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A complex systems approach to operational planning

A complex systems approach to operational planning. Alex Ryan. Operational Planning.

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A complex systems approach to operational planning

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  1. A complex systems approach to operational planning Alex Ryan

  2. Operational Planning An operational plan is a description of military operations, with a prescribed order, that are intended to achieve a desired end state. Operational planning is one of the functions in military command and control (C2).

  3. Advantages of Current Planning Process • Robust • Flexible • Well understood • Tried and tested • Achieves synchronisation to Commander’s intent • Scales with tasks from low level tactical to operational

  4. Disadvantages of Current Planning Process • Doesn’t scale with complexity: • Of objectives • Of context • Emphasises control over mission command • Not designed for pushback • Not designed for “Edge” organisations • Hard to automate • Time consuming • Enemy centric

  5. Synchronisation t ⅓ ⅔ A Simplified Account of the Current Process Strategic JOC JTF BG CT

  6. Fragmented Planning • Do we really need a synchronised, monolithic plan? • Planning fragments can be viewed as a network • More responsive • Allows parallelism • Allows self-organisation • Facilitates automation and re-use • Closer integration between planning and execution

  7. Caveat Emptor This idea is embryonic, oversimplified and high risk. It has not been fully thought out! However, it seems to be a good fit to the IOCS theme… so let’s discuss it

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