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Electoral Reform week 5

Electoral Reform week 5. Will it mend a broken system? Joy Johnson. Electoral systems – key texts. Morrison, Public Affairs for Journalists King, British constitution Laws, 22 Days in May Renwick, a citizen’s guide to electoral reform Kavanagh & Cowley, the British General Election of 2010

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Electoral Reform week 5

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  1. Electoral Reformweek 5 Will it mend a broken system? Joy Johnson

  2. Electoral systems – key texts • Morrison, Public Affairs for Journalists • King, British constitution • Laws, 22 Days in May • Renwick, a citizen’s guide to electoral reform • Kavanagh & Cowley, the British General Election of 2010 • Various papers inc: • John Curtice, Parliamentary Affairs, Vol. 63 No. 4, 2010, 623–638 • Curtice http://www.hansardsociety.org.uk/blogs/recent_events/archive/2010/09/17/2708.aspx • Monica Threlfall, Purpose of Electoral Reform, Political Quarterly Vol 81, No 4 + her website has various papers on AV

  3. Labour defend their positionresult a hung Parliament • http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/election_2010/8667457.stm • UK polarised – Conservative in the South, Labour in the North and Scotland • Result - First Past the Post (winner takes all) is broken (?)

  4. Day after the night before • http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/election_2010/8667843.stm • Clegg addresses media following the 2010 general election • With no outright winner he tells reporters that he would talk to the Conservatives as they had the most votes • He declares that this election showed that the present system is broken

  5. Protesters demand electoral reform • http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/8670002.stm

  6. Examples - Safe Seat – Birmingham Erdington (2005) • Turnout 64939 (48.9%) • Simon S.L. (lab) 16,810 (53.0%) • Evidge V.T. (Con) 7,235 (22.8%) • Evans, J (LD) 5,027 (15.8%) • Ebanks S.E (BNP) 746 (2.3%) • Williams, T (NF) 416 (1.3%) • Lab majority 9.575 (Robinson p10)

  7. Result of Erdington • Single plurality system Simons won the vote • And with more than half the vote • Other candidates votes wasted • Party machines tend to ignore the safe seats and concentrate on the marginals – key seat battleground • 2011 labour party defended their seats – helped prevent a Conservative overall majority

  8. Examples – Argyll & Bute • Turnout 67,271 (64.3%) • Reid, A (LD) 15,786 (36.5%) • Mcgrigor, J.A.R.N (Con) 10,150 (23.5%) • Mnson, C (Lab) 9,692 (22.4%) • Henderson, D (SSP) 881 (2.0%) • LD majority 5,636

  9. Result of Argyll & Bute • Winning candidate well short of fifty per cent • Those opposing Liberal Democrat accounted for nearly two-thirds of the vote

  10. Result of 2005 UK Gen Election • Party %votes No of seats % seats • Labour 35.3 356 55.1 • Con 32.3 198 30.7 • Lib Dem 22.1 62 9.6 • Other 10.3 30 4.6

  11. Result • Labour’s majority reduced from 2001 yet the party achieved 55 per cent share of H of C seats with just 35 per cent of the national vote. • Majority of the seats with a minority of the votes

  12. Majoritarian systems • Term used to classify candidates who win by obtaining majority of votes cast • (first past the post can result in candidates winner on fewer than half the total votes cast)

  13. Types of majoritarian • Supplementary vote – used in London Mayoral election • If only two candidates first past the post used • More than two • Votes cast on preference 1st and 2nd choice • If candidate wins more than half (majority) he or she elected • If not others drop out and their 2nd preference redistributed

  14. Alternative Vote (AV) • Lib Dems compromise to get the agreement • Referendum 5 May 2011 • Referendum on AV had been in Labour 2010 manifesto • Preferential not proportional • All candidates ranked in order • When all votes cast if one candidate has won over 50% elected • If not candidate with the fewer first preference is eliminated and his or her are redistributed • Last candidate eliminated • Eventually candidate with more than 50% wins • More than 50% produces legitimacy • Least unpopular wins • Elector’s first choice not counted

  15. AV cont • Still has single member constituency • Shouldn’t produce extremist parties • Result of this system would be the election of many candidates who were not the first choice of most of the electorate • Leading to least common denominator of the electorate • Nick Clegg in the past had called it a ‘miserable little compromise’ but this was before the coalition government • Political parties still retain power to chose candidates

  16. Proportional Representation • In systems of proportional representation, every party provides a list of candidates for selection on a regional or national basis. • These lists may be open or closed: an open list means electors have the ability to indicate some preference over which of the candidates they choose from the party list; a closed list means electors must vote for the party as a whole and the list is presented to them as a fait accompli.  • Each party standing for election wins seats in accordance with the proportion of votes it receives. A closed list system is used for European parliamentary elections.

  17. London Assembly – 2008 election

  18. Referendum on 5 May 2011 • Provided Bill going through Parliament is passed during the next week • Tories favour first past the post • So do most Labour MPs although Miliband supports AV • Lib Dems need to win the referendum vote to save face in the coalition • But even with change will it be enough

  19. seminars • Read any of the texts as above • Plus numerous websites – Electoral Reform, Constitutional Unit, BBC websites

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