The Perfect Storm

1. The Perfect Storm 4 Unprepared Workforce 1 Great Recession 3 Upskilling of Jobs 2 Aging Population

2. Global economy in throes of worst economic storm in century Jobs in jeopardy Slow, faltering recovery Governments in record debt 1 | The Great Recession

3. Declining birth rate since 1967 Later marriage & fewer children Boomers retiring (1947-65 in 2012) Growing concern: dependency ratio Immigration cannot offset natural decline 2 | Aging Population

4. % of Canadians Between 15-64 Source: Russell Barnett, Bank of Canada Review, Summer 2007, p.7

5. Dependency Ratio • Rick Miner, PhD, 2012, Jobs of the Future: Options and Opportunities

6. 3|Upskilling of Jobs • Vast majority of 2031 work force has been born • Immigration – 280,000 • Under-represented - poor, aboriginals, women, disabled Rick Miner, 2012, Jobs of the Future: Options and Opportunities

7. The Gallup World Poll was started in 2005, covers virtually every demographic and socioeconomic group in every country in the world, and will go on for 100 years. Biggest discovery so far: More than anything else, the whole world wants a good job! The countries with enough cities that pull together to ensure their citizens have good jobs and their employers have engaged employees will be the winners in The Coming Jobs War.

8. Talent Shortages • Agriculture: 90,000 additional workers required by 2013 • Construction:  219,000 retiring workers 2012 – 2020 • ECO Canada: 100,483 environmental workers in the next 10 years to replace retiring workers • Electricity: 45,000 new skilled workers required by 2016 (almost half of the existing workforce) • Food Processing: 13% (32,500) of workers in this industry will be retiring by 2115. At least 21,500 needed in the period • Information & Communications Technology: 106,000 in the next 5 years • Mining: About 81,000 needed in the next decade • Petroleum: At least 15,000 new workers over the next four years (2012 - 2015) • Printing: 41% of the industry’s labour force is nearing, or has passed, the age of early retirement • Supply Chain: 27,000 current vacancies , with an additional need for 60,000employees annually • Tourism: 114,000 unfilled jobs in 2020 and by 2030, 10.7% of labour demand (228,000 jobs) could go unfilled • Trucking: 2012-2017; projected workforce growth will be 199,800 TASC - The Alliance for Sector Councils, November 2012

9. The Talent Pipeline 4 | Unprepared Workforce

10. National HS graduation rate 79% 60% of HS grads (47%) register immediately for post-secondary programs 25% of post-secondary students dropout by the end of the first year. A similar percent change programs or majors Leaking Pipeline • (King, 2009, Who Doesn’t Go To Post-Secondary Education?) • (Miner, 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People) • (Education Indicators 2011, Statistics Canada & Council of Ministers of Education Canada)

11. 100 Grade 9 Students: 29will graduate on schedule with post-secondary degree, diploma, certificate 14-20% youth unemployment (Statistics Canada) 39% mal-employed or underemployed (Sun Life Financial Canada Poll of 18-24 year olds, November, 2012) 90% of Youth 18-24 feel Excessive Stress. Why? Economic instability and underemployment (Sun Life Financial Canada, Nov 2012) 2012 summer jobs at lowest level since 1977 (C.D. Howe Institute) End of Pipeline “The linear path from school to career, home ownership, and family has disappeared.” Community Foundations of Canada, October 2012

12. Career Entry Fee • By 2031 approximately 77% of the workforce will require a post-secondary education or training • Jobs of the Future: Options and Opportunities, Rick Miner, PhD, March 2012)

13. Career Entry Fee • By 2031 approximately 77% of the workforce will require a post-secondary education or training • Jobs of the Future: Options and Opportunities, Rick Miner, PhD, March 2012) “Over the past third of a century all net job growth has been generated by positions requiring some post-secondary education.” Pathways to Prosperity, 2011, Harvard Graduate School of Education

14. Generation Nixed

15. Young & Jobless – Neil Sandell

16. Generation with no Future

17. CBC Documentary CBC TELEVISION’S DOC ZONE Thursday, Jan 31st at 9:00 PM

18. Generation Jobless “The problem of youth unemployment has been getting worse for several years. But there are at last some reasons for hope. Governments are trying to address the mismatch between education and the labour market. Companies are beginning to take more responsibility for investing in the young. And technology is helping democratise education and training. The world has a real chance of introducing an education-and-training revolution worthy of the scale of the problem.”

19. Employee Engagement • 28% of workers are fully engaged • About the same number are actively disengaged • The rest are cruising on automatic pilot • Clifton, The Coming Jobs War

20. Economic Consequences • Productivity $ 1.3 Trillion • Health $122 Billion • Education $100 Billion • Social Services $190 Billion • Policing & Prisons $ 51 Billion • Govt Revenues $585 Billion

21. Human Consequences • Individuals • Families • Communities • Provinces • Canada

22. Transforming Education

23. Wake Forest

24. Harvard-led Pathways Movement

25. Consensus Reached • Educators and employers must collaborate to provide work-based and project-based learning opportunities for secondary and post-secondary students. • Career guidance must be enhanced so students choose pathways based on their unique interests, talents, and aspirations, and on contemporary workforce needs. • All learning pathways to career roles in demand in the workforce deserve equal priority and respect. • The contributions of educators, parents, employers, and community agencies are all vital and must be harmonized.

26. The Perfect Storm makes a harmonized, whole-communitycommitment to career and workforce development an economic imperative. Whole Community

27. Potential future sports stars, and teachers, are discovered young and nurtured Most others must find their way through the educational maze then discover if any employers want them Athletes and Teachers

28. The ccEngageSolution

29. ccSpark! • Career Learning Begins • Social skills, personal strengths, life planning, careers • Interactive game play • SparkCentral Portfolio • Learning Style Assessment • Aligned curriculum, • 7+ hours per grade

30. ccTheRealGame • Experiential Learning • Financial literacy • Relevant • Classroom-based • Role-play • Age-appropriate • Experience impact of career choices • Soft Skills • Complete curriculum

31. ccSpringboard • Engaging and Inspiring • Foundation for achievement • World renowned assessments • Multi-media career profiles • Industry’s best post-secondary database • Communication tools • Living portfolio

32. ccPathfinder • Course Planning, Career Planning, Life Planning • Four year course plans • Customized • Validates against requirements • Multiple degree options • Aligns with career goals • Integrates with SIS • Streamlines course scheduling

33. ccInspire • Connecting Education and Industry • Employer profiles • Career Coaches • Work-based learning experiences • Messaging tools • Local events • Social networking connection

34. The ccEngageSolution

35. Whole Community Approach