Fair Winds Calm Seas & Sunny Skies Future Trends For LG 2020

1. 2006 Annual LGMA Conference Esplanade Hotel 27 October 2006 Fremantle WA Fair Winds Calm Seas & Sunny Skies Future Trends For LG 2020 Annimac / Anni Macbeth Futurist & Trend Forecasterwww.annimac.com.au

2. Smooth sailing through 2020 It’s not what happens but how you deal with what happens that makes a successful journey www.annimac.com.au

3. Successful Navigation LG • survive the rough seas • identify the best destination • chart the best course • thrive on the journey www.annimac.com.au

4. Few Stormy Squalls Ahead • speed of all change • Peak Oil • climate change • demographic pressures • shifting politico economic values www.annimac.com.au

5. Squalls are creating for LG • diversity of client demands • changing role of governance www.annimac.com.au

6. Decisions decisions decisions … www.annimac.com.au

7. Navigating the Challenges • speed of all change • Peak Oil • climate change • demographic pressures • shifting politico economic values www.annimac.com.au

8. Exponential Amount of change in 1 day grandparents had in 1 year Younger meansfaster Navigating the Challenges 1 : Speed of Change www.annimac.com.au

9. I’m never having kids. I hear they take nine months to download. www.annimac.com.au

10. Navigating the Challenge 1 : Speed of Change Driving all Change : Technology By 2020 70%of job types then do not exist now because www.annimac.com.au

11. Navigating the Challenge 1 : Speed of Change By 2020 80% technology then not imagined yet www.annimac.com.au

12. Imagine what those jobs in LG might be . . . Navigating the Challenge 1 : Speed of Change www.annimac.com.au

13. Your future receptionist ? Japanese Robanoid 2006 www.annimac.com.au

14. Navigating the Challenge 1 : Speed of Change Likely jobs in next 15 years ? • Director of Neighbour Relations • Virtual Parks Manager • Planner of Nano Environment • Chief Imagination Officer • Hacker Relations Manager • Virtual Information Librarian • Director of Emerging Thought • Holographic Traffic Manager www.annimac.com.au

15. Technology www.annimac.com.au

16. Navigating the Challenges • speed of all change • Peak Oil • climate change • demographic pressures • shifting political economic values www.annimac.com.au

17. Cost of fuel www.annimac.com.au

18. Navigating the Challenges 2 : Peak OilPeak Oil - oil depletion • When demand for oil exceeds supply • industry experts say by 2010 - 2014 • max range by 2007 - 2020 www.annimac.com.au

19. Navigating the Challenges 2 : Peak Oil Peak Oil - depletion forecasts www.annimac.com.au

20. Navigating the Challenges 2 : Peak Oil LG can lead by example • Downsize energy use • Localise - self sufficiency - trade & barter • Innovate - population migration - sea/tree changers - bio/passive fuels www.annimac.com.au

21. Hybrid Electric DieselBus www.annimac.com.au

22. Solar Thermal Energy Production Woking UK www.annimac.com.au

23. Navigating the Challenges • speed of all change • Peak Oil • climate change • demographic pressures • shifting political economic values www.annimac.com.au

24. Navigating the Challenges 3 : Climate Change Trends of Climate Change • Global warming : +2° - +4° • Changing rainfall : “ Eastern desert moving West Coastal tropics moving South ” www.annimac.com.au

25. Calling for Help www.annimac.com.au

26. Navigating the Challenges 3 : Climate Change LG can lead the way • Adapt planning schemes • Diversity rural zoning • Innovate agri biz • Waterwise incentives www.annimac.com.au

27. Navigating the Challenges • speed of all change • Peak Oil • climate change • demographic pressures • shifting political economic values www.annimac.com.au

28. Sea / Tree changers ? www.annimac.com.au

29. Navigating the Challenges 4 : Demographic Pressures Demographic Changes • Trends in Rural WA • Farming communities downsizing • Family farms corporatising • Urban encroachment • Ageing population • Succession : youth issues • Women as farm biz managers • Slow uptake : tech & knowledge • Sea / tree change www.annimac.com.au

30. Generational gap www.annimac.com.au

31. Navigating the Challenges 4 : Demographic Pressures • Generational Differences • Gaps widening - technology driven • Baby Boomers 45-60 not handing over • Gen X 30-40 frustrated Me journeys • DotComs 15-30 choosing virtual world • Ferals -15 driving major change www.annimac.com.au

32. New client demands www.annimac.com.au

33. Navigating the Challenges 4 : Demographic Pressures • Clients’ Changing Demands • personal service • personal options • environmental concerns • social concerns • ageing population issues • Q B L quadruple bottom line www.annimac.com.au

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35. Navigating the Challenges 4 : Demographic Pressures LG can lead the way : values • Customer driven : community first • Communication skills • Cooperation Teaming • Flexibility eg zoning, management • Innovative thinking • Risk taking • Multi tasking www.annimac.com.au

36. Different Thinking Models www.annimac.com.au

37. Navigating the Challenges • speed of all change • Peak Oil • climate change • demographic pressures • shifting politico economic values www.annimac.com.au

38. Virtual Life www.annimac.com.au

39. Navigating the Challenges 5 : Politico Economic Values Shifts • Public Attitudes shifting • distrust of leaders • increased global knowledge • want options & say • local power • faster decisions, less bureaucracy • less governance www.annimac.com.au

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41. Navigating the Challenges 5 : Politico Economic Values Shifts • Two Tiered Government • two tiers eventually • LG gaining relevance • regional structures less so • likely trend : • Federal with decreased powers • LG with increased powers www.annimac.com.au

42. Big Biz & Community www.annimac.com.au

43. Navigating the Challenges 5 : Politico Economic Values Shifts • Big Biz vs Community • corporate social responsibility rising • community engagement rising • QBL values • partnership model • win – win – win biz + people + planet www.annimac.com.au

44. Changing agribiz attitudes Albany Highway Williams 2004 www.annimac.com.au

45. Fair Winds Calm Seas & Sunny Skies Future for LG 2020 • Increasing role in governance • Increasing partnerships • biz • community • govt agencies • Increasing charting of future course www.annimac.com.au

46. Facing the future successfully : www.annimac.com.au

47. thank youwww. annimac.com.au www.annimac.com.au