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Jones.albuquerque@pesquisadorpq.br (coord.) silvana@deinfo.ufrpe.br

Modelos Computacionais para Simulação do Processo de Expansão da Esquistossomose na Área Litorânea de Pernambuco. Jones.albuquerque@pesquisador.cnpq.br (coord.) silvana@deinfo.ufrpe.br Departamento de Estatística e Informática - DEINFO/UFRPE Centro de Pesquisas Aggeu Magalhães - CPqAM/FIOCRUZ

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Jones.albuquerque@pesquisadorpq.br (coord.) silvana@deinfo.ufrpe.br

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  1. Modelos Computacionais para Simulação do Processo de Expansão da Esquistossomose na Área Litorânea de Pernambuco Jones.albuquerque@pesquisador.cnpq.br (coord.) silvana@deinfo.ufrpe.br Departamento de Estatística e Informática - DEINFO/UFRPE Centro de Pesquisas Aggeu Magalhães - CPqAM/FIOCRUZ Laboratório de Geoprocessamento e Sensoreamento Remoto - GEOCERE/UFRPE Laboratório de Realidade Virtual e Visualização Científica – SVVR/LNCC

  2. around the world… Computational Epidemiology Research Laboratory University of North Texas Email: {venkatac, mikler}@cs.unt.edu CASE STUDYTowards Computational Epidemiology Using Stochastic Cellular Automata in Modeling Spread of Diseases This research is in part supported by the National Science Foundation award: NSF-0350200

  3. BR on modeling epidemics… • Ordinary differential equations • Stochastic Methods • Modeling Simulation • Linear and Non-Linear Programming • Otimization USP Lectures HEP5710 Mathematical Models in Epidemiology Informatics Department- Codage/USP

  4. ΥC i ,j, C k ,l represents an interaction coefficient that controls all possible interactions between a cell Ci,j and its global neighborhood Gi,j. A function of inter-cell distance and cell population density. Stochastic Cellular Automata a global model… Definition of a Fuzzy Set Neighborhood of cell Ci,j is global SCA Gi,j := {(Ck,l,ΥC i ,j, C k ,l) |for all Ck,l Є C, 0 ≤ Υ Ci,j, Ck,l≤1} C is a set of all cells in the CA.

  5. Itamaracá, CPqAM/FIOCRUZ!!!!

  6. CPqAM/FIOCRUZ… a lot of information!!

  7. Disease Parameters Vaccination Population Demographics Interaction factors Visualization Data Sets a cellular automata Distances

  8. Population distribution over the north Denton region. Infected Population distribution over the north Denton region. Total Population infected at the end of simulation: 48000 Total Population of 110000 distributed over a grid size of 50 * 100. Composition Model -Experiment

  9. Goals… • Designing tools for investigating local disease clusters through simulation. • What’s New? • Utilizing GIS and EPI information for modeling • Combining different simulation paradigms • Designing a tool kit to establish a computational epidemiology model to

  10. How? • CNPq Project: UFRPE and CPqAM/FIOCRUZ • CMS – Content Management Systems • Mathematical studies • Monitoring and modelling • Analysis e reports

  11. Who? CPqAM FIOCRUZ Jones Albuquerque, Computer Science Engineering Systems (DEINFO/UFRPE) Silvana Bocanegra, Computer Science Mathematics (DEINFO/UFRPE) Constança Barbosa, Biology (CPqAM/FIOCRUZ) Reinaldo Santos, Imaging Processing and Biology (FIOCRUZ-Rio) Biology (Tereza Raquel, Mathematics/UFABC) UFABC (Paulo Sérgio, SVVR/LNCC) GEOCERE Computer Science Mathematics LNCC UFRPE

  12. When? • Phases • CMS and Epidemiology 2006/2007 • Mathematics 2007 • Computer Science 2007/2008 • Information System 2008 • Software Engineering 2008

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