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Sourcing of China’s Paper Fiber Supply & Recent Trade Trends Kerstin Canby. Finland. USA. Austria. Sweden. Belgium. Canada. Denmark. Netherlands. Germany. New Zealand. Australia. UK. Japan 1980-2000. Italy. France. Singapore. Rep. of Korea. Spain. Portugal. Ireland. Greece.
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Sourcing of China’s Paper Fiber Supply & Recent Trade Trends Kerstin Canby
Finland USA Austria Sweden Belgium Canada Denmark Netherlands Germany New Zealand Australia UK Japan 1980-2000 Italy France Singapore Rep. of Korea Spain Portugal Ireland Greece Malaysia South Africa Mexico China Argentina Brazil Turkey Venezuela Russia India Where will the supply come from? GDP per capita & paper consumption USA UK China
Resource Origin Fiber Input Type Processing Final Product Agricultural residues Vegetable pulps (short fiber, low strength, poor quality Traditional small-scale pulp & paper mills Packaging & other paper products for domestic use 53% Local pulp & wastepaper 53% Wastepaper Office paper Bleached chemical wastepaper white paper liner cardboard corrugating core Large scale modern paper industry Export-grade corrugated shipping boxes 22% Used cardboard & cartons Unbleached draft wastepaper Imported secondary fiber 33% Mixed (cardboard, news, magazines) Other wastepaper (mixed) Coated mechanical grades (newsprint) xxxxxxx11% Used magazines, newspapers, etc Mechanical grade wastepaper Imported pulp 13% Low risk forest / plantations Chemi-mechanical pulp Export-grade printing and communication paper 14% Potentially threatened forests Bleached kraft pulp (sulfate) Low risk forest / plantations Hardwood pulpwood Imported pulpwood 1% Unknown forest / plantations
Resource Origin Fiber Input Type Processing Final Product Agricultural residues Vegetable pulps (short fiber, low strength, poor quality Traditional small-scale pulp & paper mills Packaging & other paper products for domestic use 53% Local pulp & wastepaper 53% Wastepaper Office paper Bleached chemical wastepaper white paper liner cardboard corrugating core Large scale modern paper industry Export-grade corrugated shipping boxes 22% Used cardboard & cartons Unbleached draft wastepaper Imported secondary fiber 33% Mixed (cardboard, news, magazines) Other wastepaper (mixed) Coated mechanical grades (newsprint) xxxxxxx11% Used magazines, newspapers, etc Mechanical grade wastepaper Imported pulp 13% Low risk forest / plantations Chemi-mechanical pulp Export-grade printing and communication paper 14% Potentially threatened forests Bleached kraft pulp (sulfate) Low risk forest / plantations Hardwood pulpwood Imported pulpwood 1% Unknown forest / plantations
Resource Origin Fiber Input Type Processing Final Product Agricultural residues Vegetable pulps (short fiber, low strength, poor quality Traditional small-scale pulp & paper mills Packaging & other paper products for domestic use 53% Local pulp & wastepaper 53% Wastepaper Office paper Bleached chemical wastepaper white paper liner cardboard corrugating core Large scale modern paper industry Export-grade corrugated shipping boxes 22% Used cardboard & cartons Unbleached draft wastepaper Imported secondary fiber 33% Mixed (cardboard, news, magazines) Other wastepaper (mixed) Coated mechanical grades (newsprint) xxxxxxx11% Used magazines, newspapers, etc Mechanical grade wastepaper Imported pulp 13% Low risk forest / plantations Chemi-mechanical pulp Export-grade printing and communication paper 14% Potentially threatened forests Bleached kraft pulp (sulfate) Low risk forest / plantations Hardwood pulpwood Imported pulpwood 1% Unknown forest / plantations
Resource Origin Fiber Input Type Processing Final Product Agricultural residues Vegetable pulps (short fiber, low strength, poor quality Traditional small-scale pulp & paper mills Packaging & other paper products for domestic use 53% Local pulp & wastepaper 53% Wastepaper Office paper Bleached chemical wastepaper white paper liner cardboard corrugating core Large scale modern paper industry Export-grade corrugated shipping boxes 22% Used cardboard & cartons Unbleached draft wastepaper Imported secondary fiber 33% Mixed (cardboard, news, magazines) Other wastepaper (mixed) Coated mechanical grades (newsprint) xxxxxxx11% Used magazines, newspapers, etc Mechanical grade wastepaper Imported pulp 13% Low risk forest / plantations Chemi-mechanical pulp Export-grade printing and communication paper 14% 63.5% Potentially threatened forests Bleached kraft pulp (sulfate) Low risk forest / plantations Hardwood pulpwood Imported pulpwood 1% 80% Unknown forest / plantations
Recommendations • Be aware of where pulp, pulpwood and woodchips are coming from & develop tracking systems to verify origin • Address the “weakest links” in China’s fiber supply system: the uncertified pulp and pulpwood coming from Russia and Indonesia • ensure certified harvested from sustainably managed forest operations & can be tracked through to the mill
Small increase in other Russian wood products… Russian Exports to China, w/o logs
Where is it going? Adapted Fuller and Bernard. 2006. China's Rapidly Expanding Wood Products Market: Are they Sustainable? RISI
Exports to the United States Exports to US by Product Exports by Destination 2007
Furniture & plywood Exports to US 1st Q 2008 Jan-Apr 2008 Plywood and Furnitur Exports by Destination 2007
Importance of Middle East Exports by Destination 2007