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Canadian Nuclear Association Ottawa, 10 March 2005 Renewable and Nuclear Heresies Jesse H. Ausubel Program for the Human Environment The Rockefeller University http://phe.rockefeller.edu. Source: Ausubel, 1996, after Marchetti, 1985. Falling Global Carbon Intensity of Primary Energy. 35.
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Canadian Nuclear Association Ottawa, 10 March 2005 Renewable and Nuclear Heresies Jesse H. Ausubel Program for the Human Environment The Rockefeller University http://phe.rockefeller.edu
Falling Global Carbon Intensity of Primary Energy 35 35 30 30 25 25 20 20 Kg C/GJ 15 15 10 10 5 5 0 0 1850 1870 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990 2010 2030 2050 Data sources: IIASA, BP (1965-2001), CDIAC http://cdiac.esd.ornl.gov/trends/emis/em_cont.htm
106 millions of cubic feet 105 104 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 USA: Hydrogen Production, 1971-2003 Semi-log scale Source: N. Victor & J. Ausubel, 2005
Falling hydrogen price versus hydrogen production, USA, 1971-2003 10 2000 US$/10e3 cubic feet 1 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 Annual production, millions of cubic feet
Thermal Insulation Vacuum MgB2 MgB2 SupergridEnergy Pipeline ± 50,000 Vdc 100,000 A 10 GW Electrical Insulation Liquid H2 @ 21 K Source: P. Grant, EPRI
Hydrocarbon fuels ranked by heat value Source: N. Victor & J. Ausubel, 2003
Major fuels ranked by heat value 108 Natural uranium in FBR Uranium enriched to 3.5% in LWR Naturaluranium in CANDU 106 Natural uranium in LWR Naturaluranium in LWR with U & Pu recycle MJ/kg 104 Hydrogen LPG Black Coals 102 Natural Gas Firewood Crude Oils Brown Coals 100 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Source: N. Victor and J. Ausubel, 2003
Canadian Nuclear Association Ottawa, 10 March 2005 Renewable and Nuclear Heresies Jesse H. Ausubel Program for the Human Environment The Rockefeller University http://phe.rockefeller.edu