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2013 Missouri Economic Forecast

2013 Missouri Economic Forecast . Dr. David Mitchell, Director Bureau of Economic Research. US and Missouri Compared (Percent Change in Real GDP by Sector 2009 to 2011). US and Missouri Compared (Percent Change in Real GDP by Sector 2010 to 2011).

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2013 Missouri Economic Forecast

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  1. 2013 Missouri Economic Forecast Dr. David Mitchell, Director Bureau of Economic Research

  2. US and Missouri Compared(Percent Change in Real GDP by Sector 2009 to 2011) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  3. US and Missouri Compared(Percent Change in Real GDP by Sector 2010 to 2011) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  4. Missouri Business LoansThds of 2012:2 SA dollars Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  5. Missouri Real Estate LoansThds of 2012:2 SA dollars Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  6. Missouri Bank Loans Past Due 30-89 days(thds of dollars) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  7. Missouri Bank Loans Past Due 90+ days(thds of dollars) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  8. $4.62 $3.26 Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  9. $3.26 $19.80 Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  10. Missouri Real Personal Income(2012:2 Constant $ SAAR) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  11. Missouri Real Personal Income(2012:2 Constant $ SAAR) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  12. Missouri Real Personal Income(2012:2 Constant $ SAAR and CAGR Trends) 1.7% 2.9% 2% Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  13. Growth in Real Personal Income(Year over Year) 1.4% Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  14. Dollar Change in Real Average Weekly Wages (2011 to 2012) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  15. Dollar Change in Real Average Weekly Wages (2007Q4 to 2012) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  16. US and Missouri Home Prices(1980:Q1 = 100 ; Constant $1980) 114 99 Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  17. US and Missouri Home PricesYear over Year Percent Change Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  18. City Level Housing Prices(1995:1 =100; 1995 constant $) KC 106 STL 112 Joplin 106 Spfd94 Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  19. New Single Family Home Permitsper 10,000 population 16.1 13 Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  20. Missouri Unemployment Rate Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  21. Missouri-US Unemployment Rate Difference Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  22. Major City Unemployment Rates Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  23. Other Unemployment Rates Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  24. Current County Unemployment RateSeptember 2012 Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  25. Labor Force in Missouri Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  26. Labor Force in Missouri -0.9% 0.6% 1.6% Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  27. Year to Year Change in Missouri Labor Force Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  28. Missouri Employment • Peak of 2,914,418 Dec. 2006 • Trough of 2,755,850 Dec. 2009 • 2012 Average 2,794,099 • Current 2,780,697 2012 = March 1997 Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  29. Index of Missouri and US Employment(Jan 2000 = 100) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  30. US and Missouri CPS Employment(Nov 2007 =100) 97.5 96.1 Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  31. Missouri Employment (Percent Change Year over Year) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  32. Percent Change in County Employment September 2011 to September 2012 Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  33. Missouri CES and CPS Employment Compared Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  34. Missouri CES and CPS Employment Compared Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  35. Missouri Employment Breakdown Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  36. Monthly Change in Employment (CPS) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  37. Monthly Change in Employment (CES) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  38. Construction(thds) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  39. Manufacturing (thds) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  40. Financial (thds) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  41. Health/Education (thds) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  42. Retail (thds) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  43. Government (thds) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  44. Where is Missouri Growing?(January 2012 to today) • Kansas City (-2,946) • St. Louis (496) • MSA Minor (-3,200) • Rural (-8,954) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  45. Millions of Real Missouri Sales Taxes (End of Fiscal Year) in Sep ‘12 Dollars Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  46. Millions of Real Missouri Sales Taxes (YTD) in Sep ‘12 Dollars Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  47. Millions of Real Missouri Corporate Income Taxes (End of Fiscal Year) in Sep ‘12 Dollars Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  48. Millions of Real Missouri Corporate Income Taxes (YTD) in Sep ‘12 Dollars Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  49. Millions of Real Missouri Income Taxes (End of Fiscal Year) in Sep ‘12 Dollars Bureau of Economic Research MSU

  50. Millions of Real Missouri Income Taxes (YTD) in Sep ‘12 Dollars Bureau of Economic Research MSU

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