagonian toothfish • when the price of fish being targeted by IUU fishers is high, a much higher detection probability and fine level are required to stop the activity; • Northern Australian • when IUU fisher’s are poor, conventional deterrence models are not capable of explaining and providing solutions to the IUU problem.
Way forward • Enrich Sea Around Us project database to: • Further develop world incidence maps; • Expand the empirical work presented in table 1; • More effort at determining the prevailing detection likelihood in IUU fishing hotspots; • Extend the deterrence model so it can capture and explain IUU fishing when fishers are very poor .