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World Population Growth and Fertility Rates: A Comparative Analysis

Explore the concepts of natural increase, crude birth rate, crude death rate, and fertility rates to understand the factors influencing the world's population growth. Discover how these rates differ across regions and the impact on infant mortality and life expectancy.

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World Population Growth and Fertility Rates: A Comparative Analysis

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  1. Chapter 2 Key Issue 2 Where has the world’s population increased?

  2. Natural Increase • The crude birthrate, crude death rate, and rate of natural increase are used to measure population change in a country. • The crude birthrate (CBR) and crude death rate (CDR) are terms that refer to the total number of births and deaths, respectively, per 1,000 people in a country. • Where the CBR is higher than the CDR, natural increase (NIR) occurs. This does not account for migration. • If the CDR is about the same as the CBR a country has zero population growth (ZPG). • If the CDR is higher than the CBR, there is a negative NIR.

  3. Natural Increase cont. • During the first decade of the 21st century, the world rate of natural increase is 1.2, which meant that the world’s population is growing each year by 1.2%. • It would take the world 54 years to double its population given this rate of growth; this is called doubling time.

  4. Fertility • The highest crude birthrates are in Africa and the lowest are in Europe and North America. The total fertility rate (TFR) is used by demographers to measure the number of births in a country. • The TFR is the average number of children a woman will have during her childbearing years (ages 15-49). • The infant mortality rate (IMR) is the annual number of deaths of infants under one year of age per 1,000 births. IMR is a measure of a country’s level of health care, and the highest rates are in less developed countries. • The other useful measure of mortality is life expectancy. This is the number of years a newborn infant can expect to live at current mortality levels. Life expectancy rates are sometimes twice as high in developed countries than developing countries.

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