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Poverty and Human Development: where do we go from here?

The Annual National Policy Dialogue 19 November 2009 POVERTY MONITORING GROUP. Poverty and Human Development: where do we go from here? . Poverty and Human Development: a snap shot. Tanzania’s Relative Standing in HDI in Key Areas. comparison of relative progress in HDI.

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Poverty and Human Development: where do we go from here?

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  1. The Annual National Policy Dialogue 19 November 2009 POVERTY MONITORING GROUP Poverty and Human Development: where do we go from here?

  2. Poverty and Human Development: a snap shot

  3. Tanzania’s Relative Standing in HDI in Key Areas comparison of relative progress in HDI Human Development: status and progress

  4. Slow Progress in poverty reduction

  5. off-track in achieving poverty reduction targets

  6. Little change in consumption levels • Little change in consumption levels since 2001 • Extremely low consumption levels • 98% of Tanzanians consume less than Tsh 30,000 (2001 prices) and Tsh 58,000 in 2007 prices • 80% consume less than Tsh 20,000 (38,600 in 2007 prices)

  7. Per capita consumption by wealth

  8. A physically weak population? • Caloric intake increased marginally since 2001 • 25% of the population do not consume enough to carryout even light work • 50% do not consume enough to carryout heavy work

  9. Malnutrition: Progress but still a concern

  10. Some improvement in health, But:

  11. Not a famine prone country. Food production can meet the demand (SSR=104%) But several regions are food insecure: Arusha, Kilimanjaro, Lindi, Manyara, Mara, Mtwara, Shinyanga, Singida and Tabora (Rapid vulnerability survey (2008) In total 20 districts have been identified as having food shortages in 2007/08, the lowest number since 2002/03 Food self-sufficiency

  12. WHY POVERTY IS NOT DECLINING FAST?

  13. Diversifying out of agriculture

  14. Substantial gains in education. But quality of education and lack of skilled workers are becoming constraints • High pupil/teacher ratios (54:1) • Negative perception (school is useless/uninteresting, Dar 24%) • Falling cohort completion rate (78% in 2006 to 62.5% in 2008) • One in five pupils not attending school at any given time • Falling transition rate from Standard VII to Form 1 (67.5 % in 2006 to 51.6% in 2008) • Only a quarter of candidates pass basic mathematics at the Form 4 exam • Drop (26%) in the number of grads in technical and vocational education and training (BEST 2009) Can current education support this move?

  15. WAKE UP and THINK BIG Where do we go from here?

  16. A Two Pronged Approach to long term development PRIVATE SECTOR PUBLIC SECTOR PPP

  17. Policy direction: Private sector led growth

  18. Policy direction: Equity through rural development

  19. Policy direction: Equity through provision of basic services

  20. Thank you

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