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Deaths from smoking. in Estonia. Deaths from smoking in Estonia. Particular emphasis is given to the number of deaths in middle age (defined as ages 35 to 69) Available on www.deathsfromsmoking.net.
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Deaths from smoking in Estonia
Deaths from smokingin Estonia • Particular emphasis is given to the number of deathsin middle age (defined as ages 35 to 69) • Available on www.deathsfromsmoking.net • This presentation provides estimates of the number of deaths caused by smoking in Estonia
Source of data: “Mortality from Smoking in Developed Countries, 1950–2000” • Uses WHO mortality data for lung cancer and for other diseases, and UN population data • Updated edition of a 1994 book, authored by an international team of scientists: – Richard Peto, Professor of Medical Statistics, University of Oxford – Alan Lopez, Professor of Medical Statistics, University of Queensland – Jillian Boreham, Senior Research Fellow, University of Oxford – Michael Thun, Chief of Epidemiology, American Cancer Society www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Estonia Deaths from smoking, 1980 to 2000 • About 73% (40,000) of them were still in middleagewhen they died • This was about one in four of all the deaths inmiddle age during this period (40,000 out ofthe 160,000 deaths at ages 35-69) • About 55,000 people died from smoking during this 20-year period in Estonia www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Estonia, year 2000 Annual deaths from smoking • About 1,700 die in middle age from smoking • Many of those killed in middle age would have lived on for 10, 20, 30 or more good years • About 20 years of life are lost, on average, by those killed in middle age by smoking • Smoking kills about 2,800 people a year in Estonia www.deathsfromsmoking.net
2,800smoking 2,092*non-medical Murder/assault Falls Suicide Drowning Road accidents Poisoning Plane crashes Fires Train crashes Floods/storms Accidents at work Other natural disasters Accidents at home Other accidents *in year 2000 Estonia, year 2000 Smoking causes more deaths than all non-medical causes put together www.deathsfromsmoking.net
900cancer* 1,300vascular (heart disease, stroke and other diseases of the arteries and veins) 300respiratory 300other *includes 600 (87%) ofthe 687 lung cancer deaths Estonia, year 2000 Smoking kills 2,800 people a year,from many different diseases www.deathsfromsmoking.net
900 (26%)from smoking 3,400total cancer deaths 800 (44%)from smoking 1,800male 100 (6%) from smoking 1,600female Estonia, year 2000 About one in four of all cancer deathsis due to smoking www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Male deaths in middle age from smoking • This pattern is seen first in middle age, then in old age • The next three slides concentrate on male deathsin middle age • The main pattern of increase and, eventually, decrease in premature deaths from smoking is at a more advanced stage among men than among women www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Estonia, year 2000 About one in three of all deaths inmiddle-aged men is due to smoking* *1,600 (32%) of the5,000 deaths at ages 35-69 www.deathsfromsmoking.net
• 51 die in middle age* • 17 of these 51 deaths are from smoking 17 51% *risks at year 2000death rates for ages 35-69 Estonia, year 2000 Of 100 men aged 35 years … www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Smoking All causes 1985199019952000 48% 17 51% 19 58% 20 51% 17 *risks at period-specificdeath rates for ages 35-69 Estonia, 1985-2000 Male death in middle age: changing hazards* www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Estonia, year 2000 Summary for the whole population In Estonia: • Smoking kills about 2,800 men and women every year • About 1,700 die in middle age from smoking • Smoking causes more deaths than all non-medical causes put together • About one in four of all cancer deaths is due to smoking www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Messages for the individual smoker • Those killed in middle age lose many years • Stopping smoking works • Even in early middle age, those who stop (before they have lung cancer or some other fatal disease) avoid most of their risk of being killed by tobacco • Stopping before middle age works even better • The risk is big: about half are killed www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Deaths from smoking:an electronic resource • www.deathsfromsmoking.net • Published by • International Union Against Cancer (UICC), Geneva: Switzerland, 2006 • Funded by • Clinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), University of Oxford • International Union Against Cancer (UICC) • Fogarty International Center, US NIH • UK Medical Research Council • Cancer Research UK • Project team Richard Peto, Judith Watt, Jillian Boreham • Project management Sinéad Jones • Advice and support Steve Woodward, Konrad Jamrozik, Lesley Walker, Trish Cotter • Design bwa-design.co.uk