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Understand the Phillips Curve trade-off, AD/AS dynamics, and fiscal policies affecting inflation, unemployment, and output levels. Learn to analyze economic graphs for optimal policy responses.
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The Phillips Curve The tradeoff between inflation and unemployment. What happens to inflation and unemployment when AD increase?
In general, there is an inverse relationship between unemployment and inflation 3
Short Run Phillips Curve When the economy is overheating, there is low unemployment but high inflation Inflation When there is a recession, unemployment is high but inflation is low 5% 1% SRPC 2% 9% Unemployment 4
Progression of the Phillips Curve 1960’s - unemployment was high and inflation was low. 1958, A.W. Phillips studied the relationship of wages and unemployment 1970’s - high inflation and high unemployment Milton Friedman and Edmund Phelps say there “two” Phillips Curve One Short Run Curve and One Long Run Curve
SRAS LRPC LRAS Inflation Price Level SRPC UY Unemployment QY GDPR 11
AS AS2 LRPC LRAS Inflation Price Level PLe SRPC1 AD2 AD SRPC UY Unemployment QY GDPR 12
SRAS LRPC LRAS Inflation Price Level PLe AD2 AD SRPC AD3 UY Unemployment QY GDPR 13
AS1 SRAS LRPC LRAS Inflation Price Level AS2 PLe SRPC1 AD SRPC SRPC2 UY Unemployment QY GDPR 14
AD/AS and the Phillips Curve Show what happens on both graphs if AD increase LRPC Price Level LRAS Inflation AS PLe AD1 SRPC AD QY GDPR UY Unemployment 15
AD/AS and the Phillips Curve Correctly draw the LRPC and SRPC with the recessionary gap. What happens when AD falls? Price Level LRAS LRPC Inflation AS PLe SRPC AD AD1 QY GDPR UY Unemployment 16
AD/AS and the Phillips Curve Correctly draw the LRPC and SRPC at full employment. What happens when AS falls? Price Level LRAS LRPC Inflation AS1 AS PLe SRPC1 AD SRPC QY GDPR UY Unemployment 17
AD/AS and the Phillips Curve Correctly draw the LRPC and SRPC with an recessionary gap. What happens when AS goes up? Price Level LRAS LRPC Inflation AS AS1 PLe SRPC AD SRPC1 QY GDPR UY Unemployment 18
Assume that a country’s economy is experiencing significant demand pull inflation. • A.)Draw a correctly labeled graph of aggregate demand and aggregate supply showing the following: • I.)Price level and output. • II.)Full employment output • B.) How demand pull inflation affect the Phillips Curve? • C.)Identify a fiscal policy that will return the economy to full employment output and show the change on the graph in part (A) • D.)This country decides to make a large investment in education and assume this country makes two goods (X and Y) draw a production possibilities curve showing effects of this policy change. • E.) How is LRAS affected by the change in policy made in section D?