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Ohio’s Experience with AYP. Presentation to the American Educational Research Association Mitchell D. Chester April 12, 2004. Pre-Implementation Concerns. Over-identification Accountability for students with disabilities Volatility of results. Presentation Outline.
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Ohio’s Experience with AYP Presentation to the American Educational Research Association Mitchell D. Chester April 12, 2004
Pre-Implementation Concerns • Over-identification • Accountability for students with disabilities • Volatility of results
Presentation Outline • Ohio’s accountability system • 2002-03 AYP results • Measures employed to increase validity and reliability • Conclusions
Ohio’s Accountability System • School and district rating criteria • 2002-03 results
2002-03 AYP Results • AYP within rating categories • School Improvement within rating categories • Disentangling the AYP categories
Measures Employed to Increase Validity and Reliability • Safe Harbor • Averaging • Other
Other Measures • Tests of statistical significance • Confidence intervals • Minimum N
Conclusions • 2002-03 AYP impact was lowest of pre-implementation estimates • Participation was not an issue • Need better understanding of false positives / false negatives
Conclusions (continued) • Volatility of results needs careful attention • Consequential validity is the “main event”