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An Analytic Strategy to Improve Transfer Student Retention

An Analytic Strategy to Improve Transfer Student Retention. The University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa – Spring 2011. Transfer Student Enrollment at Manoa. Transfer Student Retention at Manoa. Types of Variables Analyzed. Gender Age Ethnicity Residency Geographic Origin. On Campus Employment

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An Analytic Strategy to Improve Transfer Student Retention

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  1. An Analytic Strategy to Improve Transfer Student Retention The University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa – Spring 2011

  2. Transfer Student Enrollment at Manoa

  3. Transfer Student Retention at Manoa

  4. Types of Variables Analyzed Gender Age Ethnicity Residency Geographic Origin On Campus Employment Housing Student Life Activities Athletics STAR Usage Average Class Size Campus Experience Demographics High School GPA & Rank SAT AP CLEP Educational Goals Transfer GPA # Transfer Credits Need Based Aid Non-need Based Aid Pell Grant Work Study % of Aid Met Retained After 1st Year Financial Need Pre-College Educational Level Major Credit Load First Term GPA Distance Education Dual Enrollment High Failure Rate Courses Gender by Age Ethnicity by Geographic Origin Employment by Housing High School GPA by First Term GPA Residency by Need Based Aid Ratio of Successful Adds to Drops Academic Interactions

  5. Strongest Predictors of Retention Strongest 1st Term GPA These variables account for approximately 24% of the variance in a student’s likelihood of graduating on time (Pseudo R Square = .243) Ethnicity 37.172 (<.001)* 23.617 (<.001)* On Campus Employment 17.289 (<.001)* Retained After 1st Year Declared Major 14.375 (<.001)* 8.895 (.003)* Geographic Origin 7.648 (.006)* Need-Based Aid 4.250 (.039)* *Wald statistic (sig.) The Wald test statistic was used to indicate strength of the variable instead of the coefficient, standardized beta, because of the nature of the logistic regression, the coefficient is not easily interpretable to indicate strength. Distance Education Weakest

  6. How does this help me? • For you as an advisor: • Data/evidence to refine delivery of services to transfer students • Helps to identify possible risks for transfer students • Informs conversations with students • Encourage on-campus jobs • Inform students about scholarship opportunities • For policy consideration: • Mandatory advising in first semester • Declaration of major earlier than later

  7. Who do we think we are? Mānoa Institutional Research Office www.manoa.hawaii.edu/ovcaa/mir Tim Merrill Interim Program Officer 956-6303 tmerrill@hawaii.edu John Stanley Institutional Analyst 956-5366 jstanley@hawaii.edu

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