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M.Sc. in Engineering Policy and Management of Technology

M.Sc. in Engineering Policy and Management of Technology. The Energy System Current Situation and Market Trends PART I. Prof. Manuel Heitor mheitor@ist.utl.pt. Maria João Rodrigues Pinto mjrodrigues@dem.ist.utl.pt. CLASS OUTLINE. PART I 09h00-10h30. Students presentation. @.

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M.Sc. in Engineering Policy and Management of Technology

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  1. M.Sc. in Engineering Policy and Management of Technology The Energy System Current Situation and Market Trends PART I Prof. Manuel Heitor mheitor@ist.utl.pt Maria João Rodrigues Pinto mjrodrigues@dem.ist.utl.pt

  2. CLASS OUTLINE PART I 09h00-10h30 Students presentation @ Course presentation @ BREAK: 10h30-11h00 PART II 11h00-13h00 Key elements and concepts of the energy system. Energy Supply. Energy demand. Energy consumption by sector. @

  3. STUDENTS PRESENTATION What’s your professional background? What’s the main theme of your dissertation? What’s your understanding of energy management? And energy policy? What’s your understanding of the course curriculum? What’s your interest and expections about the course?

  4. STUDENTS PRESENTATION Name: Alexandre Mateus Academic Background: Engª Informática e de Computadores @IST

  5. STUDENTS PRESENTATION Name: Carlos Neves Academic Background: Engª Mecânica @ISEL

  6. APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS Name: Inês Azevedo Engª do Ambiente @IST Academic Background:

  7. APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS Name: Miguel Fernandes Academic Background: Economia @Lusófona

  8. APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS Name: Rui Carvalho Academic Background: Engª Mecânica @IPL

  9. APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS Name: Sara Levy Academic Background: Engª Ambiente @IST

  10. APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS Name: Susana Beira Academic Background: Medicina Veterinária @FMV

  11. APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS Name: Tânia Torre Academic Background: Engenharia Ambiente @IPS

  12. APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS Name: Tiago Oliveira Academic Background: Energy and Industrial Production Engineering @UE

  13. APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS Name: Miguel Carvalho Academic Background: Engª Informática e Computadores @IST Micro-Geração com Pilhas de Combustível Dissertation:

  14. APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS Name: Ana Oliveira Academic Background: Engª Ambiente @UA Dissertation: The Economic, Social and Environmental Impacts of Photovoltaic Very-Large Scale Applications - The Case of Amareleja Facility

  15. APRESENTAÇÃO DOS ALUNOS Name: Vanessa Figueiredo Academic Background: Química Tecnológica @FCUL The Role of Architects in the Diffusion of Photovoltaic Solar Technology Dissertation:

  16. APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA OBJECTIVOS Desenvolver competências para a compreensão e análise crítica de políticas energéticas Sensibilizar para as dimensões de sustentabilidade energética Desenvolver competências para a compreensão das questões associadas às políticas públicas energéticas e de gestão de energia de diferentes perspectivas institucionais

  17. APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA PROGRAMA Class #0 • Students presentation • Course presentation • Key elements and concepts of the energy system • Energy supply • Energy demand • Energy consumption by sector 02/10/2004 Class #1 • Energy Balances • Energy prices • Energy, economy and environment: key relationships and indicators • PAPER DISCUSSION • OECD/IEA (2004), Analysis of the Impact of High Oil Prices on the Global Economy 09/10/2004

  18. APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA PROGRAMA Class #2 • The driving forces of energy policy • Energy policy objectives • Principles of energy policy design and evaluation • INVITED SPEAKER • António Castro, EDP • Energy Market Restructuring: Merging the electricity and natural gas businesses • PREPARATORY PAPER • Toh, Kyung-hwan (2003), The impact of convergence of the Gas and Electricity Industries: Trends and Policy Implications, Working Paper, IEA 16/10/2004 Class #3 • Energy policy strategies and instruments • PAPER DISCUSSION • EEA (2004), Energy Subsidies in the European Union – A brief Overview, EEA Technical Report 1/2004 23/10/2004

  19. APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA PROGRAMA Class #4 • Energy efficiency, rational use of energy and demand-side management strategies. • Overview of end-user sector energy policies. • INVITED SPEAKERS • Helder Gonçalves, INETIThe Portuguese and the European Framework of Energy Policy for the Buildings Sector • Miguel Arruda, Miguel Arruda Arquitectos Associados • The impact of Energy Regulation in Architectural Design of Buildings • PREPARATORY PAPER • Official Journal of the European Communities L1/65, 04.01.2003, Directive 2002/91/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 December 2002 • Concerning the energy performance of buildings 30/10/2004

  20. APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA PROGRAMA Class #5 • Detailed analysis of environmental indicators • The Kyoto Protocol and the Flexible Mechanisms. • The IPPC Directive. • Interaction between, and interoperation of, policy instruments. • PAPER DISCUSSION • OECD/IEA (2001), Energy Indicators and Sustainable Development, presented at COP7 meeting, 29 October–9 November, Marrakesh 06/11/2004

  21. APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA PROGRAMA Class #6 • Overview of supply-side energy policies • Renewable energy policies – past, present and prospects in a liberalised market context • INVITED SPEAKER • Nuno Ribeiro da Silva, SOMAGUE • The Wind Power Market in Portugal – Current Situation and Development Trends • PREPARATORY PAPER • Kamp, L., Smits, R., Andriesse, C., Notions of Learning Applied to Wind Turbine Development in the Netherlands and Denmark, Energy Policy 32 (2004) 1625-1637 13/11/2004

  22. APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA PROGRAMA Class #7 • The importance of energy R&D in shaping energy policies • Energy technologies, technological paths and learning curves • Selected world energy R&D Programmes • Energy R&D expenditure • Entrepreneurship in energy markets: Presentation of the Energy Challenge Initiative by Maria José Francisco, IST/IN+. • PAPER DISCUSSION • Science (2004), Toward a Hydrogen Economy, Special Section, Science vol. 305, August 2004 22/11/2003

  23. APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA PROGRAMA • Key issues and drivers of energy markets liberalisation • Regulation v.s. de-regulation • Energy market structure and organisation in the liberalised context • Energy market liberalisation and long-term security of supply • INVITED SPEAKER • Anibal Santos, REN • Energy market liberalisation and economic regulation • PREPARATORY PAPER • Official Journal of the European Union L176/37, 15.07.2003, Directive 2003/54/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 26 June 2003 • Concerning common rules for the internal market in electricity and repealing Directive 96/92/EC Class #8 27/11/2004

  24. APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA PROGRAMA WORKSHOP The Future of the Energy System Class #9 04/12/2004

  25. APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA AVALIAÇÃO Class Participation 25% Final Grade IE Paper critical review 25% Final Grade GE Take-home Exam 50% Final Grade IE

  26. APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA AVALIAÇÃO CLASS PARTICIPATION 25% Final Grade TOPICAL PAPERS • 4 students groups • 1 paper presentation at random (1/2 hour; no slides needed) • 1 discussant at random (1/2 hour; do I need further readings?) • group discussion (I will not be sleeping on Saturday morning!) PREPARATORY PAPERS • Prepare at least one question for the invited speaker

  27. APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA AVALIAÇÃO PAPER CRITICAL REVIEW 25% Final Grade Group work Choose one paper among topical and preparatory (no repetition allowed) Review the paper including other perspectives Maximum number of pages: 20 Language: EN or PT Due in class # 9

  28. APRESENTAÇÃO DA DISCIPLINA AVALIAÇÃO TAKE-HOME EXAM 50% Final Grade Date to be anounced Hand-out on Friday, due on Monday If there are doubts, there may be an oral exam

  29. KEY ELEMENTS AND CONCEPTS OF THE ENERGY SYSTEM Energy supply Power plants Heat plants Gas supply Oil supply ... End-Use Energy Heating Oil Gasoline Electricity Natural Gas ... Energy Service Demand Car-km Motive Power Light Indoor Heat ... Fuel Mix Fuel Mix Supply Conversion Efficiency Energy Intensity “UTILITY” ENERGY SYSTEM Governmental Intervention

  30. Source: IEA, 2003 Data Source: DGE, 2003 ENERGY SUPPLY

  31. Crude Oil OECD Countries: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, The Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovak Republic, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States Source: IEA, 2003 ENERGY SUPPLY

  32. ENERGY SUPPLY Crude Oil Source: IEA, 2003

  33. Crude Oil Reserves R/P2002 = 40,6 R/Pi: Number of years the remaining (proved) oil reserves would last if production remained at same level of year i of analysis 109 barrels = 136 Mt Source:BP, 2003 ENERGY SUPPLY

  34. Crude Oil Trade Movements Source: BP, 2003 ENERGY SUPPLY

  35. Natural Gas OECD Countries: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, The Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovak Republic, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States Source: IEA, 2003 ENERGY SUPPLY

  36. ENERGY SUPPLY Natural Gas Source: IEA, 2003

  37. Natural Gas R/P2002 = 60,7 R/Pi: Number of years the remaining (proved) natural gas reserves would last if production remained at same level of year i of analysis Source:BP, 2003 ENERGY SUPPLY

  38. Natural Gas Trade Movements Source: BP, 2003 ENERGY SUPPLY

  39. Hard Coal OECD Countries: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, The Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovak Republic, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States Source: IEA, 2003 ENERGY SUPPLY

  40. ENERGY SUPPLY Hard Coal Source: IEA, 2003

  41. ENERGY SUPPLY Hard Coal R/P2002 = 204 R/Pi: Number of years the remaining (proved) coal reserves would last if production remained at same level of year i of analysis Source:BP, 2003

  42. Source: IEA, 2003 Data Source: DGE, 2003 END-USE ENERGY

  43. Source: IEA, 2003 END-USE ENERGY Electricity Fuel Mix ? ?

  44. Oil Source: IEA, 2003 Data Source: DGE, 2003 ENERGY DEMAND

  45. Natural Gas Source: IEA, 2003 Data Source: DGE, 2003 ENERGY DEMAND

  46. Coal Data Source: DGE, 2003 Source: IEA, 2003 ENERGY DEMAND

  47. Electricity Source: IEA, 2003 Data Source: DGE, 2003 ENERGY DEMAND

  48. REFERENCES & FURTHER READING • IEA (2000), The IEA Energy Indicators Effort – Increasing the Understanding of the Energy/Emissions Link, presented at COP6 meeting, 13-24 November 2000, The Hague http://www.iea.org/envissu/cop6/eneinl.pdf • IAEA and IEA (2001), Indicators for Sustainable Energy Development, presented at the 9th session of UN-CSD April 2001 http://www.iea.org/envissu/files/csd-9.pdf • IEA (2001), Energy Indicators and Sustainable Development, presented at COP7 meeting, 29 October–9 November, Marrakesh http://www.iea.org/envissu/cop7sus.pdf • IEA (2003), Key World Energy Statisticshttp://www.iea.org/statist/key2003.pdf • BP (2003), BP Statistical Review of World Energy http://www.bp.com/centres/energy/index.asp • http://www.iea.org/stats/defs/sources/petrol.htm • DGE, Balanços Energéticos Nacionais • http://www.dge.pt/main.asp?idtemas=3&idsubtemas=1&Idconteudos=905 • IEA (1997), The Link between Energy and Human Activity • http://library.iea.org/dbtw-wpd/bookshop/b.aspx

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