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“Anyone who thinks the ANC is going to run South Africa is living in cloud cuckoo land”

“Anyone who thinks the ANC is going to run South Africa is living in cloud cuckoo land”. Margaret Thatcher, 1987. “The phonograph is of no commercial value”. Thomas Edison, 1880. Internal Sales forecasts for PCs for the 1980s: 295,000. IBM, projections made in 1979.

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“Anyone who thinks the ANC is going to run South Africa is living in cloud cuckoo land”

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  1. “Anyone who thinks the ANC is going to run South Africa is living in cloud cuckoo land” Margaret Thatcher, 1987

  2. “The phonograph is of no commercial value” Thomas Edison, 1880

  3. Internal Sales forecasts for PCs for the 1980s:295,000 IBM, projections made in 1979 Actual Sales of PCs in the 1980s: 25,000,000

  4. They’ll be waiting for us with flowers…. a rough paraphrase of Vice President Cheney…

  5. To understand the logic(s) of international politics means: • try to make the logics explicit, • clarify the assumptions, • explore the internal structure as arguments, • then evaluate arguments in the context of historical evidence

  6. Core dynamics of IR • the simple version

  7. Who are the actors? What are their interests? What resources can they bring to bear?

  8. The more complicated versions are permutations of different perspectives on what lies behind....

  9. Who are the actors? What are their interests? What resources can they bring to bear?

  10. Who are the actors? What are their interests? What resources can they bring to bear?

  11. Who are the actors? What are their interests? What resources can they bring to bear?

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