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Demographic Trends and Service Delivery in Texas

This presentation provides an overview of the demographic trends in Texas, including population growth, racial/ethnic diversity, and aging population. It also discusses the implications of these demographic shifts for service delivery to older adults, people with disabilities, and veterans in the state.

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Demographic Trends and Service Delivery in Texas

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  1. @TexasDemography Outlook of Trends and Service Delivery to Older Adults, People with Disabilities and Veterans in Texas Volunteers of America 2017 National Conference Irving, TX April 22, 2017

  2. Demographic Overview Texas is experiencing significant growth. Population continues to grow at a steady pace though growth is not geographically evenly distributed. Growth is not racially/ethnically evenly distributed. Population growth is being driven largely by the Hispanic population. The population of Texas, while relatively young, is also aging. The components of population change have varying implications for infrastructure in Texas. Demographic shifts may have serious implications for maintaining inclusive and equitable economic growth in the state.

  3. Texas is experiencing fast and high growth.

  4. Growing States, 2000-2016 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count, 2016 Population Estimates.

  5. Total Population and Numeric Change in Texas, 1950-2016

  6. Total Estimated Population by County, Texas, 2016 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

  7. Estimated Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to 2016 96 counties lost population over the 6 year period. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

  8. Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to 2016 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

  9. Top Counties for Percent Growth* in Texas, 2015-2016 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates.

  10. Top Counties for Numeric Growth in Texas, 2015-2016 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates.

  11. Population Projections, Texas, 2010 - 2050 Source: Texas State Data Center, 2014 Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

  12. Texas continues to racially/ethnically diversify.

  13. Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, • 2000, 2010, and 2015 12 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000, 2010 Decennial Census and 2015 Population Estimates

  14. Racial/Ethnic Composition of Texas and Top 10 Most Populous Counties, 2015 13 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 Vintage Population Estimates

  15. Annual Shares of Recent Non-Citizen Immigrants to Texas by World Area of Birth, 2005-2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS

  16. Unauthorized and Mexican Immigration, 2014

  17. Texas is young, but aging.

  18. States with the Oldest Median Ages, 2000, 2010, 2014

  19. Texas Population by Age Group, 2000 to 2014

  20. Median Age by Change in Median Age in Texas Counties, 2000-2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000, 2010 Decennial Censuses and 2014 Population Estimates Note: Old=Median Age>30 years; no data available for counties in gray. 19

  21. Percent of Population 65 Years Plus, Texas Counties, 2011-2015 20 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates

  22. Population and Projected Share of Population by Age Group, Texas, 1950 to 2050 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses and 2015 Population Estimates; Texas Demographic Center, 2014 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

  23. Age/Sex Population Pyramid for Texas, 2010, 2030, 2050 Source: Texas Demographic Center, 2014 Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

  24. Population Projections by Age Group, 2010 to 2050

  25. Population Projections for Texans 65 years and older by Race/Ethnicity Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections , Half 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

  26. Veterans and Persons with Disabilities in Texas

  27. Race/Ethnicity by Percent with a Disability, Texas, 2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2015 5-Year Estimates

  28. Share of the Population with a Disability by Age Group, Texas, 2011-2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2015 5-Year Estimates

  29. Age Group by Type of Disability, Texas, 2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2015 5-Year Estimates

  30. Source: U.S. Census Bureau

  31. Veteran Population and VA Facilities in Texas, 2013 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

  32. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2013 5-Year Estimates

  33. Veteran Characteristics, Texas and U.S., 2013 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2013 5-Year Estimates

  34. Age by Veteran Status by Poverty and Disability Status, Texas, 2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2015 5-Year Estimates

  35. Office: (512) 936-3542 Lila.Valencia@utsa.edu www.texasdemographics.gov Lila Valencia, Ph.D. @TexasDemography

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