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Evidence-Base Practice. Evidence-based practice? D ecisions should be based on a combination of critical thinking and the ‘best available evidence‘. . Evidence = Various types of information
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Evidence-based practice? Decisions should be based on a combination of critical thinking and the ‘best available evidence‘.
Evidence = Various types of information outcome of scientific research, organizational facts & data, benchmarking, best practices, collective experience, personal experience, intuition
Many managers pay little or no attention to the quality of the evidence they base their decisions on
Teach managers how to critically evaluate the validity, and generalizability of the evidence and help them find ‘the best available’ evidence
Best available evidence • Experiential evidence: the professional insight, understanding, and expertise of practitioners • Organizational evidence; data, facts and figures, business intelligence, and benchmarks • Scientific evidence: outcome from scientific research published in peer reviewed journals • Organizational values and stakeholders’ concerns
Evidence based decision • Best available organizational evidence • Best available experiential evidence • Decision making process • Best available scientific evidence • Organizational values and stakeholders’ concerns
Evidence based decision • Best available organizational evidence • Best available experiential evidence • Decision making process • Best available scientific evidence diagnosis intervention • Organizational values and stakeholders’ concerns
Evidence based decision It’s about probabilities (not golden bullets)
Evidence-Based Practice 1991Medicine 1998Education 1999Social care, public policy 2000Nursing 2000Criminal justice ????Management?
Got evidence? • Forecasts or risk assessments based on the aggregated experience of multiple persons are more accurate than forecasts based on the experience of one person (provided that the forecasts are made independently before being averaged together) • Choudhry, N.K., et al. Systematic review: the relationshipbetweenclinicalexperienceandquality of health care. Ann Intern Med. 2005; 142 (4) • Silver, N. The Signaland the Noise: WhySoManyPredictionsFail - but SomeDon't. Penguin: London, 2012; p 286 and p 690 • Bauer A., et al. Forecast Evaluation with Cross Sectional Data: The Blue Chip Surveys. Economic Review, Federal Reserva bank of Atlanta, 2003. • Servan-Schreiber, E., et al. Prediction Markets: Does Money Matter? Electronic Markets, 2004: 14 (31). • Scott Armstrong, J. CombiningForecasts, in Principles of Forecasting: A handbookforResearchersandPractitioners, Kluwer AcademicPublishers, New York, 2001
Got evidence? • Professional judgments based on hard data or statistical models are more accurate than judgments solely based on experiential evidence • Yaniv, I., & Choshen-Hillel, S. (2011). Exploiting the Wisdom of Othersto Make BetterDecisions: Suspending JudgmentReducesEgocentrismandIncreasesAccuracy, Journal of BehavioralDecision Making, 2012; 25 (5) p 427–434 • Lewis, M. Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game. Barnes andNoble, 2003 • Grove, W.M. Clinical Versus Statistical Prediction. Journal of ClinicalPsychology, 2005; 61(10), p 1233–1243
Got evidence? • Adecision based on the combination of different types of evidence (experiential, organizational, scientific) leads tobetteroutcomesthan a decision based on justone source of evidence • Antman, E.M. et al, A comparison of results of meta-analyses of randomized control trials andrecommendations of clinical experts, JAMA, 1992: 268 (2) p 240 – 248 • McNees, S.K. The Role of Judgment in MacroeconomicForecastingAccuracy, International Journal of Forecasting, 1990; 6 (3), p 28-299 • Silver, N. The Signaland the Noise: WhySoManyPredictionsFail - but SomeDon't. Penguin: London, 2012; p 286 and p 690 • Tetlock, P. E. Expert PoliticalJudgement, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2006
Evidence-based perspective • NOT: Did they make the right decision? • BUT: Assessment of the decision making process • What kind of evidence was there? • Was this the best available evidence? • Is there evidence from scientific research to support (or call into question) the approach taken?
Organization • 550 beds • 3300 employees • 210 medical specialists • 225,000 admissions • Top Clinical & Teaching hospital • Structure: Business Units
Decision: Leadership training All managers: • Board of directors • Division managers • Unit managers • Head nurses
Cause I: reorganization From: 20 business units - 20 senior managers - 40 supervisors To: 20 business units – 8 senior managers - 40 supervisors
Cause I: reorganization • Ambition • Experience • Education (MBA) • Assessment • Selection Gap
Cause I: reorganization • larger span of control, more responsibilities = extra skills Theyneed extra skills We need extra skills
Cause II: leadershipclimate Employee / Job satisfaction: leadership
Cause II: leadershipclimate Board of directors
Project team • 10 members • Expertise (HR) • Representation (nurses, doctors, managers) • Support base
Process: months! • Sessions with all stakeholders (medical staff, nurses, managers, staff council) • What is leadership? • What kind of leadership does the OLVG need? OLVG leadershipvision
OLVG Leadershipvision • Passion and business • Inspire and connect • Leadership concerns us all
Selection procedure Longlist: 30 • References (other hospitals, network), reputation Shortlist: 5 • Academic, Educational, Training, HR Consulting, Wild card First round: 3 • Paper pitch: proposal based on documents Final round: 1 • Carousel: board, medical staff, head nurses, managers
Decision making process What was the problem / issue What kind of evidence was there? Was this the best available evidence?
3 steps Problem identification Surfacing assumptions Logic model
Step 1: What is the problem? • For which problem is ….. the solution? • For who(m) • Why? • How big? • How do we know (what is the evidence?)
Decision making process What was the problem / issue What kind of evidence was there? Was this the best available evidence?
Step 2: What are the assumptions? Assumptions are often hidden
3 steps Problem identification Surfacing assumptions Logic model
Decision making process What was the problem / issue? What kind of evidence was there? Was this the best available evidence?
Best available evidence? • Best available organizational evidence • Best available experiential evidence • Decision making process • Best available scientific evidence • Organizational values and stakeholders’ concerns